October 22, 2017

Posted by orrinj at 1:01 PM

THUS UNIVERSAL HSAs:

Jack Bogle and Nobel winner Richard Thaler both know this one thing about smart investing ; A nudge is great, but sometimes, the best thing to do is nothing (MITCH TUCHMAN, 10/21/17, Marketwatch)

Thaler and Sunstein make a relatively simple argument based on years of economic research about human biases. We are full of flaws forcing us to make mistakes that cost us health and wealth. We need help.

But we shouldn't be forced into better decisions, the authors argue. Rather, we should be "nudged" toward a selection of choices that are better than doing nothing, which tends to be the default.

For instance, people should be placed automatically into retirement plans at work but given the choice to opt out. In too many cases, the default is to opt in.

Likewise, our savings contributions should be automatic -- at a low level, with an opt-out choice -- in order to make sure people invest at least something. Those investments should be into a broad, easy-to-follow, low-cost portfolio, rather than piling up as uninvested cash.

Once a saver sees those investments growing, the impulse becomes to save more and to stay invested. They're already on the road toward a better retirement.

John Bogle, founder of the Vanguard Group, has long made the same arguments based his decades of experience working with investors.

Posted by orrinj at 12:18 PM

TAXING WHAT WE DON'T WANT FORCES INNOVATION:

G.M. and Ford Lay Out Plans to Expand Electric Models (BILL VLASIC and NEAL E. BOUDETTE, OCT. 2, 2017, NY Times)

China has said it will eventually ban gasoline-powered cars. California may be moving in the same direction. That pressure has set off a scramble by the world's car companies to embrace electric vehicles.

On Monday, General Motors, America's largest automaker, staked its claim to leadership. Outlining a fundamental shift in its vision of the industry, it announced plans for 20 new all-electric models by 2023, including two within the next 18 months.

G.M.'s announcement came a day before a long-scheduled investor presentation by Ford Motor that was also expected to emphasize electric models. After the G.M. news emerged, Ford let loose with its own announcement, saying it would add 13 electrified models over the next several years, with a five-year investment of $4.5 billion.

"General Motors believes in an all-electric future," said Mark L. Reuss, G.M.'s global product chief. "Although that future won't happen overnight, G.M. is committed to driving increased usage and acceptance of electric vehicles. [...]

More than consumer demand, however, it is regulatory pressure that is revving up the electric push, with officials in China, Europe and the United States ratcheting up emissions standards and setting or discussing deadlines that could eliminate gasoline-powered cars within a generation.

The announcements by G.M. and Ford follow pledges by the German automakers Volkswagen and Daimler to build hundreds of thousands of electric vehicles in the coming years, and the decision by Volvo, the Chinese-owned Swedish luxury brand, to convert its entire lineup to either electric cars or hybrid vehicles that are powered by both batteries and gas.

The accelerated pace of development also reflects the symbiotic relationship between battery-powered cars and another technological frontier; auto companies are tying their electric-car plans to lofty goals of building fleets of autonomous vehicles for ride-hailing services.

The automakers believe they can solve the problem of achieving -- as G.M.'s chief executive, Mary T. Barra, has begun stressing -- a world with "zero crashes, zero emissions, and zero congestion."

It is a stunning statement from a company that, together with Ford, sells more large pickup trucks and full-size sport utility vehicles than the rest of the global industry combined -- and from an industry that grudgingly got into building electric vehicles in the face of stricter fuel emissions standards.



Posted by orrinj at 12:14 PM

OUTSIDE THE CULT:


Posted by orrinj at 12:12 PM

...AND CHEAPER...:


Posted by orrinj at 9:37 AM

WE ARE ALL DESIGNIST NOW:

Universe shouldn't exist, CERN physicists conclude : A super-precise measurement shows proton and antiproton have identical magnetic properties (Cathal O'Connell, 10/21/17, Cosmos)

One of the great mysteries of modern physics is why antimatter did not destroy the universe at the beginning of time.

To explain it, physicists suppose there must be some difference between matter and antimatter - apart from electric charge. Whatever that difference is, it's not in their magnetism, it seems.

Physicists at CERN in Switzerland have made the most precise measurement ever of the magnetic moment of an anti-proton - a number that measures how a particle reacts to magnetic force - and found it to be exactly the same as that of the proton but with opposite sign. The work is described in Nature.

"All of our observations find a complete symmetry between matter and antimatter, which is why the universe should not actually exist," says Christian Smorra, a physicist at CERN's Baryon-Antibaryon Symmetry Experiment (BASE) collaboration. "An asymmetry must exist here somewhere but we simply do not understand where the difference is."

Posted by orrinj at 9:33 AM

ABOVE AVERAGE IS OVER:

Robots Are Coming for These Wall Street Jobs| (Saijel Kishan, Hugh Son and Mira Rojanasakul, October 18, 2017, Bloomberg)

Wall Street is entering a new era. The fraternity of bond jockeys, derivatives mavens and stock pickers who've long personified the industry are giving way to algorithms, and soon, artificial intelligence.

Banks and investment funds have been tinkering for years, prompting anxiety for employees. Now, firms are rolling out machine-learning software to suggest bets, set prices and craft hedges. The tools will relieve staff of routine tasks and offer an edge to those who stay. But one day, machines may not need much help. It's no wonder most of the jobs Goldman Sachs Group Inc.'s securities business posted online in recent months were for tech talent. Billionaire trader Steven Cohen is experimenting with automating his top money managers. Venture capitalist Marc Andreessen has said 100,000 financial workers aren't needed to keep money flowing.

This map of trading automation is based on interviews with about a dozen senior banking and investing executives on Wall Street, many of whom focus on adopting new tech. It offers a sense of their projects -- some of them just starting -- that will affect traders within big firms.

Posted by orrinj at 9:14 AM

THEY SHOULD BE HONORED HE DIDN'T JUST TWEET THEM:

Donald Trump Is Rush-Shipping Condolences to Military Families : Three families of fallen servicemembers received next-day UPS letters from President Trump after a turbulent week in which Trump falsely claimed he had called "virtually all" of the families. (LENA FELTON AND TAYLOR HOSKING OCT 21, 2017, The Atlantic)

The Trump administration is scrambling to defend the president's characterization of his communications with grieving military families, including rush-delivering letters from the president to the families of servicemembers killed months ago. Donald Trump falsely claimed this week that he had called "virtually" all fallen servicemembers' families since his time in office.

Timothy Eckels Sr. hadn't heard anything from President Trump since his son Timothy Eckels Jr. was killed after a collision involving the USS John S. McCain on August 21. But then, on October 20, two days into the controversy over the president's handling of a condolence call with an American soldier's widow, Eckels Sr. received a United Parcel Service package dated October 18 with a letter from the White House.

Posted by orrinj at 9:10 AM

ABOVE AVERAGE IS OVER:

The Future of Banking Probably Isn't Banking : With companies like Google, Apple, and Amazon getting involved in payment transactions, banking as we know it could dramatically change. (Andy O'Sullivan, 10/22/17, FEE)

Amazon Cash

This is a relatively new service from Amazon where consumers can load cash into their Amazon account via physical retailers, via a barcode. It's aimed at consumers that don't have bank cards -- but it raises some interesting possibilities, such as: If I was Amazon, what would I do next?

Right now, it works like this:

Consumers add money to their Amazon account by handing cash over in a retailer.

They can then spend it online.

But what if Amazon (or some other tech company) also:

Does a deal with retailers allowing consumers to use their Amazon (or similar) account in-store and not just online?

Allows consumers who actually do have bank cards/accounts to be paid, instead, into their Amazon account -- perhaps by offering no fees, or interest, or free services like Prime?

Then perhaps they mention that they also offer credit. Need a small loan to buy that TV in Walmart? No problem, we can do that. Just click here!

Note that there's no bank involved in any of that process, just a tech giant who already has a relationship with a consumer offering them some more services, on top of all the other services they offer.

Isn't That Just Amazon Being a Bank?

One could argue that what I just proposed is just Amazon becoming a bank -- and perhaps legally, they may require a banking license for certain products -- but I think that would be the same as saying that Netflix is a video store. Video stores are gone, replaced by a new way of consuming films and tv shows.

Posted by orrinj at 8:53 AM

NOT THEIR FIRST RODEO:

5 Living Ex-Presidents Appear On Stage For Hurricane Relief Concert (DOREEN MCCALLISTER, 10/22/17, NPR)

The last time the five former presidents were together was in 2013 at the dedication of George W. Bush's presidential library in Dallas.

The concert at Texas A&M is not the first time former presidents have raised money for disaster relief.

In 2004, George H.W. Bush and Bill Clinton worked together to raise money after the tsunami in South Asia, and again the following year after Hurricane Katrina.

In 2011, Clinton and George W. Bush requested donations after Haiti's earthquake.

Jim McGrath, a spokesman for George H.W. Bush, says the hurricane relief effort has raised at least $31 million since it began Sept. 7.

Posted by orrinj at 8:35 AM

KNOWING YOUR ALLIES:

How the Russians pretended to be Texans - and Texans believed them (Casey Michel, 10/17/17, The Washington Post)

That was how I eventually found my way to the "Heart of Texas" Facebook page (and its @itstimetoecede Twitter feed as well). Heart of Texas soon grew into the most popular Texas secession page on Facebook - one that, at one point in 2016, boasted more followers than the official Texas Democrat and Republican Facebook pages combined. By the time Facebook took the page down recently, it had a quarter of a million followers.

The page started slowly - just a few posts per week. Unlike other secession sites I'd come across, this one never carried any contact information, never identified any of individuals behind the curtain. Even as it grew, there was nothing to locate it in Texas - or anywhere else, for that matter. It was hard to escape the suspicion that there might be Russian involvement here as well.

There were other oddities about the site. Its organizers had a strangely one-dimensional idea of its subject. They seemed to think, for example, that Texans drank Dr. Pepper at all hours: while driving their giant trucks, while flying their Confederate battle flags, while griping about Yankees and liberals and vegetarians.

But Heart of Texas, sadly, was no joke. At one point the page's organizers even managed to stir up its followers into staging an armed, anti-Islamic protest in Houston. As gradually became clear, this was part of a broader strategy. The sponsors of the page were keen to exacerbate America's own internal divisions. At certain moments they lent support to Black Lives Matter, while in others they would play to the latent (or obvious) racism of Donald Trump's base.

By the summer of 2016, other themes began to emerge. Posts began to follow a perceptibly hard-right course, stressing Texas's status as a "Christian state," or touting the Second Amendment as a "symbol of freedom . . . so we would forever be free from any tyranny." Some of the page's contributors talked about the need to "keep Texas Texan," whatever that meant. There was also a generous dollop of conspiracy theory. There were posts about the allegedly unnatural death of Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia and the supposed federal invasion orders behind the Jade Helm military exercise. Fake Founding Father quotes mingled with anti-Muslim screeds and paeans to Sam Houston. And the number of followers steadily crept into the hundreds of thousands.

Though the site's authors understood their audience well, there was something off about their writing. The page's "About" section proclaimed that "Texas's the land protected by Lord [sic]." Grammatical and spelling glitches were everywhere: "In Love With Texas Shape," "State Fair of Texas - Has You Already Visited?," "Always Be Ready for a Texas Size," "No Hypoclintos in the God Blessed Texas." (Or take this caption for a photo of country music star George Strait: "Life is not breaths you take, but the moments that take your breth [sic] away.") Yet the typos never seemed to raise any suspicions in readers' minds.

Even the page's calls for an early November protest across the state - part pro-secession, part anti-Clinton - were garbled. One post declared that "we are free citizens of Texas and we've had enough of this cheap show on the screen." The site called on those who showed up to "make photos."

Heart of Texas chugged on after the election, bringing in tens of thousands of new followers in 2017 who were unbothered by its mangled English, its rank nativism and its calls to break up the United States.

And then, in August, it was gone. Just like that, the most popular Texas secession page on Facebook was revealed to be a Russian front, operated by the notorious Internet Research Agency, with Facebook removing all of the posts from public view. (It's worth noting that another Instagram account started posting Heart of Texas material as soon as the original Facebook page was taken down.)

October 21, 2017

Posted by orrinj at 6:58 PM

FAMILY MATTERS:

Rep. Frederica Wilson didn't flinch at Trump's attacks. Her record explains why. (Derek Hawkins October 19 , 2017, Washington Post)

Wilson has a long track record of taking on her constituents' tragedies as her own, helping people grieve and rallying her community in tough times -- especially those who come out of her program, news archives show.

When a 22-year-old soldier from south Florida was killed in a car-bomb attack in the early days of the Iraq War, the news fell hard on Wilson.

It was spring 2004, and Wilson was then a state senator representing the Miami area. The soldier, Pfc. Jeremy Ricardo Ewing, was not only her constituent but a recent graduate of her mentoring program. She had known him since he was a middle-schooler.

At his funeral, she was overcome with grief and anger. She told the Miami Herald at the time that she believed Ewing died fighting in a senseless war, and she criticized the Bush administration's rationale for the U.S.-led invasion. "I could not help but think how we went into war when the president said there are weapons of mass destruction," she said. "And to this day, to this day, we have not found them. Now, Jeremy is gone."

Days later, the 5,000 Role Models program held a memorial service honoring Ewing. Wilson lit a candle for him, and offered more restrained remarks about his death. "It's unfortunate what happened to this young man," she said, "but I feel proud to say I knew him and that he was part of my organization."

Ewing's death came shortly after another graduate of the program, Edmond Randle, 26, was killed by an improvised explosive device on a road north of Baghdad. Wilson knew him, too, as local media noted at the time.

Two years later, in 2006, Miami-Dade County was rattled by an alarming spike in homicides. Three of the victims had taken part in Wilson's program. One was college-bound alum of 5,000 Role Models. Another was a wood shop teacher who served as a program mentor.

The third, Eviton Brown, 24,was a star football player who attended Florida A&M University, the Herald reported at the time.

When Brown was gunned down in northern Miami in October 2006, Wilson seized on the opportunity to call for gun control to curb the violence that killed the three men.

