THE HOPES AND DREAMS OF SPRING

Tide turning Harper's way
(Drew Fagan, Globe and Mail, June 1st, 2004)

The Conservative Party has drawn even with the Liberals in the crucial battleground of Ontario as Paul Martin's campaign nosedives, suggesting that either party could emerge from the June 28 election leading a minority government.

A new Ipsos-Reid poll conducted for The Globe and Mail and CTV shows the Conservatives gaining four percentage points nationally to 30 per cent, placing them just four points behind the Liberal Party. The Liberals' 34-per-cent support is the lowest since Mr. Martin took office in December, and five points less than the party enjoyed as recently as mid-May. The NDP now stands at 16 per cent.

A seat projection prepared by Ipsos-Reid suggests that the combined seats of the Conservative Party and the Bloc Québécois (nationalist) would be enough for a coalition majority government, but that the combined seats of the Liberal Party and the NDP (socialist) would not.

Posted by Peter Burnet at June 1, 2004 5:52 AM