June 26, 2004

ALL BLUE BATTLEFIELD FILES:

Poll shows Bush ahead in Wisconsin (UPI, 6/26/04)

The latest Badger Poll showed President George W. Bush ahead of Sen. John F. Kerry in the critical swing state of Wisconsin.

Bush led Kerry, 46 percent to 42 percent, in the poll, which sampled opinions from 504 adults. Liberal independent Ralph Nader took 5 percent in the survey, which was conducted by the University of Wisconsin's Survey Center between June 15 and June 23.


Swing? If the Democrats have to play catch-up in WI they're in deep. Plus there's a Senate seat on the line for them--one the GOP picked up in the '80 landslide.

Posted by Orrin Judd at June 26, 2004 12:43 PM
Comments

OJ - the pro-Kerry forces will argue Kerry is ahead because 42+5 =47 because no one will waste a vote on Nader.
As for the Senate race Feingold is vulnerable but the GOP hasn't come up with a candidate so this might be a lost opportunity for the GOP (unless Bush wins WI by 10+ pts which would indicate a huge landslide).

Posted by: AWW at June 26, 2004 12:55 PM

Note that the sample was of adults, not likely voters. The likely voter samples tend to be more conservative, so this poll would tend to underestimate the Bush lead.

Posted by: The Other Brother at June 26, 2004 1:20 PM

AWW:

They had no candidate in 80 and he won--as I recall he was one of the few to be re-elected in '86.

Posted by: oj at June 26, 2004 2:56 PM

OJ - Ok but it would take a monster Bush win to pull the GOP candidate over. GOP would probably pick up WA or CA before they pick up WI.

Posted by: AWW at June 26, 2004 3:02 PM

Why? Feingold has always been considered vulnerable.

Posted by: oj at June 26, 2004 3:15 PM

However, he is forthright and passionate - a combination that scares off would-be challengers. It is one thing to run against Wendell Ford or even Jacob Javits; it is quite another to run against Jimmy Stewart.

Posted by: jim hamlen at June 27, 2004 9:48 AM
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