January 6, 2008


The Iowa Curse (Susan Estrich, 1/06/08, Real Clear Politics)

Call it the curse of Iowa.

If you don't believe me, go back 40 years and name a Democrat who has actually won in Iowa and gone on to be elected president.

There's only one, and no, it's not Jimmy Carter. Actually, he finished second in Iowa, behind uncommitted.

The right answer is Bill Clinton, and it was in 1996, when he ran unopposed, not in 1992, when he lost the state, ceding it to its favorite son, Tom Harkin, and then lost New Hampshire as well before going on to win the presidency.

On the Republican side, the right answer is one, as well: George W. Bush, in 2000, who did win Iowa, but then lost in New Hampshire before winning the nomination.

Posted by Orrin Judd at January 6, 2008 4:27 PM
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