"He was killed with an assault weapon that probably only those fighting in a war should have access to," she told the Herald.

The same year, a 9-year-old girl was struck by a stray bullet and killed while she was playing in front of her house in Miami's Liberty City neighborhood. The morning of her funeral, Wilson announced that the girl's teenage brother would be awarded a full college scholarship, the Herald reported at the time.

Ending gun violence has been one of Wilson's signature campaigns since she became active in politics.

In the late 1990s, as a school board member, she founded Stop Day, a statewide cease-fire and anti-violence pledge. She has also marched in vigils and presided over community meetings on gun violence, and has long focused on keeping children safe from gunfire.

Posted by orrinj at 6:13 PM

THANKS, MS LERNER!:

NAACP Elects New President, Will Assume More Political Non-Profit Tax Status (CHRIS BENDEREV, 10/21/17, NPR)

The organization announced its new president and CEO and its intention to alter its tax status to a non-profit category that permits more aggressive political lobbying. [...]

During a phone call with reporters, Johnson also said the NAACP's national office would soon transition from the 501(c)3 non-profit status it currently holds to become a 501(c)4.

The change will lift significant restrictions on the NAACP's ability to engage in political lobbying. IRS rules permit political actions by 501(c)4 groups, though not as their "primary activity."

Posted by orrinj at 12:59 PM

AND THEY ALL HATE JIMMY:

All former US presidents to appear at hurricane relief concert; Trump sending his thanks (Caroline Kenny, 10/21/17, CNN)

All five living former US presidents will take part in a benefit concert Saturday in Texas to raise money for hurricane relief efforts.

Former Presidents Barack Obama, George W. Bush, Bill Clinton, George H.W. Bush and Jimmy Carter will attend the event at Reed Arena at Texas A&M University.

Reminds of the story when Reagan sent Ford, Carter & Nixon to Sadat's funeral.  Bob Dole said : there go See No Evil, Speak no Evil and Evil.

Posted by orrinj at 12:57 PM

ALL COMEDY IS CONSERVATIVE:


Posted by orrinj at 12:52 PM

THANKS, DONALD!:

Hey, Virginia! You've got a governor to elect in three weeks! (Marc Fisher October 15, 2017, Washington Post)

As the nation's only competitive statewide contest this year, the Virginia race has been viewed by people in the politics business as a crucial bellwether, an early measure of whether voters are motivated to push back against an unpopular president or double down on their drive to disrupt Washington and "drain the swamp."

But far fewer Virginia voters are closely following the campaign than at similar stages in the past three gubernatorial elections, according to Washington Post polling.

Even those who might be assumed to be searching for a way to send a message about a president they consider inept or dangerous say they are paying little attention to the Virginia race.

Martin Cox, who works for a defense contractor in Leesburg, is a steady Democrat who voted for Hillary Clinton last fall and considers Trump "bombastic and noisy." Cox, 35, usually follows campaigns for governor closely, taking weekend time to thoroughly research the candidates' views.

Not this year.

"Given Trump's penchant for sucking the air out of the room, this election could be a way to send a message that he needs to start listening to all sides and tone down the way he speaks," Cox said. "But I haven't really heard much about the candidates and I haven't done my research. When I look at the news now, it's about Trump saying the latest crazy thing, and that's where the attention focuses."

It's how he won the Republican primaries--he was, in effect, the only one running.

Posted by orrinj at 12:47 PM

GREATEST WAR EVER:

After strikes, Syria says Israel is backing anti-regime 'terrorists' (Times of Israel, 10/21/17)

Syria on Saturday issued letters of complaint to the United Nations in which it denounced the day's Israeli strikes on Syrian army targets, accusing the Jewish state of conspiring with local "terror groups," the Ynet website reported.

In the morning the Israeli army hit three Syrian artillery targets in the Golan Heights, in a response hours after five projectiles landed in open ground in Israel as a result of spillover fire from the fighting in Syria.

Foreigners who joined IS face almost certain death in Raqqa : World governments are loathe to let jihadists come back home, and may even be encouraging local forces to see that they die in battle (LORI HINNANT and SARAH EL DEEB, 10/20/17, AP)

The forces fighting the remnants of the Islamic State group in Syria have tacit instructions on dealing with the foreigners who joined the extremist group by the thousands: Kill them on the battlefield.

As they made their last stand in the northern Syrian city of Raqqa, an estimated 300 extremists holed up in and around a sports stadium and a hospital argued among themselves about whether to surrender, according to Kurdish commanders leading the forces that closed in. The final days were brutal -- 75 coalition airstrikes in 48 hours and a flurry of desperate IS car bombs that were easily spotted in the sliver of devastated landscape still under militant control.

No government publicly expressed concern about the fate of its citizens who left and joined the Islamic State fighters plotting attacks at home and abroad. In France, which has suffered repeated violence claimed by the Islamic State -- including the Nov. 13, 2015, attacks in Paris -- Defense Minister Florence Parly was among the few to say it aloud.

"If the jihadis perish in this fight, I would say that's for the best," Parly told Europe 1 radio last week.

Those were the orders, according to the US.

"Our mission is to make sure that any foreign fighter who is here, who joined ISIS from a foreign country and came into Syria, they will die here in Syria," said Brett McGurk, the top US envoy for the anti-IS coalition, in an interview with Dubai-based Al-Aan television.

"So if they're in Raqqa, they're going to die in Raqqa," he said.

Posted by orrinj at 10:11 AM

CONDESCENSION ON STEROIDS:

The White-Minstrel Show : 'Acting white' for white people (Kevin D. Williamson, October 20, 2017, National Review)

[I] do have something to say about the subject of white people acting white.
 
We rarely used to put it in racial terms, unless we were talking about Eminem or the Cash-Me-Ousside Girl or some other white person who has embraced (or affected) some part of black popular culture. With the Trump-era emergence of a more self-conscious form of white-identity politics -- especially white working-class identity politics -- the racial language comes to the surface more often than it used to. But we still rarely hear complaints about "acting un-white." Instead, we hear complaints about "elitism."

The parallels to the "acting white" phenomenon in black culture are fairly obvious: When aspiration takes the form of explicit or implicit cultural identification, however partial, with some hated or resented outside group that occupies a notionally superior social position, then "authenticity" is to be found in socially regressive manners, mores, and habits. It is purely reactionary.

The results are quite strange. Republicans, once the party of the upwardly mobile with a remarkable reflex for comforting the comfortable, have written off entire sections of the country -- including the bits where most of the people live -- as "un-American." Silicon Valley and California at large, New York City and the hated Acela corridor, and, to some extent, large American cities categorically are sneered at and detested. There is some ordinary partisanship in that, inasmuch as the Democrats tend to dominate the big cities and the coastal metropolitan aggregations, but it isn't just that. Conservatives are cheering for the failure of California and slightly nonplussed that New York City still refuses to regress into being an unlivable hellhole in spite of the best efforts of its batty Sandinista mayor. Not long ago, to be a conservative on Manhattan's Upper East Side was the most ordinary thing in the world. Now that address would be a source of suspicion. God help you if you should ever attend a cocktail party in Georgetown, the favorite dumb trope of conservative talk-radio hosts.

We've gone from William F. Buckley Jr. to the gentlemen from Duck Dynasty. Why?

American authenticity, from the acting-even-whiter point of view, is not to be found in any of the great contemporary American business success stories, or in intellectual life, or in the great cultural institutions, but in the suburban-to-rural environs in which the white underclass largely makes its home -- the world John Mellencamp sang about but understandably declined to live in.

Shake your head at rap music all you like: When's the last time you heard a popular country song about finishing up your master's in engineering at MIT?

White people acting white have embraced the ethic of the white underclass, which is distinct from the white working class, which has the distinguishing feature of regular gainful employment. The manners of the white underclass are Trump's -- vulgar, aggressive, boastful, selfish, promiscuous, consumerist. The white working class has a very different ethic. Its members are, in the main, churchgoing, financially prudent, and married, and their manners are formal to the point of icy politeness. You'll recognize the style if you've ever been around it: It's "Yes, sir" and "No, ma'am," but it is the formality of soldiers and police officers -- correct and polite, but not in the least bit deferential. It is a formality adopted not to acknowledge the superiority of social betters but to assert the equality of the speaker -- equal to any person or situation, perfectly republican manners. It is the general social respect rooted in genuine self-respect.

Its opposite is the sneering, leveling, drag-'em-all-down-into-the-mud anti-"elitism" of contemporary right-wing populism. Self-respect says: "I'm an American citizen, and I can walk into any room, talk to any president, prince, or potentate, because I can rise to any occasion." Populist anti-elitism says the opposite: "I can be rude enough and denigrating enough to drag anybody down to my level." Trump's rhetoric -- ridiculous and demeaning schoolyard nicknames, boasting about money, etc. -- has always been about reducing. Trump doesn't have the intellectual capacity to duke it out with even the modest wits at the New York Times, hence it's "the failing New York Times." Never mind that the New York Times isn't actually failing and that any number of Trump-related businesses have failed so thoroughly that they've gone into bankruptcy; the truth doesn't matter to the argument any more than it matters whether the fifth-grade bully actually has an actionable claim on some poor kid's lunch money. It would never even occur to the low-minded to identify with anybody other than the bully. That's what all that ridiculous stuff about "winning" was all about in the campaign. It is might-makes-right, i.e., the politics of chimpanzee troupes, prison yards, kindergartens, and other primitive environments. That is where the underclass ethic thrives -- and how "smart people" came to be a term of abuse.

This involves, inevitably, a good deal of fakery.

The man at the center of all this atavistic redneck revanchism is a pampered billionaire real-estate heir from New York City, and it has been something to watch the multi-millionaire populist pundits in Manhattan doing their best impersonations of beer-drinkin' regular guys from the sticks. I assume Sean Hannity picked up his purported love for country music in the sawdust-floored honky-tonks of . . . Long Island.

As a purely aesthetic enterprise, none of this clears my poor-white-trash cultural radar. I'm reminded of those so-called dive bars in Manhattan that spend $150,000 to make a pricey spot in Midtown look like a Brooklyn kid's idea of a low-rent roadside bar in Texas. (There's one that even has Lubbock license plates on the wall. I wonder where they got them -- is there some kind of mail-order dive-bar starter kit that comes with taxidermy, Texas license plates, and a few cases of Lone Star? Maybe via Amazon Prime?) The same crap is there -- because the same crap is everywhere -- but the arrangement isn't quite right.

The populist Right's abandonment of principle has been accompanied by a repudiation of good taste, achievement, education, refinement, and manners -- all of which are abominated as signs of effete "elitism." During the Clinton years, Virtue Inc. was the top-performing share in the Republican political stock exchange. Fortunes were made, books were sold by the ton, and homilies were delivered. The same people today are celebrating Donald Trump -- not in spite of his being a dishonest, crude serial adulterer but because of it. His dishonesty, the quondam cardinals of Virtue Inc. assure us, is simply the mark of a savvy businessman, his vulgarity the badge of his genuineness and lack of "political correctness," and his pitiless abuse of his several wives and children the mark of a genuine "alpha male." No less a virtue entrepreneur than Bill Bennett dismissed those who pointed out Trump's endless lies and habitual betrayals as suffering from "moral superiority," from people on "high horses," and said that Trump simply is "a guy who says some things awkwardly, indecorously, infelicitously."

Thus did the author of The Book of Virtues embrace the author of "Grab 'Em By the P***y."

We need a Moynihan Report for conservative broadcasters. [...]

My mother despised the college professors for whom she worked in her last job, who were unfailingly kind and generous to her, because they were unfailingly kind and generous to her, which she understood (as she understood many things) as condescension. Hers was a world of strict tribal hierarchy: She would, for example, enact petty cruelties on waitresses and grocery-store clerks and other people in service positions, taking advantage of the fact that she had momentary social inferiors, and she must have been confused that the professors and deans did not behave that way toward her. In fact, they did the opposite, entrusting her with work far beyond her modest formal credentials or the official duties of her position. Class is funny in a small-ish town: The father of a school friend of mine became the dean of her college and her boss, and she spoke of the family as though they inhabited some faraway realm when in reality they lived three blocks north and two blocks east. That she herself could have had a life more like theirs, or that her children might yet, never occurred to her -- it was sour grapes raised to a state of psychosis.

Feeding such people the lie that their problems are mainly external in origin -- that they are the victims of scheming elites, immigrants, black welfare malingerers, superabundantly fecund Mexicans, capitalism with Chinese characteristics, Walmart, Wall Street, their neighbors -- is the political equivalent of selling them heroin. (And I have no doubt that it is mostly done for the same reason.) It is an analgesic that is unhealthy even in small doses and disabling or lethal in large ones. The opposite message -- that life is hard and unfair, that what is not necessarily your fault may yet be your problem, that you must act and bear responsibility for your actions -- is what conservatism used to offer, before it became a white-minstrel show. It is a sad spectacle, but I do have some hope that the current degraded state of the conservative movement will not last forever.

The thing about eternals truths is, they're eternal.

The really wicked thing here is the belief, on the part of these formerly conservative activists, is that they are embracing white trashiness because they think it gives them license to engage in racism/Nativism. It's a mark of how much they despise non-elite whites.


Posted by orrinj at 9:48 AM

NO ONE HATES JUST MEXICANS:

John Kelly's Lies About Frederica Wilson Are Part of a Pattern of Not Believing Black Women (Shaun King, October 21 2017, The Intercept)

Not once did Wilson ever mention getting funding for the building; it was funded years earlier. She never even broaches the subject of money; she never mentions this $20 million line or getting funding from Obama. It never happened. Period. It's so dishonest that it's bizarre.

Instead, Wilson, who was thanked by FBI Director James Comey for helping the building be named posthumously after fallen officers, told the comical bipartisan story of how she and House Speaker Paul Ryan and so many others rushed to get the naming through Congress in record time, because the ribbon-cutting had already been scheduled. She thanked her colleagues in her congressional delegation, Republicans and Democrats, by name. She honored the fallen officers and their families. She honored the FBI agents in the audience, then took her seat.

