June 23, 2005


O'Connor, Not Rehnquist?: And Gonzales to replace O'Connor? (William Kristol, 06/22/2005, Weekly Standard)

Warning: THIS IS SPECULATION. Obviously, I think it's somewhat well-informed speculation, or else I wouldn't be writing this. But it is speculation.

(1) There will be a Supreme Court resignation within the next week. But it will be Justice O'Connor, not Chief Justice Rehnquist. There are several tea-leaf-like suggestions that O'Connor may be stepping down, including the fact that she has apparently arranged to spend much more time in Arizona beginning this fall. There are also recent intimations that Chief Justice Rehnquist may not resign. This would be consistent with Justice O'Connor having confided her plan to step down to the chief a while ago. Rehnquist probably believes that it wouldn't be good for the Court to have two resignations at once, so he would presumably stay on for as long as his health permits, and/or until after Justice O'Connor's replacement is confirmed.

(2) President Bush will appoint Attorney General Alberto Gonzales to replace O'Connor. Bush certainly wants to put Gonzales on the Supreme Court. Presidents usually find a way to do what they want to do.

Except that no one understands better than Mr. Rehnquist that it was under cover of the Scalia pick that he was able to sneak into the Chief's seat. Similarly, a truly conservative new Chief would have an easier time amidst the excitement occassioned by the first Latino justice or first black woman or first Asian or what have you.

Posted by Orrin Judd at June 23, 2005 4:15 PM

When I voted for Mr. Bush, it was with the expectation that his Supreme Court nominee(s) would be an "up" move over whom he/she was replacing. Gonzales for O'Connor seems to be an "over" move at best. Gonzales for Rehnquist is certainly a "down" move. If you are going to have a fight on your hands anyway, make the fight worthwhile.

Posted by: Rick T. at June 23, 2005 4:43 PM

50% of the Latino vote is the big over.

Posted by: oj at June 23, 2005 4:46 PM

O'Connor has been a loser from Day One, although she was correct in today's horrible decision on New London.

The notion that a Latino Supreme Court justice is going to cause the Latino vote to swing any more than the SCT appointment of that semi-literate cipher, Thurgood Marshall, was going to encourage Blacks to achieve intellectually in American society, as LBJ wished, is farcical. Reading the quotes from LBJ about Black parents naming their kids 'Thurgood' make one embarassed to be American, that we could elect such a complete boob.

Posted by: bart at June 23, 2005 5:05 PM

Clarence Thomas. He's da man.

Posted by: ZEKE at June 23, 2005 5:12 PM

Made them vote Democrat.

Posted by: oj at June 23, 2005 5:28 PM

Goldwater's 1964 campaign did that, along with the MSM.

Posted by: bart at June 23, 2005 5:32 PM

By all means put a "conservative" latino on the Supreme Court. (it will allow certain wobbly republicans a relief from the pain of being called Nazi's and racists). Gonzales has shown no indication of being a conservative, so appoint Estrada or similar. Thomas has not caused African-Americans to vote for Republicans (presidentially or congressionally) and it is not likely that a latino appointment will be any different. The Hispanic vote will continue at 35-40% for Republicans in the future unless the Republicans adopt the platform of the Democratic party in regards to Affirmative Action and Government payouts and transfers to Hispanics.

Posted by: h-man at June 24, 2005 8:18 AM

Seems a fair price.

Posted by: oj at June 24, 2005 8:44 AM