July 7, 2010

IF SHE HADN'T RACE-BAITED IN THE PRIMARIES SHE'D BE WINNING:

Poll: Meg Whitman, Jerry Brown in virtual tie (Joe Garofoli,Drew Joseph, 7/07/10, SF Chronicle)

While opinions expressed in a poll taken five months before an election tend to be a bit soft, analysts said today's poll includes other ominous signs for Brown, particularly his eroding support among Latinos, who make up roughly 18 percent of the electorate and typically offer overwhelming support for Democrats.

Whitman has trimmed Brown's lead among Latino voters to 11 percentage points, down from 24 points in January, Field Poll director Mark DiCamillo said.

"He needs to get at least two-thirds of the Latino vote," said Henry Brady, dean of the Goldman School of Public Policy at UC Berkeley. "This is not a poll that bodes well for him."

Whitman began advertising heavily on Spanish-language media last month to coincide with the beginning of the World Cup soccer tournament.

Her ad campaign is an attempt to soften reaction to some of the positions she took in the primary, where Poizner staked out a more conservative position on immigration.

Posted by Orrin Judd at July 7, 2010 5:46 AM
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