Rep. Frederica Wilson, D-Fla., and others attend the April 10, 2015, opening of a new FBI South Florida field office named for office is named for two agents who were killed in an April 11, 1986, shootout with heavily armed bank robbers south of Miami. Photo: Wilfredo Lee/Pool/AP
WILSON WAS PROUD. She should've been. At a time where Congress gets nothing done, and partisan bickering jams up even routine business, that was put aside and the building was dedicated on time in the honor of the officers. It wasn't saving the world, but she never made it out to be. Her remarks were witty, beautiful, warm, and gracious. And they were filmed.

The actual speech makes Kelly's remarks all the more disgusting. That he started off his recollection of Wilson by calling her an "empty barrel" is beyond the pale. Beyond being a member of Congress, she is a hero in her community. She helped mentor Johnson, the soldier who died in Niger, and has done the same with hundreds, perhaps thousands, of young people in Florida. She has a doctorate. She was a celebrated school principal. No woman should be called an "empty barrel" -- that Kelly used that as his launching point was a gross insult to a woman with a distinguished life of public service.

What Kelly did followed a week in which the trusted words of black women were repeatedly called into question.
Second, Kelly lied. The man did not misunderstand her. He lied - not once but over and over again. He fabricated an entire story about what she told the audience that day. Wilson didn't brag about raising money or securing funding. It simply never happened. The lies from Kelly were so specific that one must wonder if he, like Trump, is either a serial liar, or if his mental faculties should be called into question.

Or, perhaps, the story he told is a disturbing insight into how his mind works. Consider that Kelly watched Wilson give the remarks she gave in the video. If by some chance he isn't lying, and he truly believes that's what he heard, then think about how her speech was transformed by Kelly's perception of her. He saw her tell, in real life, an amusing story about parliamentary maneuvering to name a building. Yet Kelly heard, in his mind, a story about a money-grubbing, credit-hogging grandstander. And consider that Wilson has been overcoming perceptions like that her entire life.

'Trump is messing with the wrong woman' : The president has never feuded with a politician quite like Florida Rep. Frederica Wilson. (MARC CAPUTO 10/20/2017, Politico)

[T]he technicolor clothes and flashy demeanor belies the grim legacy that made her an icon in the African-American community in Florida and, now, the nation: her advocacy for young black men, particularly those who end up dead. Since her time in the Florida legislature, Wilson's political identity has been forged by fights - often with a white, male-dominated establishment -- to figure out what happened to them and why.

More than 11 years before Sgt. La David Johnson was killed with three other soldiers in Niger, a 14-year-old named Martin Lee Anderson died after he was beaten by guards at a boot camp in Panama City, a Deep South city in northern Florida.

The sheriff's office ran the boot camp and was slow to investigate. So was the Florida Department of Law Enforcement. Wilson, however, joining with other a bipartisan team of legislators, helped forced an independent investigation and an exhumation of the child's body for a second autopsy. While the boot camp guards and a nurse were acquitted of charges, the state legislature ultimately changed boot camp laws and compensated the family for the teen's death.

For the Anderson's family attorney, Benjamin Crump, the public relations tactics that snagged statewide headlines -- from a second autopsy to organized marches featuring Al Sharpton -- became a template for drawing national attention to another death of another 14-year-old seven years later, Trayvon Martin, who was shot by a neighborhood watchman named George Zimmerman.

Wilson stood by the side of the parents of Trayvon, who hailed from her district based in the heavily African-American city of Miami Gardens in the shadow of the stadium where the Miami Dolphins and Miami Hurricanes play.

"Black men are targets. The system has the scope aimed directly at our backs and Frederica Wilson has devoted a life to exposing that," said Crump, who has allied with her in yet another case involving the shooting death of motorist Corey Jones by a Palm Beach Gardens police officer.

"From our first case with her, with Martin Lee Anderson, she was vocal. She would begin every press conference by saying, 'it's murder.' She would not be quiet. She demanded the truth," Crump said. "And it's similar to La David Johnson's case. She will not be quiet ... Trump is messing with the wrong woman."

Unlike all of the other high-profile cases Wilson has been involved with, Johnson's death after an Oct. 4 ambush in Niger had a deeply personal dimension.

Johnson had enrolled in Wilson's nonprofit, 5000 Role Models of Excellence, a program for at-risk African-American kids. His father had been a student when Wilson was a principal at a local school decades before. Johnson's mother is a constituent, as well as a bus driver with the school district where Wilson has deep roots.

When the congresswoman and the family tried to find out what happened, Wilson said, the Pentagon gave no answers. She joined with her fellow Florida Congressman Alcee Hastings, a Democrat and fellow member of the Congressional Black Caucus, and penned a letter seeking answers. Still nothing. Wilson said she wanted to know not just why Johnson and his fellow soldiers were so at risk, but why Johnson appeared to have been left behind when the others were evacuated shortly after the attack.

"Why was he separated?" Wilson asked. "Was he kidnapped? Was he lost? Was he already expired? What happened to him? Why, 48 hours later, did we still not know where he was?"

Johnson's family, meanwhile, had not heard from the president with a condolence call, either. When reporters finally asked about the attack in Niger, Trump, who had not acknowledged the deaths publicly, responded by inaccurately criticizing President Obama and suggesting his predecessor never called Gold Star families of the fallen.

"Throughout all this time, Trump had been tweeting and carrying on about NFL football players taking a knee and not one damn time did he say a word about Niger," Hastings said.

Posted by orrinj at 9:45 AM

GREATEST WAR EVER:

At Least 52 Egyptian Police Killed In Clash With Islamic Militants (Reuters, October 21, 2017)

Security sources said a convoy of police vehicles were following a lead to a suspected hideout of the Hasm extremist group when they were ambushed from higher ground by militants firing rocket-propelled grenades and detonating explosive devices.

That led to a shoot-out. Hasm later claimed responsibility for the attack, saying in a statement that 28 members of the security forces were killed, with 32 injured.

October 20, 2017

Posted by orrinj at 7:31 PM

THUS, THE MORALITY OF A NUCLEAR FIRST STRIKE:

360 video shot over North Korea shows a sprawling, empty metropolis (Tristan Greene, 10/20/17, Next Web)

I'm taken aback by the sterility of the environment in North Korea. In the video you barely see any traffic, there doesn't appear to be any masses of people anywhere, and there isn't a single piece of advertising in sight.

There's no risk of collateral damage because the regime is too paranoid to allow normal people to live there.

Posted by orrinj at 7:24 PM

NOT MUCH OF AN ENEMY, BUT IT WAS FUN BEATING THEM ANYWAY:

The Bloody End of the Islamic State's Utopian Dream (GRAEME WOOD, 10/19/17, THE ATLANTIC)

The fall of Raqqa this week completed the slow-motion demolition of the world's only utopian movement worthy of the name. Like most utopian movements, the Islamic State was barbaric and iniquitous, precisely because it held its own refinement and egalitarianism in such high regard. Assume eventual absolution by history or God, and anything goes in the meantime.

The pleasure of dancing on the Islamic State's grave should not be denied, even if it is true, as experts remind us, that its zombified hand might yet emerge from the earth to grab our ankles as we do so. Having lost Raqqa (and before it Hawija, Tal Afar, and Mosul), it now still holds border areas between Iraq and Syria, plus isolated territory in Libya, Sinai, Afghanistan, and the southern Philippines. What it no longer controls is territory from which it can make its most important claim--that it has built a paradise on earth, where God's law is the only law, and Muslims can live lives that fully express their faith. It once boasted that women, children, and the elderly could live full and happy lives in Raqqa. Now an invitation to hijra--migration to Islamic State territory--is simply an invitation to die quickly on the field of battle.

Posted by orrinj at 6:42 PM

THERE'S NO YURI ANDROPOV TO SAVE THEM THIS TIME:

Is Vladimir Putin Losing His Grip? (ANDERS Ă…SLUND, 10/19/17, Project Syndicate)

In many ways, Russia has been moving backward in recent decades. In the 1990s, Russia was a freewheeling place, where virtually everything was allowed. Moscow had 20 daily newspapers, with views ranging from liberal to Stalinist. Today, Russian civil society is severely stifled, and to watch television in Moscow is to find 20 channels controlled by the Kremlin.

In 1991, Boris Yeltsin, in one of his first actions as President, broke up the old KGB into several agencies, cut its staff by half, and slashed its budget. Today, the KGB's successor, the Federal Security Service (FSB), has seized complete control over Russia's security apparatus, including by arresting high-level generals in other law-enforcement agencies. The result is a single security service that is more powerful than at any time since Stalin - and viewed as independent from the Kremlin.

On the economic front, too, Russia has backtracked. In 2003, Russia's private sector produced 70% of the country's GDP. Today, the state sector generates most of the country's output, squeezing out small and medium-size enterprises, and five big state banks dominate the financial market.

Moreover, Putin's policy of "de-offshoring" has imposed such cumbersome controls on the business leaders of the 1990s that most have sold off their assets in Russia and decamped to London or Monaco. This trend has been accelerated by Russia's lack of any real property rights, which has enabled the Kremlin to cut Russia's wealthy down to size at will, often targeting the most law-abiding among them. Small wonder that forecasts for annual GDP growth are stuck at 1.5-2%.

The regime wants to change this pattern. In May 2016, Putin asked three expert groups to recommend economic-reform programs: a liberal group led by former Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin; a technocratic group led by Economy Minister Maxim Oreshkin; and the more statist Stolypin Club led by Putin's business ombudsman Boris Titov. Each group has delivered thousands of pages of expert reports.

But any shift toward respecting the rule of law would be incompatible with the kleptocratic character of Putin's regime, implying that genuine reform is out of the question. The mandate given to the three groups thus appears to have been little more than therapy for social scientists, a way to keep them busy - and out of the opposition.



Posted by orrinj at 6:36 PM

HE TAINTS EVERYTHING HE TOUCHES:

After Video Refutes Kelly's Charges, Congresswoman Raises Issue of Race (YAMICHE ALCINDOR and MICHAEL D. SHEAR, OCTOBER 20, 2017, NY Times)

Video of a 2015 speech delivered by Representative Frederica S. Wilson revealed Friday that John F. Kelly, the White House chief of staff, misrepresented her remarks when he accused her of bragging about securing $20 million for a South Florida F.B.I. building and twisting President Barack Obama's arm.

Ms. Wilson, in an interview on Friday, called Mr. Kelly a liar and hinted strongly that the altercation, prompted by a call from President Trump to the widow of a fallen black soldier, was racially charged.

"The White House itself is full of white supremacists," she said.

Mr. Kelly, escalating a feud between Mr. Trump and Ms. Wilson, had cast the congresswoman on Thursday as a publicity-seeking opportunist. However, the video, released by The Sun Sentinel, a newspaper in South Florida, showed that during her nine-minute speech, Ms. Wilson never took credit for getting the money for the building, only for helping pass legislation naming the building after two fallen federal agents.

She never mentioned pleading with Mr. Obama, and she acknowledged the help of several Republicans, including John A. Boehner, then the House speaker; Representatives Mario Diaz-Balart and Carlos Curbelo; and Senator Marco Rubio.

"I feel very sorry for him because he feels such a need to lie on me and I'm not even his enemy," Ms. Wilson said of Mr. Kelly. "I just can't even imagine why he would fabricate something like that. That is absolutely insane. I'm just flabbergasted because it's very easy to trace."

It's a shame to watch General Kelly destroy his own reputation in service to a cretin.

Posted by orrinj at 11:06 AM

THERE'S A REASON HE SERVES DONALD:

John Kelly Just Showed Us Who He Is as a Human Being (Nancy LeTourneau, October 20, 2017, Washington Monthly)

Here is the distortion:

It stuns me that a member of Congress would have listened in on that conversation. Absolutely stuns me. And I thought at least that was sacred.

Wilson heard the conversation, which was on speaker phone, because she was in the car with the family headed to the airport to meet the casket of Sgt. La David Johnson. Apparently her ties with both he and his family are deep, including the fact that Johnson was a participant in the mentoring program she founded. You can make a case that she shouldn't have spoken up about the family's reaction to what Trump said, but the idea that Wilson took aim at something sacred by simply hearing the conversation is an absurd smear.

We now know that the next thing Kelly said was a lie. He tells a story about being at the dedication of a new FBI field office in Miami in 2015 that was dedicated to two men killed in a firefight in Miami against drug traffickers.

And a congresswoman stood up, and in the long tradition of empty barrels making the most noise, stood up there and all of that and talked about how she was instrumental in getting the funding for that building, and how she took care of her constituents because she got the money, and she just called up President Obama, and on that phone call he gave the money -- the $20 million -- to build the building. And she sat down, and we were stunned. Stunned that she had done it. Even for someone that is that empty a barrel, we were stunned.

The Miami Herald tells the real story.

Thursday night, Wilson said Kelly got the story flat-out wrong. In fact, she said Washington approved the money before she was even in Congress. The legislation she sponsored named the building after Grogan and Dove, a law enacted just days before the ceremony...

In 2015, Wilson won praise from Miami Republicans for sponsoring the bill to name the long anticipated federal building after two agents who became legends in local law enforcement.

At the dedication ceremony, James Comey, then director of the FBI, lauded Wilson's legislation, which was signed into law by President Barack Obama three days before the April 2015 ceremony.

"Rep. Wilson truly did the impossible, and we are eternally grateful," Comey said in his remarks.

In the big picture scheme of things, this isn't a story that has great impact on the lives of the American people. It is just another example of how Trump and his administration distract and divide us. But it tells us a lot about the man who currently serves as the president's chief of staff, and has been heralded as one of the adults in the room.

Posted by orrinj at 7:01 AM

"KISS THE RING":

Trump personally interviewed U.S. attorney candidates (SEUNG MIN KIM and JOHN BRESNAHAN 10/19/2017, Politico)

The Southern District of New York is an especially notable position since it has jurisdiction over Trump Tower. Preet Bharara, the former U.S. attorney there, has said he had been told that Trump would keep him on despite the change in administrations. Yet he was among those abruptly fired by Trump in March.

