January 19, 2007

AS THE NEOCONS SLOWLY FIGURE OUT THE WAR:

Picking up the Pieces: If the surge fails, head for the provinces. (Charles Krauthammer, 1/18/07, National Review)

If we were allied with an Iraqi government that, however weak, was truly national -- cross-confessional and dedicated to fighting a two-front war against Baathist insurgents and Shiite militias -- a surge of American troops, together with a change of counterinsurgency strategy, would have a good chance of succeeding. Unfortunately, the Iraqi political process has given us Nouri al-Maliki and his Shiite coalition.

Imagine Mr. Krauthammer's response if al-Maliki told him Israel ought to govern in coalition with Hamas?

Posted by Orrin Judd at January 19, 2007 7:38 AM
Comments

OJ, considering this announcement by the Saudis on Thursday:

"Oil powerhouse Saudi Arabia remans undeterred by crude's recent drop. Saudi oil minister Ali Naimi, who earlier this week said he opposed calls from other OPEC members for new cuts in production, announced Thursday his country planned to increase its crude oil production capacity nearly 40 percent by 2009 and double its refining size over the next five years to keep pace with growing global demand."

It seems as though Bush is possibly colluding with the Saudis to use the "Oil Weapon" again, this time against the Shia in Iran. Doesn't this change the calculus on the ground just a little, especially for the Shia?

Posted by: Brad S at January 19, 2007 8:26 AM

Shia/Sunni in Iraq and Israel/Hamas are apples and oranges OJ - nice try though

Posted by: BJW at January 19, 2007 11:08 AM

Mr. Krauthammer wants the minority to dictate to the majority in both Iraq and Palestine.

Posted by: oj at January 19, 2007 12:29 PM

Brad:

How? The Sa'uds are dependent on oil money to keep them from having to go to the people. Price wars will just collapse the Kingdom.

Posted by: oj at January 19, 2007 12:46 PM

Oj: Unreformed Palestinians in Israel are Unvolk--not of the people. They are analogous to bad Indians, contesting civilization. Sunnis in Iraq are simply losers in a mob war: very much apples and oranges.

Posted by: Lou Gots at January 19, 2007 1:11 PM

Lou:

Bingo! Krauthammer and company want Jews to treat Arabs one way and Shi'a to treat Sunni another.

Posted by: oj at January 19, 2007 3:19 PM

Right. We can support and celebrate the Israelis ax fellow trekkers-forth. no worse than ourselves and no better.

Posted by: Lou Gots at January 19, 2007 8:25 PM

...than the Shi'a.

Posted by: oj at January 19, 2007 8:55 PM
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