June 18, 2004


The Ronald Reagan Effect?: President Bush's lead over Kerry widens and Cabinet members' ratings also rise (Harris Interactive, June 18, 2004)

Is it the effect of the nation's memories of Ronald Reagan or the expanding economy? Whatever the cause, the latest Harris Poll has a lot of good news for President Bush and the Republicans. The good news includes:

* A very modest improvement in President Bush's job ratings (which is within the possible margin of sampling error) to 50% positive, 49% negative.

* Significantly improved job ratings for Vice President Dick Cheney (from 36% positive to 42% positive), Secretary of State Colin Powell (from 63% positive to 67% positive), and Attorney General John Ashcroft (from 40% positive to 43% positive).

* Improved ratings for the Republicans in Congress (from 35% to 39% positive), House Speaker Dennis Hastert (from 25% to 29% positive), and Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist (from 26% to 30% positive).

However, the most startling change in the new Harris Poll compared to a comparable survey in April, is that President Bush has widened his lead over Senator John Kerry, from three points among likely voters then to 10 points now.

Posted by Orrin Judd at June 18, 2004 7:46 PM

20 years later and it doesn't change.

They lose.

We win.

Posted by: Sandy P at June 19, 2004 1:56 AM

I've been thinking this is more of a 'Clinton Bounce' than a 'Reagan Bounce'. The Clinton Love-Fest in the media is a reminder of his administration and I think people don't want to go back there.

Reagan helps in that his funeral week was an opportunity to see a truly devoted wife grieving with the nation over a man who stood for something greater than himself.

Then you get 24-7 Clinton and you see the tawdry con-man that the left embraces.

Then you see President Bush and he looks an awful lot like Reagan with his 'crazy' belief in life and liberty for all people. Of course he's going to get a bump in the polls.

Reagan helped, but without the contrast of Clinton you might not see a measurable positive effect for Bush.

Posted by: NKR at June 19, 2004 10:32 AM

And how much face time can there be for Kerry in the midst of all this Clinton coverage? Considering he took a week off during the mourning period for Reagan, Kerry has effectively been off-stage for two straight weeks - and the media might be focused on Clinton until debate season starts. Kerry can't like this, any more than he likes that silly talk about making Clinton his running-mate, which has again resurfaced.

What does it say about the Democratic Party that in an election year the people they are most talking about are a Republican and a man not elgible for the office?

Posted by: John Barrett Jr. at June 19, 2004 12:07 PM