August 7, 2010

WHITH NO NEXT-IN-LINE FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE THE '60's...:

Republicans Push Back Primaries One Month (JEFF ZELENY, 8/06/10, NY Times)

The measure seemed to be on the verge of failing until a longtime party leader issued a dire warning.

“I guarantee we will wake up in July next year and say, ‘Oh my God, what did we do?’ ” said John H. Sununu, a former New Hampshire governor, now chairman of that state’s Republican Party. “If we create chaos again, we will end up selecting the wrong nominee and we will have lost the momentum we gain in 2010 and we will allow Barack Obama to waltz into the White House.”

The rules were designed to avoid a replay of the last presidential race, when the Democratic fight between Mr. Obama and Hillary Rodham Clinton energized voters and party activists. Senator John McCain became the presumptive nominee months earlier, without going through a series of primaries that Republicans believe could have made him a stronger candidate.

The plan does not change the traditional opening roles of Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada, but it pushes their primaries and caucuses away from the holiday season by not allowing the contests to begin until Feb. 1, 2012. Other states face penalties if they schedule their elections before March, an effort to keep states from repeating the intense jockeying that has taken place as they try to gain a greater voice in choosing the nominee.


...(assuming Jeb doesn't run) there doesn't seem much danger of the nomination being sewn up early. The only candidate who could win IA and NH is probably Tim Pawlenty and that would be some achievement for a rookie.

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Posted by Orrin Judd at August 7, 2010 5:24 PM
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