October 22, 2004


Poll: Voters Divided Along Marital Lines: New ABC News Poll Shows Gender Gap Replaced by Marital Gap (DALIA SUSSMAN, Oct. 22, 2004, ABC News)

The gender gap just might be passé. This year's electorate currently is divided more along marital lines than gender lines, a contrast from the last presidential election.

Men support George W. Bush over John Kerry by an eight-point margin in the latest ABC News tracking poll, while women are split between the candidates. In 2000 there was a bigger difference between the sexes: Bush +11 among men, Al Gore +11 among women.

Polls are not predictive and the final breakdown remains to be seen. But as of now, marital status tells more of a story. Married voters — men and women — are strong Bush groups: Married women support him by 19 points, 56-37 percent, and married men by 22 points, 59-37 percent. Kerry, though, is favored by six in 10 single men and women alike.

One difficulty for Kerry is that there are a lot more married voters than single ones.

Marriage--like tax paying and property ownership--should be a prerequisite for the vote.

Posted by Orrin Judd at October 22, 2004 9:29 PM

Isn't the gender gap more significant for the guy who loses than for the guy who wins?

Posted by: Bart at October 22, 2004 10:48 PM

Perhaps its just a coincidence that the Democratic Party is the party of homosexual 'marraige', single motherhood, abortion-on-demand, etc., and declines in acceptance among 'ordinary' Americans. Who woulda thought.

Posted by: Fred Jacobsen (San Fran) at October 23, 2004 4:08 AM

Marriage as a qualification for the franchise? Hm. Maybe. I think I might like it better if the qualification were the responsibility for one or more "registered dependents," though that does get into privacy issues a bit.

It was so obviously a mistake to remove the tax-paying and land-owning qualifications for the vote that comment ought not to be required -- but just voicing the idea in public can get you tarred, feathered, and ridden out of town on a rail.

How far we have fallen.

Posted by: Francis W. Porretto at October 23, 2004 6:15 AM

The 15th, 19th and 26th Amendments prevent the government from denying people the right to vote on account of race, sex and age. There is nothing unconstitutional about making tax paying and property ownership a prerequisite for voting.

Posted by: Vince at October 23, 2004 11:20 PM


Everybody pays taxes.

Posted by: Jeff Guinn at October 24, 2004 8:18 AM

Orrin wants to fix it so there is no doubt about the outcome of elections. He's Stalinist that way.

Posted by: Harry Eagar at October 24, 2004 3:19 PM
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