September 14, 2008

YOU ALWAYS KNEW HE'D BE ON DEFENSE...:

How to win Pennsylvania (Salena Zito, 9/14/08, Pittsburgh TRIBUNE-REVIEW

Villanova University political science professor Bob Maranto says political undercurrents are playing against him. "This is an old state, demographically, and some older white voters will be reluctant to vote for a black candidate," he explains, "but there is something more at work. Even if they call themselves independents, most voters more or less automatically vote either Democratic or Republican."

Maranto calculates that the 20 percent or so of voters who really are up for grabs will use information about a candidate's background to make assumptions about his policy views.

Pennsylvanians don't see McCain in the "failed Bush policies" category by which Democrats try to define him. Instead, they see a war hero, a brand that resonates in the blue-collar areas where their unions are trying to persuade them otherwise.

"He is a guy you can depend on," said Tom Miller, 54, of Lancaster, a registered Democrat who is very comfortable voting for McCain. "He has had no problem bucking his own party and he does not ask me to make sacrifices that he isn't willing to make."


...but it's the prospect that the Unicorn Rider will be defending NJ, CT, VT, etc. by late October -- with OH, PA, MI, MN, WI already written off -- that has Democrats terrified.

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Posted by Orrin Judd at September 14, 2008 10:13 AM
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