June 17, 2005

JETS.COM (via Robert Schwartz):

Will Airbus Be the Next Lucent? (FLOYD NORRIS, 6/17/05, NY Times)

THE A380, Airbus's new megajet, is an amazing sight. It is even beautiful in a sense, with curved wings that seem almost birdlike when viewed from behind the plane. But while the A380 inspires awe, its eventual success is not assured.

That is not because Airbus lacks orders. It has plenty, even if no American or Japanese carriers have bought passenger versions. The risk Airbus is running is the same one that devastated two other industries: telecommunications and genetically altered food. In each case, companies' sales rose rapidly, only to plunge because the customers had their own business problems.

In telecommunications, the stock market bubble financed companies that ordered equipment based on business models that did not work. Lucent shares went from $64 to $1 as its customers defaulted and tried to unload what they had bought.

No airport in America will ever take the A380.

Posted by Orrin Judd at June 17, 2005 12:16 PM

Never say never, 1 or 2 might.

After Airbus trashing Atlanta, one of the world's busiest, I don't think one would land there, but LA and 1 of the NY areas would take it.

I don't want that thing over me on 294 to depart/arrive at ORD.

Posted by: Sandy P. at June 17, 2005 1:30 PM


You think King Richard II is ever going to let one of those "birds" land in Chicago, home of Boeing?

Assuming he hasn't gone to jail by then...

Posted by: Rick T. at June 17, 2005 1:41 PM

I bet only John Wayne Airport in Orange County lets it land, at 11:00 pm.

Posted by: pchuck at June 17, 2005 1:44 PM

Fed Ex and UPS have bought the things for freight.

The passenger version will only be used on the hadj run.

Posted by: Robert Schwartz at June 17, 2005 2:28 PM

One of the TX airports intends to. I saw a comment by an airport official saying "We want that plane!" and talked about how they're going to be ready for it when it's in service.

Posted by: RC at June 17, 2005 5:27 PM

Forget the airports!
Even Weaselbus knows the W380 will be a bust, else why all the PR flak regarding the, yet to be designed, "competitor" to Boeing's new 787?

Posted by: Mike Daley at June 17, 2005 8:27 PM

King Richard won't be king too much longer.

Wife has cancer, son is in the army, just became a grandpop again and Patrick Fitzgerald's uncovering scandal after scandal.

He's getting old, mom's gone, why not enjoy life?

Posted by: Sandy P. at June 17, 2005 9:55 PM

One wonders why we aren't playing hardball against the illegal subsidies of Airbus by the Europeans. Perhaps a ban on the import of all European airplanes and other motorized vehicles into the US might be an interesting shot across the bow.

Posted by: bart at June 18, 2005 10:55 AM

Honolulu International will be begging for it, and the Japanese will oblige.

Probably the Chinese, too.

Posted by: Harry Eagar at June 19, 2005 4:15 PM

Of course China will--only where the national government pays for the runways and people have no say will it happen.

Posted by: oj at June 19, 2005 5:37 PM
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