June 19, 2004


Neck and neck: Survey reveals no dramatic shift with one week left: NDP picks up strength with 20.5 per cent support (SUSAN DELACOURT, 6/19/04, Toronto Star)

The election campaign has become a nail-biting tug-of-war, with a new Toronto Star poll showing the Liberals and Conservatives virtually tied heading into the final week.

It now seems to be either party's election to win or lose on June 28, and voters are shrugging off their old expectations.

The poll, conducted by EKOS Research Associates this week for the Star and La Presse, shows the Conservatives still with a narrow lead, with 31.4 per cent support of decided voters, while Prime Minister Paul Martin's Liberals are at 29 per cent. The survey's margin of error is 3.3 percentage points.

The NDP has picked up some strength, with 20.5 per cent, while the Bloc Québécois is at 14.2 per cent. The Green party has 4.3 per cent.

There are still about 6.6 per cent of voters undecided, EKOS said. That is down from about 12 per cent last week.

Last week's poll had the Tories at 33.8 per cent nationally, the Liberals 30 per cent and the NDP 18.9 per cent. The Bloc was at 12.3 per cent and the Greens 4.6 per cent.

Think I'll paint the ceiling gray.

Posted by Orrin Judd at June 19, 2004 1:32 PM

"It now seems to be either party's election to win or lose"

Now THAT'S what I call insightful analysis!

Posted by: Rick T. at June 19, 2004 1:52 PM

"It went JUST as I predicted, except that the Silly Party won!"

Who counts as the Silly Party here is for the reader to decide.

Posted by: John Barrett Jr. at June 19, 2004 2:29 PM

Canadian Conservative = Oxymoron

Posted by: M.Murcek at June 19, 2004 4:21 PM

My, my, one might think there are some here who find the idea of a Conservative victory irritating. I wonder why that might be.

Posted by: Peter B at June 20, 2004 8:13 AM