January 8, 2008


McCain and Clinton Win in NH In Remarkable Comebacks (Chris Cillizza, 1/08/08, washingtonpost.com )

The tightness of the race between Clinton and Obama stunned many political insiders including even some within the campaign of the New York Senator.

A series of public opinion polls released in the run-up to today's primary showed Obama with a lead of 10 percentage points or more over Clinton.

State election officials predicted a record turnout of 500,000, as warm temperatures and extraordinary interest in the campaign drove voters to the polls. But independent voters, who were widely seen as the not-so-secret weapons of Obama and McCain, do not appear to make up any greater proportion of Granite State voters than they did in 2000 when both parties held contested presidential primaries, according to early exit polling.

As in last week's Iowa caucuses, Democrats are citing "change" as the most important trait in selecting their candidate, while Republicans chose leadership and personal qualities narrowly over specific issue stances in picking their candidate.

Unlike Iowa, however, early exit polling suggests that the Democratic electorate is neither considerably younger nor populated with more first-time primary voters than it was four years ago.

...would the black guy be the candidate of the elites and the white woman the candidate of the working class base.

Worth noting that just as Hillary won because she carried the core Democrats, so too did John McCain win among Republicans, not just independents.

Posted by Orrin Judd at January 8, 2008 11:10 PM
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