September 21, 2008

ISN'T THE POINT...:

Race helps, hinders Obama, polls show (DAVID PAUL KUHN, 9/21/08, Politico)

Excluding Obama’s fleeting downturn following the Republican convention, though, the Gallup Poll’s authoritative weekly survey summaries have generally measured the Democrat with about 34 to 38 percent of the backing of white men, about the standard level of support for a Democratic candidate since 1980. Among white women his support has ranged from a split with McCain to slightly behind—also fairly normative for a Democratic candidate.

“If Obama’s support among whites is essentially the same as Al Gore’s support among whites, and better than Walter Mondale’s and Michael Dukakis’s success among whites, then its hard to ascribe his deficit among whites to his race,” Langer said.


...of the Bradley Effect that white Democrats tell pollsters they're supporting their party's black nominee at the same rate as they would a white one but he then underperforms when they actually go into the voting booth?

Posted by Orrin Judd at September 21, 2008 7:45 AM
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