July 18, 2006


Iran to Hizbullah: Curb attacks on Israel: Arabic language newspaper reports Iran was warned by European country that Israel is ready to attack targets in Syria in campaign to liquidate Hizbullah; Tehran sends foreign minister to Damascus to demand Hizbullah curtail attacks against Israel (Roee Nahmias, 7/18/06, Y-Net)

Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki was sent to Damascus to urge Hizbullah to curb rocket attacks against Israel and to release two Israel Defense Forces soldiers captured a week ago in order to avoid further escalations, a London-based Arabic daily reported. [...]

The report, which was based on leaks by an Iranian presidential aide, said Iran is worried by criticism waged against Hizbullah by an array of Lebanese politicians like Prime Minister Fouad Siniora, Druze leader Walid Jumblatt and Saad Hariri, son of slain former prime minister Rafik Hariri.

The trio outspokenly attacked Hizbullah for being Iran's proxy and condemned as "irresponsible" the kidnapping of two Israeli soldiers.

The official said: "Iran enjoyed a good reputation among the Lebanese for supporting Hizbullah. Today, many of our allies have turned their backs on us."

In a letter to his Syrian counterpart Bashar Assad, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said Iran is ready to defend Syria against Israeli attacks.

You could hardly set the dominoes up better yourself. All Israel has to do (or/and the U.S.) is take out Hezbollah, Hamas, and regime targets inside Syria and then if Iran retaliates take out the Iranian nuclear program. You get four birds (Lebanon, Palestine, Syria and Iran) with one stone.

Posted by Orrin Judd at July 18, 2006 8:18 AM

The dominoes are there but already the international diplomat mechanism is gearing up to stop the US and/or Israel from going after Syria and therefore prevent the dominoes from falling.

Posted by: AWW at July 18, 2006 8:29 AM

AWW, I Don't think they'll be deterred this time.

Posted by: erp at July 18, 2006 8:39 AM

Erp - perhaps, but all the current talk of peacekeeping forces, France and Russia making noises about Israel going too far, etc. makes it look like Israel will stop too soon.

Posted by: AWW at July 18, 2006 8:54 AM

That's why they should have started with targets in Syria. With Iran now retreating, Israel looks bad by expanding the war.

The time when the Hamas leader in Damascus took responsibility for the Gaza kidnapping was the right time to start shooting at Syria.

Posted by: pj at July 18, 2006 9:15 AM

I liked Oren's suggestion of hitting the tank brigades in Syria. A purely military target that would at worst push Assad-fils in to a shell and at best lead to his downfall.

Posted by: Annoying Old Guy at July 18, 2006 9:20 AM

Yes, but they're stuck in the cycle and incapable of thinking strategically. Look how long it took them to figure out, nevermind how long it's taking to implement, leaving Palestine.

Posted by: oj at July 18, 2006 9:21 AM

Iran can try and shut things down immediately, but after you've stirred up the passion in your minions to a certain level, it's hard to shut things down as fast as turning the water off on a faucet. There will still be some Hezbollah fanatics out there chomping at the bit to launch another missile, which gives the IDF several more days of provocations to take their counterstrikes to the next level.

Posted by: John at July 18, 2006 10:57 AM

Churchill said sometimes war, war is better than jaw jaw. Let them talk, when the smoke clears, I think the landscape will look a tad different.

Posted by: erp at July 18, 2006 11:32 AM

Mr. Judd;

Precisely the point I made here, which you declared "indecent".

Posted by: Annoying Old Guy at July 18, 2006 1:23 PM

No, you were demanding reprisals in Palestine, which is just as counterproductive as what Israel is doing in Lebanon.

Posted by: oj at July 18, 2006 3:36 PM