April 22, 2010

THE PERMANENT REALIGNMENT IS JUST REVERSION TO THE NORM:

The Suburbs Could Produce a Republican Majority in Congress: Rumble in the cul-de-sacs (Gary Andres, 4/22/10, Weekly Standard)

The American suburbs fueled the emergence of the Democratic congressional majority in 2006 and then helped expand it 2008. During those two election cycles, Republicans lost 24 incumbent or open seat races in these cul-de-sac filled districts.

But now suburbanites are shifting again. As a result, many of these districts could swing back to the GOP, providing more than half of the forty seats Republicans need to capture the majority in the House. [...]

During most presidential elections for the past fifty years, the suburbs offered Republicans fertile political soil. According to American National Election Study (ANES) data, the GOP consistently won about 55 percent or more of the vote in these areas, except for the 1964 Democratic blowout and in 1976, when Jimmy Carter fought Gerald Ford to a draw in the suburbs.


Every Democratic presidency since FDR has pancaked in its first two years because they fail to recognize their election was a fluke.

Posted by Orrin Judd at April 22, 2010 12:32 PM
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