May 7, 2010

JUST A MATTER OF TIME 'TIL WVA IS RED:

Mollohan’s Harbingers in West Virginia (Greg Giroux, 5/07/10, CQ-Roll Call)

As he campaigns for a 15th term in the northern 1st district, [Rep. Alan B. Mollohan (D-W.Va.)] is airing television ads sharply critical of state Sen. Mike Oliverio (D), whose quest for the Democratic nomination on May 11 is the congressman’s most serious intraparty challenge in many years. Mollohan, who is accusing his competitor of having a right-wing agenda, wouldn’t be criticizing Oliverio if he didn’t think he was a threat.

Polls also reveal weakness for Mollohan. After Oliverio released a poll conducted for his campaign that had him leading Mollohan by 8 points, Mollohan’s campaign responded with a poll that had the congressman ahead, albeit by just 9 points and with just 45 percent of the overall Democratic vote. That’s not an impressive showing for a member of Congress who has represented the district for nearly three decades and whose father preceded him in the House.

Mollohan’s less-than-stellar standing in the Democratic primary has prompted CQ Politics to change the rating of the West Virginia 1 general election race to Tossup from Likely Democratic. The new rating means that the Republicans are as likely to capture the seat as Democrats are to defend it.

Posted by Orrin Judd at May 7, 2010 6:13 AM
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