Posted by orrinj at 6:59 AM

ALWAYS BET ON THE DEEP STATE:

Putin says Trump foes blocking White House's pro-Russia agenda (VLADIMIR ISACHENKOV, 10/20/17, AP)

Russia rejoiced at Trump's victory in the 2016 US election, but its hopes for repairing ties with his administration have been shattered by congressional and FBI investigations into the Trump campaign's ties with Russia.

Speaking at the Valdai forum in Sochi, Putin said Trump's political adversaries "haven't allowed him to fulfill any of his election platforms and plans."

Should have known better than to invest with Donald.

Posted by orrinj at 6:28 AM

HE PERFECTED THE ART OF "FOLLOWING BUSH":

Following Bush, former president Obama rebukes Trump (Fast Company, 10/19/17)

It seems like the former presidents of the United States are growing concerned about the country's current leader. After former Republican president George W. Bush called out the current president's policies yesterday  (without mentioning Trump's name), former president Barack Obama has now done the same.

The UR's presidency was successful to precisely the extent he followed W's lead.

Posted by orrinj at 6:25 AM

ALL COMEDY IS CONSERVATIVE:

Putin Tells U.S. To Stop Making Fun Of Trump (Newsweek, 10/20/17)

"Inside the country, disrespect is shown for him. This is a regrettable negative component of the U.S. political system," Putin said, according to the state-run Tass Russian News Agency.

No respect.  Not "dis".

Posted by orrinj at 6:23 AM

A LIE, REPEATED OFTEN ENOUGH...:

Trump's Old Lies Never Really Die (Nancy LeTourneau, October 19, 2017, Washington Monthly)

Here is the truth, though. The so-called "fake media" actually covered that one--quite extensively. It goes to the heart of how Steve Bannon weaponizes a story. Prior to publication of his co-worker's book, Clinton Cash, Bannon gave an advance copy to the New York Times, which published an article with the breathless title, "Cash Flowed to the Clinton Foundation Amid Russian Uranium Deal." That was later spun into a few weeks of controversy during the campaign where the media became obsessed with "questions" about contributions to the Clinton Foundation.

The story about the Russian uranium deal eventually garnered a lot of media attention from some folks this president isn't very fond of: fact checkers. In case you missed all of that, you can take your pick of which debunking you prefer: PoliticFact, the Washington Post, or Snopes.

The revival of this old story tells us that, when it comes to Trump, none of his old lies are ever really dead.


...passes for a fact on the Right.

October 19, 2017

Posted by orrinj at 6:48 PM

THANKS, DONALD!:

Obamacare Subsidy Cut-off May Actually Help Low-Income Americans : Healthcare subsidies will get slightly less complicated; unfortunately the market is no freer than before. (Eric  Schuler, 10/19/17, FEE)


While it's unclear in the short run whether many insurers will have the ability to successfully raise premiums, that is the most likely outcome in the long run. The rationale for doing this is straightforward. The net cost of all of their policies has gone up now that the CSR subsidies are cut off. And since they are not allowed to meaningfully tailor rates based on the risk or expense of individual policyholders, the way they make themselves whole is to raise premiums on everyone.

These premium hikes would appear to harm consumers, and they will indeed harm higher income participants in the exchanges. However, the price hikes will have a limited impact on lower income participants because the tax credits are designed to rise with the cost of the plans. Specifically, the amount of the tax credit subsidies for each consumer rise according to the premiums on the benchmark silver level plans available in their locale. So, as insurance companies raise premiums to compensate for the lack of CSR payments, the tax credit subsidies rise as well to defray the cost. This minimizes the possible harm to low-income individuals from the change, even in the long run.

In fact, it's possible that the order will actually expand access to health insurance in the long run for very low-income people. This result stems from the fact that the subsidies are pegged to grow based on the premiums of the silver level plans, the second cheapest tier of insurance policies. However, even cheaper bronze level plans also exist.

This means that the subsidy amounts will likely rise faster than the premiums of the cheapest plans - causing the net out-of-pocket cost for the bronze plans to actually fall. In this way, Trump's order may have the net effect of actually expanding access to health insurance in the long run for low-income individuals participating in the exchanges.

Posted by orrinj at 6:03 PM

THE LEFT IS THE RIGHT:

George W. Bush Slams 'Bigotry,' Politics Of Populism That Led To Trump, Sanders (Domenico Montanaro , 10/19/17, NPR)

"Bigotry seems emboldened," Bush said in New York at a forum put on by the George W. Bush Institute. "Our politics seems more vulnerable to conspiracy theories and outright fabrication."

He slammed a discourse that seems "degraded by casual cruelty," disagreement that "escalates into dehumanization" and a "nationalism distorted into nativism."

Bush, however, also criticized the kind of liberal populism that led to Bernie Sanders' rise on the left.

"There are some signs that the intensity of support for democracy itself has waned, especially among the young who never experienced the galvanizing moral clarity of the Cold War or never focused on the ruin of entire nations by Socialist central planning," Bush said. "Some have called that democratic deconsolidation. Merely it seems to be a combination of weariness, frayed tempers and forgetfulness."

Posted by orrinj at 4:14 PM

DONALD WHO?:

U.S. envoy Haley: Russia interference in elections is 'warfare'  (Reuters, 10/19/17)


"We have to be so hard on this and we have to hold them accountable," Haley said during a panel discussion with former Secretaries of State Madeleine Albright and Condoleezza Rice held by the George W. Bush Institute in New York on Thursday. 

"When a country can come interfere in another country's elections that is warfare. It really is, because you're making sure that the democracy shifts from what the people want," she said. "This is their new weapon of choice and we have to get in front of it."

Posted by orrinj at 2:11 PM

THANKS, DONALD:

U.S. jobless claims hit 44-1/2-year low; mid-Atlantic factories humming (Lucia Mutikani, 10/19/17, Reuters) 

The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits dropped to its lowest level in more than 44-1/2 years last week, pointing to a rebound in job growth after a hurricane-related decline in employment in September.

Posted by orrinj at 2:08 PM

...AND CHEAPER...:

Butterfly wings inspire a better way to absorb light in solar panels (Angela Chen, Oct 19, 2017, Verge)

Solar panels are usually made of thick solar cells, and are positioned at an angle to get the most amount of light from the sun as it moves throughout the day. Thin film solar cells, which can be only nanometers thick, have a lot of potential. These are cheaper and lighter, but because they're less efficient, we usually use them only in watches and calculators, instead of solar panels. Scientists studied the black wings of the rose butterfly, and copied the structure to create thin solar cells that are more efficient. Unlike other types of cells, these can absorb a lot of light regardless of the angle, and are also easy to make. The results were published in the journal Science Advances.

Posted by orrinj at 2:06 PM

...AND CHEAPER...:

These Giant Printers Are Meant to Make Rockets (Ashlee Vance, 10/18/17, Bloomberg Businessweek

Tim Ellis and Jordan Noone are both in their mid-20s, and it shows. The two aerospace engineers are energetic, optimistic, and so ambitious they can't help sounding a little bonkers.

In a small factory a couple of miles from Los Angeles International Airport, Ellis and Noone have spent the past two years working to build a rocket using only 3D printers. Their startup, Relativity Space Inc., is betting that removing humans from the manufacturing equation will make rockets way cheaper and faster to produce. The going rate for a rocket launch is about $100 million; Relativity says that in four years its price will be $10 million. "This is the right direction," says Ellis, the chief executive officer, during the first-ever press tour of the company's headquarters. "The 3D printing and automation of rockets is inevitable."

Posted by orrinj at 2:03 PM

...AND CHEAPER...:

This Game Changing Product Is Invisible And Coming To A Store Near You (Michael Pellman Rowland , 10/19/17, Forbes)

Apeel's approach is to essentially use food to protect and preserve other food. Apeel extracts natural oils that are found in the peels and skins of all fruits and vegetables to make Edipeel--a rinse that fresh food shippers and retailers can use to add a little more 'peel' to harvested produce. This layer helps to keep water from leaking out and oxygen from seeping in, two of the biggest factors that lead to spoilage.

The startup has so far developed Edipeel products for three dozen crops, including avocados, asparagus, peaches, lemons, pears, and nectarines. It manages to remain free from contaminants by using a seven-step filtration process to kill off pesticides. The result is produce stays fresh longer, dramatically extending the time and shipping radius for fresh food producers, which reduces food and water waste across the food supply chain. Edipeel is now approved and available for USDA Organic and traditional produce, and the company is gearing up to roll out with partners globally.

Posted by orrinj at 1:53 PM

ALWAYS BET ON THE DEEP STATE:

Putin says Trump hampered from delivering electoral promises (Reuters, 10/19/17) 

Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Thursday that if President Donald Trump is unpredictable, it is because his domestic opponents are stopping him from delivering on many of his election promises.

Certainly the ones he promised Vlad.

Posted by orrinj at 8:46 AM

WHERE THE BOYS ARE:

Is Hollywood sitting on a pedophilia scandal? (Pascal-Emmanuel Gobry, October 19, 2017, The Week)

The evidence is there, just as it was in the cases of Bill Cosby or Harvey Weinstein. In 2011, former child star Corey Feldman warned that pedophilia in Hollywood was "the big secret" and "the number one problem." Feldman alleged that he was abused and that his friend was raped on a movie set at the age of 11. But he didn't just talk about instances of abuse. In a later interview, he described a system whereby young children were groomed by powerful older men who formed an organized network, with "publicists" providing cover. He would "love to name names," but feared the legal risks, he said.

Precisely such an organized system for grooming and abusing children is described by a documentary; one molester described in the film pleaded no contest to two counts of child molestation, but the rest of the network has never been named, let alone investigated or charged. The title of the documentary? An Open Secret.

Former child star Elijah Wood made global headlines after saying in an interview last year that there was "something major" in Hollywood. "It was all organized," he said. "There are a lot of vipers in this industry, people who only have their own interests in mind. There is darkness in the underbelly," adding that Hollywood can "squash" the victims so that they "can't speak as loudly as the people in power." (He later issued a carefully worded clarification that he had no "firsthand experience or observation," which still leaves room for being aware of an open secret.)

These stories fit a pattern, and not just the pattern common to all sex crimes allegations -- the shame, the gas-lighting, the fear you won't be believed -- but also the pattern common to testimonies about a systemic problem: the coordination, the law of silence, the coverups.

And just as striking as these allegations is the deafening silence that surrounds them.

Posted by orrinj at 8:43 AM

DONALD WHO?:

EU leaders to recommit to Iran nuclear deal whatever Trump decides (Gabriela Baczynska, 10/19/17, Reuters) 

European Union leaders will on Thursday reaffirm their full commitment to the 2015 nuclear deal between Iran and world powers, regardless of whether an increasingly critical United States pulls out.

This has to be the least significant presidency since the 19th Century.

Posted by orrinj at 5:15 AM

A WHOLE BUNCH OF DONALD'S STAFF OWE US THE SAME:

Campaign Aides For Jeff Flake's Primary Challenger Apologize Profusely For Ever Supporting Her (Eric Owens,  10/18/2017, Daily Caller)

Two prominent staffers on Arizona Republican Kelli Ward's primary campaign against sitting Sen. Jeff Flake have officially issued an apology to everyone in the state for helping to legitimize Ward as a serious political candidate.

She's flakier.

October 18, 2017

Posted by orrinj at 7:23 PM

GREATEST WAR EVER:

Russia sandwiched in Syria between Israel, Iran (Maxim A. Suchkov, October 18, 2017, Al Monitor)

Given Israel's role in the region, its military power and its willingness to use it, it's critical for Putin to continue the current level of communication with Netanyahu to ensure Russia's own presence is immune from any Israeli assaults. But it's also clear Israel is determined to stop Iran's growing presence near Israel's borders. At the same time, Tehran is resolved to expand and solidify its presence. Moscow doesn't see that situation as its own fight and is working to dodge potential complications of ending up on either side.

Israel has been rather loyal to Russia's military presence -- and realizes its own gains from it -- and Iran has been crucial to Russia on the ground in Syria. But Russia's goals in Syria aren't ultimately about either Israel or Iran. Moscow is, however, wary of each party trying to work Russia's presence to the detriment of the other. For instance, Russian media outlets have recently raised questions about Iran's intentions when it changed the location of an Iran-to-Hezbollah arms transfer point from the border with Lebanon to central Syria, closer to Palmyra. As a result of that change, Israel will have to fly deep into Syrian territory to make its bombing raids on the transfer point and could at some point clash with Russian air forces or harm Russian advisers thought to be stationed at Palmyra.

Such moves are likely to happen more often and represent a long-term challenge to Moscow. Russia will need to sit down with Israel and seriously talk about whether Israel's interests can be squared with Russia's interests, and whether Moscow really has any leverage over Tehran, whether in Syria or beyond. 

The great tragedy of current day Israel is that it is a natural ally of Russia.

Posted by orrinj at 12:21 PM

ALL COMEDY IS CONSERVATIVE:

MELANIA TRUMP USES BODY DOUBLES, LATEST TRUMP CONSPIRACY THEORY CLAIMS (BEATRICE DUPUY, 10/17/17, Newsweek)

Who, if anyone, is hiding behind Melania Trump's signature sunglasses? Conspiracy theorists are claiming it's not the first lady, but a body double.

Critics have zeroed in on footage from Friday of the first lady standing beside her husband, President Donald Trump, while he was addressing the media about hurricane relief for Puerto Rico and a nuclear deal with Iran. In the video, the president calls out his wife at the press conference, which conspiracy theorists claim is his effort to cover for the fact that his wife is in fact somewhere else. 

"My wife, Melania, who happens to be right here," he says.

If it really were her she'd be blinking like Jeremiah Denton.

