September 20, 2004

THE END OF HISTORY WON'T BE SKIPPING CAIRO:

Egypt's Ruling Party to Debate Reform Initiatives (Ursula Lindsey, 20 Sep 2004, VOA News)

Egypt's ruling party is scheduled to debate a series of reform initiatives at an annual conference that opens in Cairo Tuesday. Egyptian opposition groups are calling for constitutional amendments to change the way presidential elections are held, but National Democratic Party (NDP) officials officials say the conference will focus primarily on economic reform.

According to party sources and news reports, the conference will discuss legislative amendments to strengthen civil and women's rights, as well as economic and land reform issues.

Dr. Mohamed Abdel Moneim Saiid, director of the Al-Ahram Center for Political and Strategic Studies, says the proposed changes may make it easier to register new political parties.

"There are two things we are expecting from the NDP Conference," Dr. Saiid said. "One, a number of changes in the political system, related to party law, related to freedom of expression, related to syndicate and civil society formulations, and other things. The second thing we are expecting is more economic openness that's related to moving the economic system to a much more market-oriented system."


Having to intervene militarily in Egypt would make Iraq look like Grenada, so the sooner they start Reforming from within the better.

Posted by Orrin Judd at September 20, 2004 3:33 PM
Comments

Iraq look like Grenada? I didn't think the Egyptian was that powerful.

Posted by: AWW at September 20, 2004 4:00 PM

They have more people than Iraq and 25 years worth of US military aid. And despite their defeats, did perform well in the Yom Kippur War. By any standard they would be harder although they could not defeat the American military. Any occupation would likewise be much harder because there is no Shi'a-like constituency that would be helpful or at least benevolently neutral (except perhaps the Coptic Christians and they would refrain from collaboration for fear of reprisals after we leave.)

Still, I currently cannot envision a realistic scenario of any armed intervention in Egypt so the point is moot.

Posted by: Chris Durnell at September 20, 2004 4:25 PM

This would be the place for tactical nukes.

Posted by: jd watson at September 20, 2004 6:31 PM

I don't think this relic of curdled Nasserism, which in itself, is second cousin to the Baathist
plague, whose after effect is still haunting Iraq
is reformable. After Abdel Rachman, Al Zawahiri, &
Atta; there is enough of a causus belli. The Brits
invaded Egypt for much less in 1882 (they probably
overstayed their welcome,)

Posted by: narciso at September 20, 2004 9:53 PM

For public consumption. And to soothe an inevitably nervous population as heir's coronation fast approaches.

No one believes this PR announcement, except those in the west it's meant to persuade, assuage, or excite.

Posted by: Barry Meislin at September 21, 2004 2:08 AM

And to secure the sea route to India.

Posted by: M Ali Choudhury at September 21, 2004 6:11 AM
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