September 23, 2007

EXPONENTIAL NEGATIVE GROWTH?:

Falling German birthrate dispels baby miracle myth (Nicholas Kulish, September 23, 2007, IHT)

A United Nations report this year called this global aging "a process without parallel in the history of humanity" and predicted that people older than 60 would outnumber those under 15 for the first time in 2047. The twin forces of rising life expectancy and falling birthrates have accelerated the process.

Although the German government has begun to address the issue, it was particularly slow out of the blocks in dealing with its low birthrate, and, since 2003, the contraction of its population, in that first year by just 5,000 people, but in 2006 by 130,000. The German population stands at 82.4 million people. [...]

According to European Union statistics, the crude birthrate - defined as births per thousand inhabitants - has declined in Germany in each of the last nine years, from 9.9 in 1997 to 8.2 in 2006. Even after factoring in immigration, the German population is experiencing "exponential negative growth," Klingholz said.


Posted by Orrin Judd at September 23, 2007 9:04 AM
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