October 28, 2004

50 & 60 & 240:

Poll: Republicans inch ahead (Bill Harlan, 10/28/04, Rapid City Journal)

Republicans John Thune and Larry Diedrich have overcome double-digit deficits to draw ahead of their Democratic rivals, Sen. Tom Daschle and Rep. Stephanie Herseth, according to an independent poll.

The Republicans' leads were between about 1 and 2.5 percentage points - within the poll's 3.5 percent margin of error - and pollster John Zogby of Zogby International warned that the Senate and House races in South Dakota were too close to call. "We've got two competitive races here," he said.

Libertarian House candidate Terry Begay polled less than 1 percent.

The Rapid City Journal, KOTA-TV and other state media outlets commissioned the poll, which Zogby conducted Monday and Tuesday. Pollsters interviewed 800 likely voters.

Thune led Daschle 48 percent to 45.5 percent in the Senate race, Zogby said. Diedrich led Herseth to 47.2 percent to 46.1 percent.

In tie, candidates would pick Bush (Jennifer Sanderson, 10/28/2004, Argus Leader)
South Dakota's major-party candidates for U.S. House both said Wednesday night they would vote to re-elect George Bush if a tie in the Electoral College forced the House of Representatives to choose the next president.

And both agreed that, should they one day advance to the Senate, they would not apply a single-issue "litmus test" to U.S. Supreme Court nominees.

The hypothetical situations were posed to Democratic Rep. Stephanie Herseth and Republican challenger Larry Diedrich during a debate sponsored by the Argus Leader and KELO-TV. It was the pair's final exchange before Tuesday's election.

Red States will just keep getting redder as the permanent Republican majority takes hold.

Signs of a tough House race in the 45th District (Jeff Switzer, 10/28/04, King County Journal)

Republicans have turned up the heat in the 45th District on a key open seat that swings between the parties.

Campaign signs supporting Democrat Larry Springer have new companions with a matching color scheme that read ``Liberal-Larry.com.''

That Web site has cartoon caricatures of Springer and cites controversial votes he has taken as a Kirkland city councilman.

The site is paid for by the 45th Legislative District Republicans, and directs visitors to Springer's Republican opponent, Jeffrey Possinger, a Duvall city councilman.

Springer and Possinger are fighting on behalf of their parties to succeed Democrat Laura Ruderman, who left her House seat to run for secretary of state. Control of the state House might hang in the balance.

Posted by Orrin Judd at October 28, 2004 3:56 PM

Amusingly, Herseth just stated that if the Electoral College is a tie, throwing the choice to the House, she would vote for Bush. Funny stuff.

In blue state news, MoveOn has had TV ads in heavy rotation in Honolulu for the past few days. And there's been a big spike in automated presidential poll phone calls. So someone thinks that the state is in play...

Posted by: brian at October 28, 2004 4:05 PM

MoveOn is delusional. If Hawaii is so close it's important to hold it, then Kerry has already lost the election.

Posted by: jd watson at October 28, 2004 4:17 PM

I live in an area outside Seattle that leans so far left, Democrat state legislators frequently run unopposed, yet I am seeing more and more Bush signs and bumper stickers. No state in the west is in more need of a shift to the right than WA and I hope the King County Journal article is on to something.

Posted by: Pat H at October 28, 2004 5:26 PM


The governors race seems to be trending GOP too, no?

Posted by: oj at October 28, 2004 6:35 PM

I'm sure Harry will impeach me (and persuasively, no doubt), but I see HI in Bush's column if networks declare contested eastern states for Bush shortly after closing of eastern time zone polling places.

Posted by: Fred Jacobsen (San Fran) at October 28, 2004 9:53 PM

Libertarian cantidade Terry Begay in SD?

I'd like to know more about that. Begay is a Navajo name - SD is a long way Navajo country, and I usually don't think of the Navajo as Libertarians.

Posted by: Jason Johnson at October 28, 2004 11:53 PM

Update: I should have googled him first. Interesting story. Father a Navajo, Mother Souix:

Posted by: Jason Johnson at October 28, 2004 11:58 PM