September 22, 2008

THE SNOWMOBILE BELT:

McCain and Palin Have an Opportunity in the Frozen North (Michael Barone, 9/22/08, US News)

[T]he reshuffling of the political deck seems to have opened up more states for McCain and have closed off some states for Obama, specifically, in the northern tier of the country: call it the Frozen North. Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Washington seem to be in play now. Preconvention polls showed Obama well ahead in each; postconvention polls show him leading by only a few points. That's 31 electoral votes on the table. And North Dakota, Montana, and Alaska seem to be out of play. Obama was competitive there in pre-convention polls, though there weren't many of them; he's well behind in postconvention polls. That's nine electoral votes off the table. Net advantage to McCain: 40 electoral votes. The Obama campaign has evidently reached the same conclusion: It is closing its North Dakota offices and the sending staffers to Minnesota and Wisconsin.

The obvious explanation, and not just for Alaska, is Sarah Palin.

Posted by Orrin Judd at September 22, 2008 6:21 PM
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