Posted by orrinj at 12:05 PM

SIDE?:

The Dark Side of Thomas Jefferson : A new portrait of the founding father challenges the long-held perception of Thomas Jefferson as a benevolent slaveholder (Henry Wiencek, OCTOBER 2012, Smithsonian)

The critical turning point in Jefferson's thinking may well have come in 1792. As Jefferson was counting up the agricultural profits and losses of his plantation in a letter to President Washington that year, it occurred to him that there was a phenomenon he had perceived at Monticello but never actually measured. He proceeded to calculate it in a barely legible, scribbled note in the middle of a page, enclosed in brackets. What Jefferson set out clearly for the first time was that he was making a 4 percent profit every year on the birth of black children. The enslaved were yielding him a bonanza, a perpetual human dividend at compound interest. Jefferson wrote, "I allow nothing for losses by death, but, on the contrary, shall presently take credit four per cent. per annum, for their increase over and above keeping up their own numbers." His plantation was producing inexhaustible human assets. The percentage was predictable.

In another communication from the early 1790s, Jefferson takes the 4 percent formula further and quite bluntly advances the notion that slavery presented an investment strategy for the future. He writes that an acquaintance who had suffered financial reverses "should have been invested in negroes." He advises that if the friend's family had any cash left, "every farthing of it [should be] laid out in land and negroes, which besides a present support bring a silent profit of from 5. to 10. per cent in this country by the increase in their value."

The irony is that Jefferson sent his 4 percent formula to George Washington, who freed his slaves, precisely because slavery had made human beings into money, like "Cattle in the market," and this disgusted him. Yet Jefferson was right, prescient, about the investment value of slaves. A startling statistic emerged in the 1970s, when economists taking a hardheaded look at slavery found that on the eve of the Civil War, enslaved black people, in the aggregate, formed the second most valuable capital asset in the United States. David Brion Davis sums up their findings: "In 1860, the value of Southern slaves was about three times the amount invested in manufacturing or railroads nationwide." The only asset more valuable than the black people was the land itself. The formula Jefferson had stumbled upon became the engine not only of Monticello but of the entire slaveholding South and the Northern industries, shippers, banks, insurers and investors who weighed risk against returns and bet on slavery. The words Jefferson used--"their increase"--became magic words.

Jefferson's 4 percent theorem threatens the comforting notion that he had no real awareness of what he was doing, that he was "stuck" with or "trapped" in slavery, an obsolete, unprofitable, burdensome legacy. The date of Jefferson's calculation aligns with the waning of his emancipationist fervor. Jefferson began to back away from antislavery just around the time he computed the silent profit of the "peculiar institution."

And this world was crueler than we have been led to believe. A letter has recently come to light describing how Monticello's young black boys, "the small ones," age 10, 11 or 12, were whipped to get them to work in Jefferson's nail factory, whose profits paid the mansion's grocery bills. This passage about children being lashed had been suppressed--deliberately deleted from the published record in the 1953 edition of Jefferson's Farm Book, containing 500 pages of plantation papers. That edition of the Farm Book still serves as a standard reference for research into the way Monticello worked.

Posted by orrinj at 8:08 AM

GIVING IT TO HER WITH THE BARK ON:

Twelve days of silence, then a swipe at Obama: How Trump handled four dead soldiers (Philip Rucker and Dan Lamothe October 17, 2017, Washington Post)

[A] president who revels in providing color commentary on the news said nothing about what happened in Niger for 12 straight days -- until Monday in the Rose Garden of the White House, where he was asked by a reporter to explain his uncharacteristic silence.

In his answer, Trump said in his defense that he had written personal letters to the soldiers' family members, and he then tried to use the issue to gain a political advantage. Trump leveled false accusations at his predecessors, including former president Barack Obama, saying they never or rarely called family members of service members who were killed on their watch, when in fact they regularly did. [...]

In his call with Sgt. La David T. Johnson's widow, Myeshia Johnson, Trump told her, "He knew what was signing up for, but I guess it hurts anyway," according to the account of Rep. Frederica S. Wilson (D-Fla.), who was riding in a limousine with Johnson when the president called and heard the conversation on speakerphone.

Wilson recalled in an interview with The Washington Post that Johnson broke down in tears. "He made her cry," Wilson said. The congresswoman said she wanted to take the phone and "curse him out," but that the Army sergeant holding the phone would not let her speak to the president.

They deserve a fit C-in-C.

Posted by orrinj at 8:05 AM

ALWAYS BET ON THE DEEP STATE:

Trump's alternative reality, part two (Mike Allen, 10/18/17, Axios)

Yesterday, FCC Commissioner Ajit Pai subtly shot down Trump's threat to revoke NBC broadcast licenses: "I believe in the First Amendment."

SecState Rex Tillerson says North Korean diplomacy "will continue until the first bomb drops"; Trump tweets that he's "wasting his time."

SecDef Jim Mattis tells Congress that holding onto the Iran nuclear pact is in the interest of the national security of the United States; 10 days later, Trump threatens cancellation.

Trump blames "both sides" for racial violence in Charlottesville; Tillerson says the president "speaks for himself," and economic adviser Gary Cohn says the administration "must do better."

Trump threatens extreme action on immigrants, Muslims, "Dreamers," trade, NATO and more, but aides and advisers wind up softening or delaying most -- with the notable exception of the Paris climate deal.

They serve America, not Donald.

Posted by orrinj at 7:53 AM

JOBS (PASTY) WHITE PEOPLE (WITH BAD TEETH) WON'T DO:

Why Britain needs the immigrants it doesn't want (Ivana Kottasová, October 18, 2017, CNN/Money)

The National Health Service says there are over 11,000 open nursing jobs in England, and another 6,000 vacant positions across Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland.

The overburdened system, described by the British Red Cross as facing a "humanitarian crisis," already relies on 33,000 nurses from the EU. [...]

The shortage of workers cuts across sectors -- from agriculture to education -- and across skill levels. There aren't enough fruit pickers and there aren't enough doctors. [...]

"The government is putting politics above economics, which is quite a dangerous game," said Heather Rolfe, a researcher at the National Institute of Economic and Social Research.

Labor economists say that a radical decline in immigration would hurt the British economy.

The Office for Budget Responsibility, the government's fiscal watchdog, said that 80,000 fewer immigrants a year would reduce annual economic growth by 0.2 percentage points.

"To lose these people would be pretty tough and it would mean that some sectors might find it very difficult to survive," said Christian Dustmann, professor of economics at University College London.

Some EU workers, upset over political rhetoric and a lack of clarity about their legal status, are already leaving Britain. Net migration from the EU fell to 133,000 last year from 184,000 in 2015, according to the Office for National Statistics.

The impact is already being felt: The Nursing and Midwifery Council said that roughly 6,400 EU nurses registered to work in the U.K. in the year ended March, a 32% drop from the previous year. Another 3,000 EU nurses stopped working in the U.K.

Posted by orrinj at 7:19 AM

WHO ISN'T?:

Putin Rival Ties Kushner Meeting to Kremlin Bankers (ARI MELBER , MEREDITH MANDELL and MIRJAM LABLANS, 10/17/17, NBC)

A prominent exiled Russian oligarch said in an exclusive interview with NBC News that he is nearly certain Russian President Vladimir Putin tried to collaborate with the Trump campaign, and that he believes a top Russian banker was not "acting on his own behalf" when he held a controversial meeting with Jared Kushner last December.

Of course, the Trumpbots think opposing Vlad is disqualifying.

Posted by orrinj at 7:15 AM

ALL IN YOUR HEAD:

The Secrets of Sleep : Why do we need it, and are we getting enough? (Jerome Groopman, 10/17/17, The New Yorker)

Meir Kryger, who tells the story of Joe in his book, has been working since the nineteen-seventies on a related condition, sleep apnea, in which a person's airway closes during sleep, breathing stops, and, starved for air, the person awakens. Apnea can lead to heart attack and stroke from decreased oxygen, and may accelerate cognitive decline in older people. Kryger writes that there are descriptions of sleep apnea that predate Dickens's Joe. Dionysius, a tyrant who ruled the Cretan kingdom of Heraclea in the fourth century B.C., was massively overweight. Because he repeatedly fell asleep, Dionysius hired people to poke him with long, thin needles, probably to keep him breathing. Sleep apnea was once thought to be rare, but, now that there are sophisticated diagnostic tools to measure respiration and muscle contractions, it is known to afflict some two to three per cent of the U.S. population--five million men and two and a half million women. That makes it as prevalent as mental illness, and not all sufferers are obese.

The early apnea studies pioneered by Kryger and others showed that it damaged vital organs, and this work became a catalyst for medicine's serious examination of sleep. Once it had been demonstrated that certain conditions associated with disrupted sleep could have dire clinical consequences, it became clear that sleep was a crucial factor in maintaining good health. The technology of the sleep laboratory provided insights into how other disorders can disrupt sleep, including Parkinson's disease, esophageal reflux, hormonal dysfunction of the thyroid and pituitary glands, and traumatic brain injury. Where doctors had previously ascribed poor nighttime sleep to anxiety and daytime sleepiness to laziness or lack of motivation, they now began to view them as conditions worthy of diagnosis and treatment.

Kryger's book usefully outlines the current state of knowledge of sleep science in humans. The biology of sleep and wakefulness is complex, involving not just the one neural circuit I learned about in medical school but numerous pathways in the brain and countless chemical mediators. Kryger condenses this intricate neuroscience to explain the mechanisms that start and stop sleep: "a wake gauge and a body clock." Just as a car's fuel gauge tells us when we need to refill the tank, a "wake gauge" tells us when our body is in need of sleep. The gauge begins to signal after we have been awake for about fourteen hours, and increases in intensity until the eighteen-hour mark, after which we find it hard not to fall asleep. The wake gauge operates in the brain by means of a chemical called adenosine, which is involved in energy transfer. The longer our brain is active, the more adenosine accumulates and the sleepier we feel. (The reason coffee keeps us up is that caffeine counteracts the effects of adenosine.)

The body clock synchronizes our need for sleep with the rhythms of the world around us. Daylight is the primary regulator. When light hits the eye's retina, a wake-up signal is sent to a collection of cells in the suprachiasmatic nucleus of the brain, which keep time and monitor our sleep-wake cycle. At dusk, when light fades, the pineal gland (where Descartes believed the soul resided) releases melatonin and makes us drowsy. Melatonin regulates the circadian rhythm of a wide range of organisms; the molecule is found in bacteria, insects, jellyfish, and plants. The visual basis of human circadian rhythms is proved by the fact that people who are blind because of damage to the eye itself often have great difficulty synchronizing their body clocks, and suffer severe sleep problems, whereas people whose blindness is caused by lesions in the visual cortex (and whose eyes are undamaged) generally have a normal circadian system.

Once we've finally nodded off, a variety of things occur. By tracking eye movements and using electroencephalograms to measure brain waves, researchers have identified four main types of sleep and have established that we typically progress through them in cycles of about ninety minutes. The first two stages move toward so-called "slow-wave" sleep, a state during which our neocortex powers down and which is thought to be largely responsible for the feeling of being refreshed when we wake. As we come out of slow-wave sleep, we go through a period of rapid-eye-movement sleep, or rem, one of the most commonly studied phases. Kryger calls REM the "enigmatic state." During this phase, almost all of our muscles are paralyzed, except the diaphragm, which allows us to continue to breathe, and certain sphincters at the top and bottom of our gastrointestinal tract. Meanwhile, the brain shoots off "electrical storms," resulting in rapid movements of the eyes, and we start to have vivid dreams. All humans dream, usually three to five times a night. And every time a man dreams he has an erection; every time a woman dreams, the blood vessels of her vagina become engorged. These changes in our genitalia are apparently unrelated to sexual thoughts before sleep or to sexual content in the dreams themselves. Rather, erections and vaginal engorgement seem to be the result of the state of dreaming itself.

Even as we cycle through the various stages, our sleep is frequently interrupted by brief awakenings, called "arousals," each lasting only seconds. Kryger writes that "healthy sleepers" typically experience about five awakenings an hour, although they do not remember them. Scientists speculate that these brief periods of wakefulness might have evolved so that we do not place ourselves in danger while asleep--suffocating under bedding, for example, or being vulnerable to attack by a predator.

Kryger offers a comprehensive analysis of physical conditions that can impair our sleep. Women may experience insomnia owing to the normal hormonal fluctuations of the menstrual cycle and to the changes in hormonal regulation that occur with menopause. (He is rightly cautious about whether so-called "andropause," a decline in testosterone levels among one to two per cent of men as they age, also contributes to insomnia.) Restless-leg syndrome, which causes lower limbs to spontaneously move and often cramp, is associated with certain vitamin deficiencies but often occurs without a known reason. It is a common cause of disturbed sleep in the elderly, and treatment varies from replenishing the deficient vitamin to prescribing drugs that alter neurotransmitters in the brain.

But for most of us it is the mind, rather than the body, that disrupts restorative sleep. Kryger explores in depth psychological conditions that are associated with disordered sleep, as well as psychotropic medications whose side effects can prevent a restful night. He allows for the need to medicate at times with sleeping pills or melatonin, but prefers cognitive behavioral therapy, a technique that involves teaching patients to mentally prepare themselves for slumber by devising ways to bypass the thoughts that keep them awake.



Posted by orrinj at 7:10 AM

JOBS GEEKS WON'T DO:

Computers will soon be able to fix themselves - will that kill IT departments? (Saemundur Haraldsson, 10/17/17, Next Web)

Several programming tools are emerging which help to automate software testing, one of which we have been developing ourselves. The prospects look exciting; but it raises questions about how far this will encroach on the profession. Could we be looking at a world of Terminator-like software writers who consign their human counterparts to the dole queue?

We computer programmers devote an unholy amount of time to testing software and fixing bugs. It's costly, time consuming and fiddly - yet it's vital if you want to bring high quality software to market.

A common method of testing software involves running a program, asking it to do certain things and seeing how it copes. Known as dynamic analysis, many tools exist to help with this process, usually throwing thousands of random choices at a program and checking all the responses.

Facebook recently unveiled a tool called Sapienz that is a big leap forward in this area. Originally developed by University College London, Sapienz is able to identify bugs in Android software via automated tests that are far more efficient than the competition - requiring between 100 and 150 choices by the user compared to a norm of nearer 15,000.

