October 25, 2004


New Poll Shocker: Thune 49%, Daschle 45% (John McLaughlin, October 25, 2004, McLaughlin & Associates)

John McLaughlin of McLaughlin & Associates conducted a tracking survey of 400 likely South Dakotan voters (MOE: +/- 4.9%) on Thursday, October 21st and Sunday, October 24th, for the National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC). The key findings are as follows:

“If the election for U.S. Senate in South Dakota were held today, and the candidates were Tom Daschle, the Democrat candidate, and John Thune, the Republican candidate, for whom would you vote?”

Thune: 48.5% Daschle: 44.5% Undecided: 7.0%

Favorable 56.5%, Thune; 49.8%, Daschle Unfavorable 35.0%, Thune; 44.0% Daschle

Posted by Orrin Judd at October 25, 2004 11:44 PM

And troubled, too.

Posted by: Fred Jacobsen (San Fran) at October 25, 2004 11:49 PM

It's a poll commissioned by the NRSC so it might be more favorable to Thune. That said Thune has a very good shot of taking this seat. Too bad Bush can't drop by and give him a last minute boost.

Posted by: AWW at October 26, 2004 12:05 AM

On a related note Miller over at NRO is stuck at GOP +2 for the Senate despite more positive news like this and in NC, OK, CO, and AK.

Posted by: AWW at October 26, 2004 12:07 AM

Johnson's campaign in '02 was basically "Sure, I'm a lightweight, and you don't agree with me or my party on much of anything, but a vote for me is a vote for Daschle as Majority Leader, and then he'll bring home the pork!" As the Republicans get some breathing room between them and the 50 seat mark, hopefully some of these seats will start to flip their way...

Posted by: brian at October 26, 2004 12:15 AM

...not to mention concerned.

Posted by: at October 26, 2004 2:48 AM

It looks like Daschle will have to get out the vote of a few hundred generations of dead Native Americans.

Posted by: Peter at October 26, 2004 2:50 AM

I would imagine that Daschle will be 'ghost dancing' from now till Election Day. It changes the meaning of drumming up the vote.

Posted by: Bart at October 26, 2004 6:52 AM

Sitting Bull and Sacagawea have already endorsed Daschle.

Posted by: AC at October 26, 2004 12:58 PM

I'm with AWW. Color me skeptical.

But at least daschle's sweating, and that's always a pleasure.

Posted by: Ptah at October 26, 2004 2:51 PM