June 1, 2015


Marylanders Don't Like Martin O'Malley, So Why Would The Rest Of America? (HARRY ENTEN, 6/01/15, 538)

O'Malley has essentially zero support from Democratic office-holders.

He's garnering just 2 percent support in Iowa, New Hampshire and national primary polls -- far worse than Barack Obama at this point eight years ago.

O'Malley made some noise about running to Clinton's left, but Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders is already occupying that ideological space. Meanwhile, O'Malley has been attacked from the left for his policing strategy during his time as Baltimore mayor.

But there's a far simpler reason for why I've doubted O'Malley's ability to compete: The people who know him best don't like him. O'Malley is starting way down in the polls, and he's not well known. And we have evidence that more O'Malley exposure doesn't equal more O'Malley support. He earned just 3 percent (compared to Clinton's 63 percent) in a poll of Democratic voters in Maryland conducted in October by The Washington Post and the University of Maryland.

If this strikes you as a surprisingly low percentage for a two-term Maryland governor and former mayor of the state's most populous city, it should. It speaks to the fact that O'Malley was unpopular enough in deep-blue Maryland that by the end of his second term, Republican Larry Hogan came out of nowhere to defeat O'Malley's lieutenant governor in the 2014 governor's race.

Posted by at June 1, 2015 5:11 PM

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