The difference is that Sapienz contains an evolutionary algorithm that learns from the software's responses to previous choices. It then makes new choices that aim to find the maximum number of glitches and test the maximum number of kinds of choices, doing everything as efficiently as possible.

October 17, 2017

Posted by orrinj at 7:08 PM

ALWAYS BET ON THE DEEP STATE:

White House fears Senate will sink tax cuts : With tax cuts on the line, 'We look at the Senate and go: "What the hell is going on?"' said White House budget director Mick Mulvaney. (BURGESS EVERETT and JOSH DAWSEY, 10/16/2017, Politico)

[B]ehind the scenes, Trump, his administration and even some senators are increasingly worried that taxes will go the way of Obamacare repeal in the Senate: Months of bickering ending in extreme embarrassment.

The debate hasn't even started on the GOP's plan, yet some senators are pushing their own tax proposals, while others are increasingly emboldened to defy the Republican president. It's a dangerous mix considering that McConnell can lose only two votes assuming Democrats band together in opposition.

"We look at the Senate and go: 'What the hell is going on?'" White House budget director Mick Mulvaney said in an interview Friday.

"The House passed health care, the House has already passed its budget, which is the first step of tax reform. The Senate hasn't done any of that. Hell, the Senate can't pass any of our confirmations," Mulvaney fumed in an interview, slapping a table for emphasis. "You ask me if the Republican-controlled Senate is an impediment to the administration's agenda: All I can tell you is so far, the answer's yes."

There is no case for tax cuts, not that Donald could have made a coherent one if there were.

Posted by orrinj at 6:59 PM

NOT MUCH OF AN ENEMY:

The Axis Was Outmatched from the Start : Hitler and his Axis cohorts couldn't match their enemies' resources to begin with. That they learned all the wrong lessons from military history while the Allies learned all the right ones doomed them. (Victor Davis Hanson, October 17, 2017, National Review)

When World War II broke out in 1939, Germany did not have a serious plan for defeating any of those enemies, present or future, that were positioned well beyond its own borders. Unlike its more distant adversaries, the Third Reich had neither an adequate blue-water navy nor a strategic bombing fleet, anchored by escort fighters and heavy bombers of four engines whose extended ranges and payloads might make vulnerable the homelands of any new enemies on the horizon. Hitler did not seem to grasp that the four most populous countries or territories in the world -- China, India, the Soviet Union, and the United States -- were either fighting against the Axis or opposed to its agendas. Never before or since had all these peoples (well over 1 billion total) fought at once and on the same side.

Not even Napoleon had declared war in succession on so many great powers without any idea how to destroy their ability to make war, or, worse yet, in delusion that tactical victories would depress stronger enemies into submission. Operation Sea Lion, Germany's envisioned invasion of Britain, remained a pipe dream -- and yet it offered the only plausible way to eliminate Britain from the war that Hitler had started. Grand Admiral Erich Raeder, then head of the Kriegsmarine, repeatedly warned Hitler that an amphibious invasion of Britain in 1940 was quite impossible.

To be fair, in failing to destroy the USSR and to decolonize the Third World, we demonstrated we hadn't learned anything from history either.

Posted by orrinj at 6:26 PM

ALL COMEDY IS CONSERVATIVE:

British neo-Nazi comes out as gay, Jewish (Times of Israel, 17 October 2017)

A British Neo-Nazi said he has decided to quit the far-right group he has long been a member of after coming out as gay and admitting to having Jewish roots.

Posted by orrinj at 2:25 PM

NOBODY MOVE OR [LITTLE FINGER] GETS IT:

CATCH-22: Trump May Have To Comply With NAFTA Even If He Withdraws From It (Eric Owens, 10/17/2017, Daily Caller)

The law passed by Congress -- the North American Free Trade Agreement Implementation Act -- is critical because it directs the president to implement the terms of the NAFTA agreement.

"When it consented to NAFTA, Congress passed a statute called the NAFTA Implementation Act, which delegates to the president the authority and responsibility to implement NAFTA," Vanderbilt University law professor Timothy Meyer told The Daily Caller.

Only Congress can repeal the statute implementing NAFTA.

Paradoxically, then, Trump would still be bound to continue implementing the NAFTA law Congress passed even if he decides to formally withdraw the United States from NAFTA as an international agreement.

Posted by orrinj at 2:22 PM

GREATEST WAR EVER:

Iran Revolutionary Guards commander reported dead in Syria (AFP, 10/17/17)

A senior Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps commander has been killed during fighting in Syria, Iran's state media reported on Tuesday.

"Brigadier General Abdollah Khosravi, a senior war veteran, was martyred on Saturday in Syria," the Basij news agency said without giving further details.

Posted by orrinj at 2:19 PM

ALWAYS BET ON THE DEEP STATE:

Trump says drug czar nominee Tom Marino is withdrawing after Washington Post/'60 Minutes' investigation (Anne Gearan, Lenny Bernstein, Scott Higham and Ed O'Keefe October 17, 2017, The Washington Post)

President Trump on Tuesday said his nominee to be the nation's drug czar is withdrawing from consideration for the job -- a move that comes in the wake of a Washington Post/"60 Minutes" investigation detailing how the lawmaker helped steer legislation through Congress that weakened the Drug Enforcement Administration's ability to go after drug distributors, even as opioid-related deaths continue to rise.

There's a reason Donald hates it when the news is reported.

Posted by orrinj at 7:24 AM

DONALD WHO?:

Backing nuke deal, Norway solar firm inks major deal with Iran (AFP, 10/17/17)

Just days after US President Donald Trump called for further isolation of Iran, a Norwegian solar company signed a deal to invest 2.5 billion euros in the country over the next five years.

"Norway is fully committed to the JCPOA (nuclear deal) and this is proof that we have taken the opening very seriously, and we will see more investment very soon," Norwegian ambassador Lars Nordrum told AFP.

October 16, 2017

Posted by orrinj at 7:34 PM

A PEOPLE DONALD DOESN'T DESERVE TO LEAD:

Hundreds of people walk 11-year-old Utah boy home from school after bullies shout racial slurs (Kate Scanlon, 10/16/17, The Blaze)


Heather Romauldo told KSTU that her son, Mateus, called her after he walked home from school recently and he was very upset.

"He was walking home from school [Oct. 5] when a car full of teenagers drove by repeatedly yelling a racial slur at him," Romauldo said. "He felt very terrified and actually told me he thought the kids were going to shoot him."

Romauldo said she filed a police report and the incident is being investigated.

She also wrote on Facebook about what allegedly happened to Mateus, and her post caught the attention of Mateus' basketball coach, Troy Harlan.

Harlan told KSTU, "I know that when I read the post that his mom wrote about him being scared, I've gone through all that."

"I grew up in Davis County, and I know what it feels like to be one of only two black kids at my school," Harlan said.

Harlan told the station that he wished he would have been there when Mateus was walking home, so he decided to organize a walk so the boy wouldn't be alone when he walked home from school.

Hundreds of people volunteered for the walk. Harlan's basketball connections helped, too -- the Utah Jazz Bear came to the walk, as did retired Jazz basketball player Thurl Bailey.

Posted by orrinj at 7:06 PM

LIBERTY, NOT FREEDOM:

Five types of gun laws the Founding Fathers loved (Saul Cornell, 10/15/17, The Conversation)

The framers and adopters of the Second Amendment were generally ardent supporters of the idea of well-regulated liberty. Without strong governments and effective laws, they believed, liberty inevitably degenerated into licentiousness and eventually anarchy. Diligent students of history, particularly Roman history, the Federalists who wrote the Constitution realized that tyranny more often resulted from anarchy, not strong government.

I have been researching and writing about the history of gun regulation and the Second Amendment for the past two decades. When I began this research, most people assumed that regulation was a relatively recent phenomenon, something associated with the rise of big government in the modern era. Actually, while the founding generation certainly esteemed the idea of an armed population, they were also ardent supporters of gun regulations.

Consider these five categories of gun laws that the Founders endorsed.

#1: Registration

Today American gun rights advocates typically oppose any form of registration - even though such schemes are common in every other industrial democracy - and typically argue that registration violates the Second Amendment. This claim is also hard to square with the history of the nation's founding. All of the colonies - apart from Quaker-dominated Pennsylvania, the one colony in which religious pacifists blocked the creation of a militia - enrolled local citizens, white men between the ages of 16-60 in state-regulated militias. The colonies and then the newly independent states kept track of these privately owned weapons  required for militia service. Men could be fined if they reported to a muster without a well-maintained weapon in working condition.

#2: Public carry

The modern gun rights movement has aggressively pursued the goal of expanding the right to carry firearms in public.

The American colonies inherited a variety of restrictions that evolved under English Common Law. In 18th-century England, armed travel was limited to a few well-defined occasions such as assisting justices of the peace and constables. Members of the upper classes also had a limited exception to travel with arms. Concealable weapons such as handguns were subject to even more stringent restrictions. The city of London banned public carry of these weapons entirely.



Posted by orrinj at 7:02 PM

IF ONLY THE GOP'S MORAL STANDARDS WERE AS HIGH AS HOLLYWOOD'S...:

Producers Guild expels Harvey Weinstein and creates task force to combat sexual assault in Hollywood (Jen Yamato, 10/16/17, LA Times)

The Producers Guild of America's board of directors has voted unanimously to terminate Harvey Weinstein's membership, the organization announced Monday.

The exact same behavior won't bar you from the Republican presidential ticket.

Posted by orrinj at 7:00 PM

GREATEST WAR EVER:

U.S. strike on Islamic State camps in Yemen kills dozens: Pentagon (Reuters, 10/16/17)

The camps in al-Bayda province were being used to train new fighters using AK-47s, machine guns and rocket-propelled grenade launchers, the Pentagon said in a statement. Islamic State has used ungoverned areas in Yemen to plot, direct, instigate, resource and recruit for attacks against America and its allies around the world, it said.

Posted by orrinj at 6:52 PM

ALL COMEDY IS CONSERVATIVE:

On Obamacare, Donald Trump is sabotaging himself : It would be comic if millions of people weren't going to suffer so Trump could teach himself this lesson. (Ezra Klein, Oct 16, 2017, Vox)
 
Like the Republicans who came before him, Trump is trying to gain leverage by sabotaging the governance of the country; unlike the Republicans who came before him, Trump is responsible for the governance of the country, and so he is sabotaging himself. This would all be quite comic if not for the millions of people who badly need decent health insurance and are going to suffer as Trump teaches himself this lesson.

Go deeper

For an excellent overview of the legal dispute around the cost-sharing reduction payments, read law professor Nicholas Bagley's history of the case.

The Congressional Budget Office has analyzed the effects of canceling the payments, and their predictions are grim. The key point is that "gross premiums for silver plans offered through the marketplaces would be 20 percent higher in 2018 and 25 percent higher by 2020," which would in turn send federal subsidies skyrocketing.

The Kaiser Family Foundation also has an excellent report on the subject, which concludes, among other findings, that "the increased cost to the federal government of higher premium tax credits would actually be 23% more than the savings from eliminating cost-sharing reduction payments."

For these reasons and others, it's not just Democrats upset over Trump's decision. Nevada's GOP Gov. Brian Sandoval blasted the policy: "It's going to hurt people. It's going to hurt kids. It's going to hurt families. It's going to hurt individuals. It's going to hurt people with mental health issues. It's going to hurt veterans. It's going to hurt everybody."

He's Cleavon Little in Blazing Saddles.

Posted by orrinj at 3:03 PM

THANKS, DONALD! (profanity alert):

Harvey Weinstein, Donald Trump, and the (Sometimes) Beneficial Politics of Reaction (PAUL WALDMAN OCTOBER 15, 2017, American Prospect)

We're at a moment where awareness of the reality of sexual coercion in the workplace is reaching levels we haven't seen before, and it's partly because we're living not only in the age of Trump, but in the age of reaction to Trump. [...]

At this point we have to pause, for the benefit of those Trump supporters inclined to say that there's no real comparison between Weinstein's alleged actions and the "locker room talk" revealed in the Access Hollywood recording with Trump and Billy Bush, to remind ourselves of some of what we learned in 2016. The plain and obvious truth is that Donald Trump views women (and even underage girls) as sex objects whose value as human beings is defined by whether he wants to screw them. His own assertion that he believed could do whatever he wanted to them, including "grab 'em by the p[***]y," was corroborated by multiple women who made credible allegations of him acting somewhere between inappropriately and criminally toward them. Here's reminder of some of the things we learned in 2016 about the man who is now president of the United States:

A dozen women went public to say that just as he had bragged about doing on the Access Hollywood tape, Trump had groped them or kissed them against their will.

He countered the accusations by saying the women were too ugly for him to sexually assault.

When he owned the Miss U.S.A. and Miss Teen U.S.A. pageant, according to contestants he would burst into the dressing rooms when they were changing, something he also bragged to Howard Stern about doing ("I'm allowed to go in, because I'm the owner of the pageant ... and so I sort of get away with things like that").

According to people who worked on The Apprentice, he routinely "rated female contestants by the size of their breasts and talked about which ones he'd like to have sex with."

At the age of 46, he met a 10-year-old girl and said, "I am going to be dating her in 10 years."

He told an interviewer, "I tell friends who treat their wives magnificently, get treated like crap in return, 'Be rougher and you'll see a different relationship.'"

He said "if Ivanka weren't my daughter, perhaps I'd be dating her," just one of multiple occasions in which he has publicly expressed a sexual interest in his daughter. On another occasion he told a reporter, "Yeah, she's really something, and what a beauty, that one. If I weren't happily married and, ya know, her father."

That's just a sampling, but what it all adds up to is a man who, despite his frequent insistence that "Nobody has more respect for women than I do," is the most unapologetic misogynist to occupy the Oval Office in modern times. 

