December 27, 2005

HARD TO IMAGINE BETTER NEWS:

Iraq Vote Shows Sunnis Are Few in New Military (RICHARD A. OPPEL Jr., 12/27/05, NY Times)

An analysis of preliminary voting results released Monday from the Dec. 15 parliamentary election suggests that in contrast to the remarkable surge in Sunni Arab participation in the political process, the Sunnis still have comparatively little representation in the Iraqi security forces. [...]

It has been suspected that Sunni Arabs are underrepresented in the new military and police. Election officials believe that a special tally from the Dec. 15 vote helps to detail the disparity, mostly because voting in Iraq has almost completely been along ethnic and sectarian divisions.

In the special tally - which the officials said overwhelmingly consisted of most of the ballots cast by security forces, but also included votes from hospital patients and prisoners - about 7 percent of the votes were cast for the three main Sunni Arab parties. Across the whole population, though, officials have estimated, Sunni Arab candidates won about 20 percent of the seats in the new Parliament.


There's always a threat to nascent democracy from the armed forces which typically had too strong a ties to the prior dictatorial regime to give up power willingly. If the Sunni already have so little influence in the military then there's no way a Ba'athist counter-revolution could conceivablly succeed.

Posted by Orrin Judd at December 27, 2005 9:39 PM
Comments

That's why, oj, it was necessary to dismantle all the pre-invasion Iraqi armed entities ... from police to air force ... and rebuild them with new leadership, including a whole new crop of NCO's and junior officers. If we had left those entities intact and pulled out ... your preferred scenario ... they would have quickly and brutally crushed the very people who now dominate the reconstructed forces. As an old friend, and world class ladies' man, used to tell me, "Some things take time to do right."

Posted by: ghostcat at December 27, 2005 10:00 PM

Ghostcat is exactly right, and that is why it has required this amount of time to set up the Iraqi democracy. We could not have pulled out earlier, as oj seems to desire.

Posted by: jd watson [TypeKey Profile Page] at December 28, 2005 4:10 AM
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