September 23, 2006


Global cooling effect
(Terence Corcoran, September 16, 2006, National Post)

News that the Conservatives might be taking a more cautious approach to Kyoto and climate change could not come at a more appropriate time. The science behind the idea of man-made global warming, always theoretical and often speculative, appears set to receive another blow. A report in New Scientist magazine yesterday chronicles the work of a crew of scientists who forecast a new wave of global cooling brought on by a decline in activity in the sun. [...]

Dramatic global temperature fluctuations, as New Scientist reports, are the norm. A Little Ice Age struck Europe in the 17th century. New Yorkers once walked from Manhattan to Staten Island across a frozen harbour. About 200 years earlier, New Scientist reminds us, a sharp downturn in temperatures turned fertile Greenland into Arctic wasteland.

These and other temperature swings corresponded with changing solar activity. "It's a boom-bust system, and I expect a crash soon," says Nigel Weiss, a solar physicist at the University of Cambridge. Scientists cannot say precisely how big the coming cooling will be, but it could at minimum be enough to offset the current theoretical impact of man-made global warming. Sam Solanki, of the Max Planck Institute for Solar System Research in Germany, says declining solar activity could drop global temperatures by 0.2 degrees Celsius. "It might not sound like much," says New Scientist writer Stuart Clark, "but this temperature reversal would be as big as the most optimistic estimate of the results of restricting greenhouse-gas emissions until 2050 in line with the Kyoto protocol." [...]

Another scientist tracking the sun, one among many, was Theodor Landscheidt, the late and renowned German solar expert and forecaster. "Analysis of the sun's varying activity in the last two millennia indicates that contrary to the IPCC's speculation about man-made global warming as high as 5.8 degrees Centigrade within the next 100 years, a long period of cool climate with its coldest phase around 2030 is to be expected."

Worth noting here is Timothy Ball, the former University of Manitoba climatologist and frequent contributor to the idea that official government science is ignoring the role of the sun and that global cooling may be looming, not warming. Mr. Ball, for his thoughts, has become the victim of a slanderous campaign by David Suzuki and his associate, Vancouver public relations guru James Hoggan. They charge Mr. Ball with being a climate change "denier" -- as if it were akin to denying the Holocaust.

Posted by Orrin Judd at September 23, 2006 8:33 AM

The ego of environmentalists demands that man be able to control the forces of nature in some way that those on the left can then claim for themselves the power to "Save the Earth" through their own actions, irregardless of the fact the Earth is perfectly capable of doing whatever the Sun tells it to do, and can bounce back in a relatively short time from anything man throws at it.

For those who hate capitalism in general, it gives them a feel-good rationale to destroy or regulate it into the ground, while justifying their motives to others by acting like the Earth is some poor schlub on welfare who can't take care of themselves without massive government intervention.

Posted by: John at September 23, 2006 11:23 AM

How can one be a denier of climate change?

They agree the climate is changing.

Posted by: Sandy P at September 23, 2006 11:49 AM


Al Gore will die of hypothermia.

Posted by: AllenS at September 23, 2006 11:51 AM

> The ego of environmentalists demands that man be able to control the forces of nature

Remember Clinton's first inaugural, and Maya Angelou or someone like that reading a poem (or something like that) about "forcing the Spring"?

But after all, humans are blank slates who can be programmed at your will. What good is that if Nature isn't on your leash, too?

Posted by: Bob Hawkins at September 23, 2006 1:30 PM