October 15, 2017

Posted by orrinj at 4:14 PM


Posted by orrinj at 3:32 PM

DONALD'S TORCH SONG:

Trump Given A Subpoena For All Documents Relating To Assault Allegations (Jessica Garrison & Kendall Taggart, BuzzFeed News)


A high-stakes legal showdown is brewing for President Donald Trump, as a woman who said he groped her has subpoenaed all documents from his campaign pertaining to "any woman alleging that Donald J. Trump touched her inappropriately." [...]

Summer Zervos, who previously accused President-elect Donald Trump of sexually assaulting her, speaks at a press conference with attorney Gloria Allred at Allred's office in Los Angeles on Nov. 11, 2016.
They also asked for "all documents" concerning other women who have accused Trump of groping them, including Jessica Leeds, Mindy McGillivray, Rachel Crooks, Natasha Stoynoff, Temple Taggart, Kristin Anderson, Cathy Heller, Jill Harth, and Jessica Drake.

Posted by orrinj at 7:58 AM

HOMO ECONOMICUS, HE DEAD:

The Economist Who Saw How Irrational We Are (Michael Lewis, 10/14/17,  Bloomberg View)

There's now a fairly long list of intellectuals responsible for the spread of this subversive idea [the data might trump the expertise of managers.] Somewhere near the top of it is the economist Richard Thaler, who has just published an odd and interesting professional memoir, Misbehaving. It's odd because it's funnier and more personal than books by professors tend to be. It's interesting because it tells the story not just of Thaler's career but also of the field of behavioral economics -- the study of actual human beings rather than the rational optimizers of classical economic theory.

For a surprisingly long time, behavioral economics wasn't much more than a bunch of weird observations made by Richard Thaler, more or less to himself. What he calls his "first heretical thoughts" occurred in graduate school, while writing his thesis. He'd set out to determine how to value a human life -- so that, say, the government might decide how much to spend on some life-saving highway improvement. It sounds like a question without a clear answer but, as Thaler points out, people answer it clearly, if implicitly, every day, when they accept money for a greater chance of dying on the job. "Suppose I could get data on the death rates of various occupations, including dangerous ones like mining, logging and skyscraper window washing, and safer ones like farming, shop keeping and low-rise window washing," recalls Thaler. "The risky jobs should pay more than the less risky ones: otherwise why would anyone do them?" Using wage data, and an actuarial table of mortality rates in those jobs, he was able to work out what people needed to be paid to risk their life. (The current implied value of an American life is $7 million.) Only he didn't stop there. He got distracted by a funny idea. [...]

[I]n addition to calculating the market's price for a human life, Thaler got distracted by how much fun he might have if he asked actual human beings how much they needed to be paid to run the risk of dying. He began with his own students, telling them to imagine that by attending his lecture, they had exposed themselves to a rare fatal disease. There was a 1 in 1,000 chance they had caught it. There was a single dose of the antidote: How much would they be willing to pay for it?

Then he asked them the same question, in a different way: How much would they demand to be paid to attend a lecture in which there is a 1 in 1,000 chance of contracting a rare fatal disease, for which there was no antidote?

The questions were practically identical, but the answers people gave to them were -- and are -- wildly different. People would say they would pay two grand for the antidote, for instance, but would need to be paid half a million dollars to expose themselves to the virus. "Economic theory is not alone in saying that the answers should be identical," writes Thaler. "Logical consistency demands it. ... To an economist, these findings are somewhere between puzzling and preposterous. I showed them to (his thesis adviser) and he told me to stop wasting my time and get back to work on my thesis."

Instead, Thaler began to keep a list of things that people did that made a mockery of economic models of rational choice. There was the guy who planned to go to the football game, changed his mind when he saw it was snowing, and then, when he realized he had already bought the ticket, changed his mind again. There was the other guy who refused to pay $10 to have someone mow his lawn but wouldn't accept $20 to mow his neighbor's. There was the woman who drove 10 minutes to a store in order to save $10 on a $45 clock radio but wouldn't drive the same amount of time to save $10 on a $495 television. There were the people Thaler invited over to dinner, to whom he offered, before dinner, a giant bowl of nuts. They ate so many nuts they had no appetite for the far more appealing meal. The next time they came to dinner Thaler didn't offer nuts -- and his guests were happier.

And so on. People who read Thaler's list might well just shrug and say, "There isn't anything here that any good used car salesman doesn't know." That's the point: It's obvious to anyone who pays any attention at all to himself or his fellow human beings that we are not maximizers, or optimizers, or logical, or even all that sensible. In the early 1970s, when Thaler was a student, his professors didn't argue that human beings were perfectly rational. They argued that human irrationality didn't matter, for the purpose of economic theory, because it wasn't systematic. It could be treated as self-cancelling noise.

Enter Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman, psychologists at the Hebrew University in Jerusalem. Together, in the late 1960s, they had set off to confirm their suspicion that the weird self-defeating stuff that people do isn't random and inexplicable but fundamental to human nature. More to the point, human beings were not just occasionally irrational, but systematically irrational.

It is no coincidence that every significant philosopher of the English-speaking world has been skeptical of Reason.


Posted by orrinj at 7:46 AM

THERE'S ONLY ONE STORY:

Blade Runner 2049 isn't a sci-fi masterpiece, but it's trying really hard to replicate one (Alissa Wilkinson, Oct 8, 2017, Vox)

Blade Runner, though complex, had a relatively lean concept at its core: Its villain (or is he?), the replicant Roy Batty (played by Rutger Hauer), is a pretty clear cipher for the Miltonian conception of Lucifer: created to be an angel in God's service, then banished from his creator to serve humans in an off-world colony, only to rebel, "fall" back to earth, and wreak his rebellious vengeance against his creator -- who also, in this formulation, happens to be man. (For what it's worth, in this year's Alien: Covenant, which has a story co-written by Green, Michael Fassbender plays a character who is explicitly modeled on the Miltonian Lucifer.)

Blade Runner 2049 returns to those themes, with talk of angels now explicit. But the movie also stuffs in a lot of other Biblical references along with philosophical questions. What is the soul, and who has one? How necessary are bodies? Do we have free will, and if not, can we still call our feelings desires? Does it matter whether our memories are real? And what does it mean to be "free"?

That last one is the most important for this film. If Blade Runner was interested in who can be truly considered human, and how that's linked to our ability as a species to feel empathy for others, Blade Runner 2049 is more interested in the question of freedom, in a manner that recalls much recent blockbuster entertainment from Twin Peaks: The Return and Westworld to Alien: Covenant and even The Good Place. Are we free if we are governed by the laws of the universe? Does it matter who set those laws? Is it really possible to break our creators' decrees, or are we programmed to fulfill functions, conforming to our destinies no matter what we think we're doing?

The entirety of the conflict between faith and Reason boils down to just this question : do you choose to believe that humans were endowed with Free Will or not?

Posted by orrinj at 7:36 AM

THANKS, DONALD!:

Trump Ties Presidency to Stock Market (Heather Long, 10/15/17, The Washington Post)

President Donald Trump seems to have another obsession: The stock market. He mentions it almost daily now, touting how the Dow Jones industrial average -- a popular U.S. stock market indicator -- is up 25 percent since Election Day.

It's almost as if, in Trump's mind, the stock market is his report card. At a time when the polls give him about a 40 percent approval rating, he seems to view the market as giving him a standing ovation.

To be fair, the fact that the Deep State has stopped him from doing any damage has allowed him to enjoy the legacy of W and the UR's economy. And doing nothing at a time when nothing need be done is creditworthy, no matter how you achieve it.

Posted by orrinj at 7:32 AM

WHEN DEMOCRATS OPPOSE DEMOCRACY:

Tony Blair laments boycotting Hamas after 2006 PA election (Times of Israel, 10/15/17)

Former British prime minister and peace negotiator Tony Blair said the international community made a mistake boycotting Hamas after the terror group's victory in the 2006 Palestinian elections, saying it should have instead attempted to "pull Hamas into a dialogue."

Blair, along with leaders of countries in the Middle East Quartet and Israel, sanctioned and cut aid to the Palestinian Authority after Hamas's win, demanding that the terror group recognize Israel, renounce violence and adhere to previous agreements between Israel and the Palestinians, conditions that Hamas rejected.

It's long past time to stop making Woodrow Wilson's mistake. Even W had this blindspot.

Posted by orrinj at 7:25 AM

ADD ANZUS TOO:

Britain could join NAFTA if Brexit trade deal fails - Telegraph newspaper (Reuters, 10/15/17)
 
Britain could join a formal trade alliance with the United States, Canada and Mexico if the European Union refuses to clinch a post-Brexit trade deal, the Daily Telegraph newspaper reported on Tuesday.

The newspaper said British ministers were looking at joining the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) as part of planning for the possibility of Britain leaving the EU in March 2019 without a trade deal. It gave no sources for the report.

"As we prepare to leave the EU, we will seek to transition all existing EU trade arrangements to ensure that the UK maintains the greatest amount of certainty, continuity and stability in our trade and investment relationships," a spokesman for the Department for International Trade said.

Posted by orrinj at 7:19 AM

GIVEN THE LAUGHINGSTOCK...:

The 25 conservatives actually worth following on Twitter (TAYLOR LINK, 10.14.2017, Salon)

[W]hat if we told you there are 25 conservatives actually worth following on Twitter? What if we said that there are conservatives that not only dislike President Trump, but also engage in a level of ideological introspection that has surpassed most liberals? Wouldn't you have to check them out?

Well, here they are, the 25 must-follow conservatives on Twitter. Give them a look and a follow if you want to get a view outside of your liberal bubble for a moment or two.


...and the fact that all comedy is conservative, this is the easiest time to be a conservative pundit since at least the Carter presidency.

Posted by orrinj at 7:10 AM

THE ONLY FOOTPRINTS IN THE SAND ARE THE dEEP sTATE'S:

Promise the Moon? Easy for Trump. But Now Comes the Reckoning. (PETER BAKEROCT. 14, 2017, NY Times)


President Trump leaves little doubt about what he thinks of his predecessor's top domestic and international legacies. The health care program enacted by President Barack Obama is "outrageous" and "absolutely destroying everything in its wake." The nuclear deal with Iran is "one of the worst and most one-sided transactions the United States has ever entered into."

Yet as much as he has set his sights on them, Mr. Trump after nearly nine months in office has not actually gotten rid of either. Instead, in the past few days, he took partial steps to undercut both initiatives and then left it to Congress to figure out what to do next. Whether either will ultimately survive in some form has become a central suspense of Mr. Trump's first year in office.

In the case of health care, Mr. Trump is making a virtue of necessity. Having failed to push through legislation replacing the Affordable Care Act, he is taking more limited measures on his own authority aimed at chipping away at the law. On the other hand, when it comes to the Iran deal, he has the authority to walk away without anyone else's consent but has been talked out of going that far by his national security team. Instead, by refusing to recertify the deal, he rhetorically disavows the pact without directly pulling out.

These are not the only instances in which Mr. Trump's expansive language has not been matched by his actions during this opening phase of his presidency. On immigration, diplomatic relations with Cuba and international accords like the North American Free Trade Agreement and a separate trade pact with South Korea, he has denounced decisions made by Mr. Obama or other previous presidents without fully reversing them.

"Presidential campaigns are won with big, simple, directional promises that rarely align well with the complexity confronted in the Oval Office," said Michael O. Leavitt, a Republican former governor of Utah and secretary of health and human services who advised Mr. Trump's transition team. "So presidents do the best they can to stretch the fabric of incomplete outcomes to cover as much bare backside as possible and move on."

Posted by orrinj at 7:07 AM

IF HE EVER WALKED A ROUND HE COULD TAKE A LATINO CADDY:


Posted by orrinj at 6:57 AM

A SUCKER IS BORN WITH A SILVER SPOON IN HIS MOUTH EVERY MINUTE:

Trump Owns Fake Renoir That He Insists Is Real (Chris Sosa, 10/15/17, AlterNet.

Biographer Tim O'Brien told Vanity Fair an amazing anecdote about how President Donald Trump owns a Renoir print and straight-up refuses to acknowledge it's not the original painting.

O'Brien spotted the print on Trump's plane and asked him if it was an original, apparently to see if he'd lie.

Trump told O'Brien it was. The biographer responded, "No, it's not Donald." Instead of letting it go, Trump argued with him.

"I grew up in Chicago, that Renoir is called Two Sisters on the Terrace, and it's hanging on a wall at the Art Institute of Chicago," O'Brien countered. "That's not an original." The conversation was eventually dropped.

The very next day, after the two boarded his plane, Trump said without prompting, "You know, that's an original Renoir."

Fast-forward to 2016. That fake Renoir was spotted hanging in Trump Tower during Trump's infamous 60 Minutes interview.

October 14, 2017

Posted by orrinj at 6:14 PM

NO ONE HATES JUST MEXICANS:

Republican Congressman Brought Holocaust Denier To Capitol Meeting (Nathan Guttman, 10/12/17, The Forward).

Rep. Dana Rohrabacher brought a Holocaust denier to a meeting last week with Sen. Rand Paul to discuss Wikileaks founder Julian Assange, the Daily Caller reported.



Posted by orrinj at 6:04 PM

DONALD WHO?

France's Macron 'considers' trip to Iran after Rouhani invite (AFP, 14 October 2017)

Macron said the US decision "will not put an end to the Iranian nuclear accord and that together all the parties in France and its European partners will continue to meet their commitments."

Rouhani assured Macron that Iran in turn "will continue to carry out its commitments" in the nuclear accord, the Elysee said.

Posted by orrinj at 5:55 PM

FORTUNATELY, THE CENTRE IS THE dEEP sTATE IN AMERICA:

Sinister figures lurk around our careless president (George F. Will, 10/13/17, Washington Post)

With Trump turning and turning in a widening gyre, his crusade to make America great again is increasingly dominated by people who explicitly repudiate America's premises. The faux nationalists of the "alt-right" and their fellow travelers such as Stephen K. Bannon, although fixated on protecting the United States from imported goods, have imported the blood-and-soil ethno-tribalism that stains the continental European right. In "Answering the Alt-Right" in National Affairs quarterly, Ramon Lopez, a University of Chicago PhD candidate in political philosophy, demonstrates how Trump's election has brought back to the public stage ideas that a post-Lincoln America had slowly but determinedly expunged. They were rejected because they are incompatible with an open society that takes its bearing from the Declaration of Independence's doctrine of natural rights.

