October 12, 2009

PAGING MR. TANENHAUS:

Endangered Democrats (Donald Lambro, 10/12/09, Washington Times)

At least a half dozen Democratic Senate seats are vulnerable, two dozen Democratic House seats have been given "competitive" ratings favoring the Republican Party, contributions are pouring into Republican campaign committees, and generic ballot preference polls have virtually erased the Democrats' once-sizable lead.

"The president's standing has weakened, Democrats are on the defensive on the economy, spending and health care, and key midterm voting groups - including seniors and independents - are moving away from the Democrats and toward the GOP," Mr. Rothenberg told his newsletter subscribers last month.

Mr. Castle's candidacy was another recruiting home run for Texas Sen. John Cornyn, chairman of the National Republican Campaign Committee, who has turned his party's bleak midterm prospects into what could be a gain or two.

In Democratic-leaning New Hampshire, polls show former state Attorney General Kelly Ayotte, a political newcomer, is leading Democrat Rep. Paul W. Hodes by seven points.

Among the Democrats' troubles elsewhere: Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid is running behind his Republican opponents in Nevada, as is Arkansas Sen. Blanche Lincoln, who trails all four of her Republican challengers. Even Mr. Obama's old Senate seat is at risk in heavily Democratic Illinois, where Republican Rep. Mark Steven Kirk, in a show of strength, has raised more than $1.6 million in the third quarter in a race in which his opponents have ethical problems in a state marred by widespread corruption.

Posted by Orrin Judd at October 12, 2009 5:50 AM
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