May 1, 2009

USE THEIR IDEOLOGY FOR OUR ENDS:

An Affordable Salvation (PAUL KRUGMAN, 5/01/09, NY Times)

Right now, the biggest problem facing our economy is plunging business investment. Businesses see no reason to invest, since they’re awash in excess capacity, thanks to the housing bust and weak consumer demand.

But suppose that Congress were to mandate gradually tightening emission limits, starting two or three years from now. This would have no immediate effect on prices. It would, however, create major incentives for new investment — investment in low-emission power plants, in energy-efficient factories and more.

To put it another way, a commitment to greenhouse gas reduction would, in the short-to-medium run, have the same economic effects as a major technological innovation: It would give businesses a reason to invest in new equipment and facilities even in the face of excess capacity. And given the current state of the economy, that’s just what the doctor ordered.

This short-run economic boost isn’t the main reason to move on climate-change policy. The important thing is that the planet is in danger, and the longer we wait the worse it gets. But it is an extra reason to move quickly.


Of course, he has that last bit exactly wrong. It won't make a difference to warming, but it's good policy because it forces innovation and begins shifting taxes to consumption.

Posted by Orrin Judd at May 1, 2009 6:59 AM
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