March 11, 2005


For 2008, Republicans Have Early Lead (Angus Reid Consultants - CPOD Global Scan, 3/10/05)

The Republican Party could retain control of the White House after the next presidential election in the United States, according to a poll by the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. More respondents would support Republican politicians in six out of seven head-to-head contests against prospective Democratic Party candidates. [...]

John Kerry (D) 37% - 55% John McCain (R)
John Edwards (D) 39% - 51% John McCain (R)
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) 42% - 52% John McCain (R)
John Kerry (D) 44% - 50% Rudy Giuliani (R)
John Edwards (D) 43% - 49% Rudy Giuliani (R)
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) 47% - 49% Rudy Giuliani (R)
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) 51% - 43% Condoleezza Rice (R)

Given that the Republican ticket starts with 30+ states (even Bob Dole carried that many against the most popular Democrat since JFK), it's almost impossible to lose. The right ticket though could run up a huge victory.

Posted by Orrin Judd at March 11, 2005 2:07 PM

I saw these numbers earlier this week, and the breakout on the results for Hillary and Condoleezza interested me. While Rice has been trashed by Democrats and in the media often over the past year, that's a really big swing compared to the other GOP candidates listed. It may just be some see her as too pro-Bush and hard line, but I suspect there's a little bit of the Robert Byrd factor in there among some of the voters.

Posted by: John at March 11, 2005 2:32 PM

black and female doesn't help, but it's most likely just name recognition.

Posted by: oj at March 11, 2005 2:37 PM

Of course, by 2008 she'll be Vice-President Rice, and have much better name recognition.

Posted by: Mike Morley at March 11, 2005 2:56 PM

As a conservative/libertarian in Arizona, I will refuse to vote for any GOP ticket which includes Senator John McCain.

Posted by: jd watson at March 11, 2005 3:41 PM

Those McCain numbers look good. I guess contra to jd watson, I might just have to suck it up and vote for the back-stabbing bozo. I'm not as principled as JD.

Posted by: h-man at March 11, 2005 4:10 PM

Jeb's going to be the nominee, and they didn't even poll on him.

Posted by: Casey Abell at March 11, 2005 6:42 PM

Jeb's going to be Condi's running mate.

Posted by: Mike Morley at March 11, 2005 10:12 PM