September 10, 2007


Poll: Giuliani Tumbles, GOP Race Tightens (CBS, 9/10/07)

Rudy Giuliani, after holding the front-runner spot in the race for the Republican presidential nomination for months, has seen his lead nearly evaporate with the entry of former senator and TV star Fred Thompson into the race, a new CBS News/New York Times poll finds.

The poll contains other foreboding signs for the former New York City mayor as well, including indications that Republican primary voters may not buy his argument that running America’s biggest city makes Giuliani fit to occupy the White House.

After seeing his support among Republican primary voters rise to 38 percent in August, Giuliani was backed by only 27 percent of respondents in the most recent survey, narrowing his lead over Thompson to 5 percentage points after holding a 20-point edge last month.

While Thompson, at 22 percent support, is now a close second to Giuliani, he was not the only Republican to seemingly benefit from Giuliani’s fading numbers. Arizona Sen. John McCain, who was written off by some after months of staff upheaval and disappointing fundraising, saw his support increase 6 points since the last survey to 18 percent.

There was never any chance that the Mayor and Mitt could withstand Republican primary voters finding out who they are.

Posted by Orrin Judd at September 10, 2007 9:01 PM

It would be astonishing if Giuliani won the Republican nomination, but this article certainly doesn't support your suggestion that his pro-abortion views are sinking him.

Posted by: Ibid at September 10, 2007 10:17 PM

I think the Fred phenomenom shows how much people want a traditional old school conservative candidate. I keep hearing the term "Reaganesque" applied to Thompson. I wouldnt go that far myself but compared to McCain, Romney and Giuliani maybe it is not that far off.

Giuliani is running off his record as mayor of NYC. Thats isnt necessarilly a positive to most of the country though.

McCain is George Bush light and the Democrats like him too much.

Romney flip flops as much Kerry.

Personally, I would prefer Duncan Hunter or Tom Tancredo over any of the others.

But that's just my opinion and what do I know.

Posted by: Rico at September 10, 2007 11:08 PM

Tomorrow's Senate hearing with Petraeus/Crocker is potentially a huge moment for Johnny Mc. Let's see what he can do with it. He may even win Limbaugh over if he lights a big enough fire under

Posted by: ghostcat at September 10, 2007 11:20 PM

No, that he's not contesting IA or SC does that.

Posted by: oj at September 11, 2007 7:37 AM

McCain '08 = Dole '96 and the GOP gets pounded.
The focus on the war has helped McCain as that is the only issue he is in sync with the GOP base. Get back to immigration, health care, judges, etc. and McCain's numbers will go back down.

Posted by: AWW at September 11, 2007 9:55 AM

The Republican candidates all leave much to be desired, but as a group they blow the pathetic Dem field out of the water, and none of them are nearly as flawed as Hillary.

Posted by: b at September 11, 2007 11:21 AM

Yes, Bill Clinton would beat McCain. He'd be the candidate in the race who most resembles thatcher/Clinton/Gingrich/Blair/Howard/Harper/W.

Posted by: oj at September 11, 2007 11:24 AM

No big surprise here. Thompson is the perfect candidate for gay bashing bigots and those who want to decide for us which medical procedures we're allowed to have...and the last two Presidential elections have proven that a huge percentage of this country thinks denying gays and women their civil rights is WAY more important that keeping our nation strong.

Posted by: Dave at September 12, 2007 1:41 PM

Morality is the country's strength.

Posted by: oj at September 12, 2007 3:49 PM