May 20, 2002

59 IS A BIG NUMBER :

Perry leads by 25 points in poll : Results reveal ethnic divide; Sanchez says deficit is 12 points (GEORGE KUEMPEL, 05/20/2002, The Dallas Morning News)
Gov. Rick Perry enjoys a commanding 25-point lead over Democratic challenger Tony Sanchez in a matchup sharply divided along racial lines, according to a new poll of likely voters.

With the election five months away, Mr. Perry is ahead in every part of the state, including Mr. Sanchez's purported stronghold along the border and in South Texas.

Those surveyed also had a higher favorable impression of Mr. Perry than Mr. Sanchez, a Laredo banker and oilman in his first run for office. [...]

In the survey, Mr. Perry was the favorite of 59 percent, and 34 percent favored Mr. Sanchez. The rest were undecided.

The poll of 1,066 Texans who voted in at least one of the last two general elections was conducted May 7-13 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points, meaning the result could vary that much in either direction.


This race is kind of the mirror image of the California gubernatorial, where an attractive young Republican faces a fairly weak Democrat incumbent. But just as Bill Simon is unlikely to make much headway in a state (CA) that is fundamentally Democratic, Mr. Sanchez faces an uphill battle in a state (TX) that has become as Republican as any in the nation. Posted by Orrin Judd at May 20, 2002 7:21 AM
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