December 27, 2007

THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE BASE AND THE BELTWAY:

Iowa Republican Campaigns Driven By the Religion Factor? (Randy Sly, 12/28/2007, Catholic Online)

The focus on faith especially is seen in the issues that are driving decisions for heartland voters. Abortion remains high on the list and the surge in Huckabee’s popularity is, in many ways, finding strong support from the 21 percent of evangelical Protestants who indicated they are less likely to vote for a Mormon.

While this number is down from the 30 percent during a summer poll, Iowa still has about 37% of its caucus-goers that describe themselves as Evangelicals who go to church, are Pro-Life, and politically conservative. In fact, analysts are saying that the responses in Iowa are pointing specifically to “Evangelical” as the single-most important factor in candidate support. [...]

Not only have many Iowa Republicans shifted to a strong Huckabee preference, 61 percent indicated they have firmly made up their mind. Only 49 percent of Romney’s supporters made that declaration. By an almost 2 to 1 margin, Republicans also said that the more they hear about Huckabee, the more they like him.


Whereas Mitt and the Mayor have imploded as voters hear about their real records.

Posted by Orrin Judd at December 27, 2007 4:23 PM
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