July 1, 2009

YOU KNOW YOU'RE IN TROUBLE WHEN EVEN PLANNED PARENTHOOD IS PRO-LIFE:

Korea’s population crisis: Korea is suffering from a national crisis of super-low fertility. The head of the Korean affiliate of Planned Parenthood explains why. (MercatorNet, 7/01/09)

The head of the Korean affiliate of the International Planned Parenthood Federation recently pleaded with his countrymen and women to have more children. Choi Seon-jeong, president of the Planned Population Federation of Korea, warned in the JoongAng Daily that his government must combat a "national crisis of super-low fertility", or Korea will disappear. MercatorNet asked him to explain how this has happened and how he proposes to increase birth rates.

MercatorNet: The latest statistics show that the fertility rate in the Republic of Korea is one of the lowest in the world. You have described this as a "national crisis of super-low fertility". What do you fear will happen?

Choi Seon-jeong: Nowadays South Korea has the lowest fertility rate and the quickest ageing rate in the world. Experts are worrying that these will seriously affect the sustainable development of Korean society. If the current trends continue, the total population will decrease after reaching 49,340,000 in 2018. It is expected that after reaching 0% in 2019, the growth rate of the population will get slower and turn into negative growth. The working–age population (between 15 and 64 years) will decrease after reaching 36,190,000 in 2019. The 25 to 49 age group will decrease after reaching 20,660,000, slowing the rate of economic growth.

MercatorNet: Korea now faces rapid population ageing. Will this have economic consequences?

Choi Seon-jeong: It will take only 18 years for an ageing society (7% over 65) to become an aged society (14% over 65) and only 8 years for an aged society to become a super-aged society (20% over 65). If the preparation to meet the situation of aged society and super-aged society is not well done, many social problems are inevitable. The working-age population will bear heavier burdens of tax and social security because it has to support the aged population. Conflict between different generations will probably get severe.

In 2007 it took 7 persons among the working-age population to support one aged person. In 2020 it will take 4.5 persons and in 2050 it will take 1.4 persons.


The theory has always been that the majority in a democracy can oppress the minority, so it oughtn't matter that you're basixcally making that 1.4 into your servants. But when the minority is young and virile and, by definition, fills all the armed jobs in your country, why should they accept being enslaved by the decrepit?

Posted by Orrin Judd at July 1, 2009 7:16 AM
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