August 14, 2009

FROM A WHISPER TO A RISKY SCHEME:

GOP thinks the unthinkable: Victory in 2010 (Byron York, August 14, 2009, Washington Examiner)

It's a possibility many Republicans speak of only in whispers and Democrats are just now beginning to face. After passionate and contentious fights over health care, the environment, and taxes, could Democrats lose big -- really big -- in next year's elections?

Ask them about it, and many Democrats will point to the continued personal popularity of Barack Obama. But that's not the story. "I think what's going to happen is Obama's going to be fine, and the Democrats in Congress are going to get their [butt]s kicked in 2010," says one Democratic strategist who prefers not to be named. "This is following a curve like the Clinton years: take on really controversial things early, fail, or succeed partially, ask Democrats to take really tough votes, and then lose. A lot of guys are going to get beat, but the president has time to recover."


One of the advantages of the Contract with America was that it got GOP candidates to talk about a mainstream set of worries instead of the wacky stuff that moves them. A new one focused just on spending, budget balancing, tax simplification and entitlement reform would be opportune.

Posted by Orrin Judd at August 14, 2009 9:36 AM
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