THE FATE THE UR HAS TO AVOID:

Sen. Harry Reid may need all the help he can get: The Senate majority leader is calling in President Obama for his upcoming fundraiser. A new poll shows Reid is not well-liked in Nevada. All the GOP needs now is a viable candidate. (Andrew Malcolm, May 24, 2009, LA Times)

A new statewide poll of 625 Nevadans confirms previous research that the four-term Democrat is not well-liked. In fact, he's downright disliked.

Fully half the respondents think of him unfavorably. Only 38% think of him positively; 11% didn't care, according to the survey by Mason-Dixon for the Las Vegas Review-Journal.

About 45% said they'd vote to oust the 69-year-old Senate majority leader, 17% said they'd consider somebody else, and about a third would vote for him. Going into such elections, incumbents prefer 2-to-1 favorable-to-unfavorable ratios.

You can't be identified with the national Democratic Party and win in swing or Red states.

Posted by Orrin Judd at May 24, 2009 6:55 AM