With their version of the identity politics practiced by progressives, alt-right theorists hold that the tribalism to which people are prone should not be transcended but celebrated. As Lopez explains, the alt-right sees society as inevitably "a zero-sum contest among fundamentally competing identity groups." Hence the alt-right is explicitly an alternative to Lincoln's affirmation of the Founders' vision. They saw America as cohesive because of a shared creed. The alt-right must regard Lincoln as not merely mistaken but absurd in describing America as a creedal nation dedicated to a "proposition." The alt-right insists that real nationhood requires cultural homogeneity rooted in durable ethnic identities. This is the alt-right's alternative foundation for the nation Lincoln said was founded on the principle that all people are, by nature, equal.

October 13, 2017

Posted by orrinj at 6:59 PM

COMIC SILVER:

Why Trump's Obamacare Sabotage May Backfire -- and Give Millions Free Health Care (Eric Levitz, 10/13/17, New York)

[H]ere's the crucial thing: Insurers are still required to give low-income people the discounts. Trump can't change that regulatory requirement without passing a law. All he can do is stiff the insurers. (And according to health-care economist Nicholas Bagley, he can only do that temporarily. Insurers still have a legal entitlement to reimbursement -- even if the Treasury can't legally honor that entitlement without congressional consent. So, the insurers can sue the government and collect what they're owed through a special fund dedicated to settling Uncle Sam's lawsuits.)

For insurers, this drastically increases the (near-term) costs of participating in Obamacare. In response, some will exit the exchanges, while others will jack up the premiums on their silver-level plans by roughly 20 percent, according to the CBO. This is the part of Trump's sabotage that will hurt some ordinary people: It's possible that insurers will completely abandon some counties, and that people who earn too much to qualify for subsidies -- but don't get insurance through their employer -- will see their health-care costs increase. While the CBO expects the cancellation of the cost-sharing reductions to (ironically) give more Americans insurance in the long-term, the budget office expects it to result in fewer Americans having insurance next year, amid these marketplace disruptions.

That said, the vast majority of people who use Obamacare do qualify for subsidies. And those subsidies are tied to the price of silver-level plans. Which is to say: The more expensive silver plans get, the bigger most Obamacare enrollees' subsidies become. If you are an ACA enrollee who makes 200 percent of the poverty line, the law guarantees you a tax credit big enough to lower the cost of a silver-level plan to 6.43 percent of your annual income -- no matter how expensive the silver plan gets. Critically, while the size of the tax credit is tied to the silver plan, enrollees can spend that credit on gold- or bronze-level ones, if they so choose.

Posted by orrinj at 6:37 PM

EVERY HURRICANE HAS A SILVER LINING:

Puerto Rican exodus could boost Small Town, USA (Lydia DePillis, 10/13/17, CNNMoney)

They're already landing in Lorain, Ohio -- Puerto Rican families, with few possessions and bleak memories.

"We started to see it last week," says Victor Leandry, director of El Centro, a nonprofit social services agency based in this faded industrial town on the shores of Lake Erie. "Just today, we have at least four or five new families. When I walk into the building at nine in the morning, we are seeing already a migration."

This isn't the norm. In what's shaping up to be the second greatest exodus to the mainland since World War II, most Puerto Ricans fleeing the devastation of Hurricane Maria will end up in New York and Florida, where hundreds of thousands of islanders already live.

But as Puerto Rico's economy has deteriorated in recent years -- the country's diaspora has ballooned to 5.4 million people, far exceeding the 3.4 million who live on the island itself -- many have migrated to other parts of the U.S.

Some who leave the island as a result of Hurricane Maria will end up in lesser-known Puerto Rican communities in states like Ohio, Connecticut, Pennsylvania and Illinois.

Many towns, like Lorain, could really use the newcomers.

Posted by orrinj at 6:22 PM

DONALD WHO?:

Don't Believe the Hype: Trump Is Not "Decertifying" the Iran Deal (Marty Lederman, October 13, 2017, Just Security)


-- He is not using the delegated statutory authorities that the President has long had to reimpose the nuclear sanctions on Iran that Presidents imposed before the JCPOA. President Obama lifted, or waived, those sanctions after Iran undertook major (and in important respects irreversible) steps to significantly constrain its nuclear program and submit to an extremely robust monitoring and transparency regime. As a matter of U.S. domestic law, the President could remipose them, although such action would constitute the United States' unilateral breach of the JCPOA. (As I have explained elsewhere, such a breach would not violate international law because the JCPOA is not binding on the U.S. (or the other parties) as a matter of international law--which is why President Obama was able to have the United States agree to it in the first place without Senate ratification or congressional authorization.) Notably, however, Trump is not doing so.[1]


-- The President is not certifying that Iran has done anything to breach the JCPOA.

-- Indeed, Trump is not "certifying" anything.  Instead, he is declining to certify one thing (see below).

-- The Presdient is not even refusing to certify that Iran has complied with the JCPOA--to the contrary, the President reportedly will certify, or at a minimum his officials are likely to confirm what virtually everyone agrees to be the case, namely, that Iran is complying with its obligations under the JCPOA.[2]

-- Trump is not identifying any material change in circumstances or new information since his last set of certifications to Congress (in July) pursuant to the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act of 2015 (INARA).

-- He is not doing (or declining to do) anything that would require Congress to reimpose, or "snap back" into place, the nuclear sanctions against Iran.

-- Nor is he doing (or declining to do) anything that would even require Congress to invoke the INARA's highly expedited procedures for considering whether to "snap back" sanctions.

So, if those are among the important things that Trump is not doing, what is he doing, and to what effect?

As he mentioned in his speech this afternoon, President Trump is refussing, this weekend (the statutory deadline is the 15th), to make one particular INARA certification that he made in April and in July--not direcly involving Iran's compliance with the deal, but simply a certification that the U.S.'s own "suspension of sanctions related to Iran pursuant to the agreement" is: (I) "appropriate and proportionate to the specific and verifiable measures taken by Iran with respect to terminating its illicit nuclear program; and (II) vital to the national security interests of the United States."  Trump is declining to make this particular certification to Congress, notwithstanding Secretary Mattis' recent testimony that it is in the national security interest of he United States to "stay in" the JCPOA.

What is the legal impact of Trump's refusal to make this discrete certification about the relationship between sanctions suspension and our national security?  Merely that, under INARA, it frees up Congress to circumvent its ordinary, internal legislative procedures for considering a new statutory "snap back" of sanctions. It is noteworthy, however, that Trump is not urging or recommending that Congress actually use such "fast track" procedures, let alone recommending that Congress approve a "snap back" of the sanctions. To the contrary, by all accounts Trump and his officials do not recommend that Congress enact such a "snap back," just as Trump himself is not exercising his own authority to lift the sanctions suspension.  And there's no indication that Congress is inclined to do anything of the sort.

Therefore, not only is the President's new refusal to certify that the U.S. sanctions suspension is "vital" to the national security and "appropriate and proportionate" to Iran's efforts an extremely narrow exception to his certifications; more importantly, it will also have no legal effect, either under domestic law or with respect to the continuing operation of the JCPOA.

Posted by orrinj at 3:40 PM

JOBS WHITE PEOPLE WON'T DO:

Football's decline has some high schools disbanding teams (Ben Nuckols, 10/13/17, AP)

The risks of football have never been more apparent. This summer, researchers at Boston University said they'd found evidence of a brain disease linked to repeated head blows in nearly all of the 202 former football players they studied. The athletes whose brains were donated to the study had played football in the National Football League, college and even high school.

The report doesn't confirm chronic traumatic encephalopathy, known as CTE, is common in all football players, because many donors or their families participated in the study because of the players' troubling symptoms.

After years of denials, the NFL acknowledged a link between head blows and brain disease and agreed in 2015 to a $1 billion settlement to compensate former players who had accused the league of hiding the risks.

"There's no question about it. The amount of publicity, beginning with the NFL and what you see on national news, has caused concern among parents," said Bob Gardner, the NFHS executive director. "Probably some who would have been more inclined to let their young men play, maybe are making different decisions now."

A study published last month in the medical journal Translational Psychiatry showed that kids who played football before age 12 were more than twice as likely to have mood and behavior problems.

The news hasn't escaped the parents at Centennial, one of the top-rated public high schools in Maryland, where 97 percent of students go on to college after they graduate. Just 10 percent of students qualify for free or reduced-price meals, an indicator of poverty.

"Families around here are more into academics," Zach said.

Maryland is one of 14 states where participation in football was down 10 percent or more over the past five years, according to NFHS data. In all, 41 states saw a decline between the 2011-12 and 2016-17 school years, and just nine states and the District of Columbia saw increases.

In West Windsor Township, New Jersey, which borders Princeton University and has a median household income of $137,000, one of the two public high schools dropped varsity football this year, and the other might have to do the same next year.

Trinity High School in Manchester, New Hampshire, also disbanded its varsity team, with hopes that it could return in a lower division next year.

At the first practice, the team "had three seniors, one junior, 12 sophomores and one freshman," athletic director Chip Polak told the New Hampshire Union Leader in August. "Two of the seniors have never played any kind of organized football and the other senior is dealing with concussion symptoms."

Posted by orrinj at 3:39 PM

ALL COMEDY IS CONSERVATIVE:


October 12, 2017

Posted by orrinj at 6:37 PM

YOU'RE NOT ENTITLED TO YOUR OWN SET OF FACTS:

Trump says aid to Puerto Rico can't last 'forever.' Here's what the island is without. (Luis Gomez, 10/12/17, San Diego Union-Tribune)

The latest figures, as of Thursday, tell a clear picture of Puerto Rico's need for continued aid and support.

83 percent are without power
36 percent are without potable water
About half still don't have cell phone service
21 percent are without access to gasoline


Puerto Rico after Hurricane Maria: The Public's Knowledge and Views of Its Impact and the Response (Bianca DiJulio, Cailey Muñana, and Mollyann Brodie, 10/12/17, Kaiser)'

Most of the public (62 percent) says that most people in Puerto Rico affected by Hurricane Maria are not yet getting the help they need, while about a third say they are (32 percent). However, views vary by party with majorities of Democrats (80 percent) and independents (61 percent) saying people are not yet getting the help they need, compared to 56 percent of Republicans who feel they are getting the help they need.


Posted by orrinj at 4:28 PM

IT SEEMS AWFULLY LIKELY...:

Gay Coffee Shop Owner Kicks Out Pro-Life Customers (Amber Randall, October 12, 2017, Daily Signal)

The gay owner of a coffee shop in Seattle kicked a group of Christians out of his coffee shop Sunday after declaring in obscene terms that he would like to sodomize Jesus Christ.

The owner heatedly tells the Christians to leave his shop immediately in a video posted to Facebook by Abolish Human Abortion, a Christian group seeking to end the practice of abortion.

"I'm gay, you have to leave," the owner tells the group. "This is offensive to me. I own the place. I have the right to be offended."

...that there are other coffee shops in the area not owned by decent people.

Posted by orrinj at 4:22 PM

NO ONE HATES JUST MEXICANS:

San Juan mayor excoriates Trump for condemning Puerto Ricans 'to a slow death' (The Week, 10/12/17)
 
The mayor of San Juan, Puerto Rico, issued a scathing statement against President Trump on Thursday and begged for international aid for the U.S. territory. "I ask every American ... to stand with Puerto Rico and let this president know WE WILL NOT BE LEFT TO DIE," Mayor Carmen Yulin Cruz wrote. "I ask the United Nations and UNICEF and the world to stand with the people of Puerto Rico and stop the genocide that will result from the lack of appropriate action of a president that just does not get it because he has been incapable of looking in our eyes and seeing the pride that burns fiercely in our hearts and souls."

Earlier Thursday, Trump appeared to tell Puerto Rico that its federal relief effort has a pending expiration date. "Electric and all infrastructure was disaster before hurricanes," Trump tweeted. "Congress to decide how much to spend. We cannot keep FEMA, the military, [and] the first responders, who have been amazing (under the most difficult circumstances) in P.R. forever!"

Thirty-five percent of Puerto Rico residents still don't have drinking water, and just 10 percent have electricity.



Posted by orrinj at 12:17 PM

HE HAD HIS TINY FINGERS CROSSED:


Posted by orrinj at 12:14 PM

DON'T JUST STAND THERE, MAKE A MEANINGLESS GESTURE!:

'He threw a fit': Trump's anger over Iran deal forced aides to scramble for a compromise (Anne Gearan, October 11, 2017, Washington Post)

President Trump was livid. Why, he asked his advisers in mid-July, should he go along with what he considered the failed Obama-era policy toward Iran and prop up an international nuclear deal he saw as disastrous?

He was incensed by the arguments of Secretary of State Rex ­Tillerson, Defense Secretary Jim Mattis and others that the landmark 2015 deal, while flawed, offered stability and other benefits. He did not want to certify to Congress that the agreement remained in the vital U.S. national security interest and that Iran was meeting its obligations. He did not think either was true.

"He threw a fit," said one person familiar with the meeting. ". . . He was furious. Really furious. It's clear he felt jammed."

So White House national security adviser H.R. McMaster and other senior advisers came up with a plan -- one aimed at accommodating Trump's loathing of the Iran deal as "an embarrassment" without killing it outright. [...]

As a practical matter, Trump's expected move will place the onus on Congress to decide what to do next. Working with Sen. Tom Cotton (R-Ark.), a leading congressional hawk on Iran, the White House would refrain from recommending that Congress reimpose nuclear sanctions that were suspended under the deal.

Posted by orrinj at 11:56 AM

GREATEST WAR EVER:

Isis 'White Widow' Sally Jones is killed by US drone strike (Deborah Haynes, Defence Editor | Fiona Hamilton | Francis Elliott, October 12 2017, The Times)

Sally Jones, one of the world's most wanted terrorists, has been killed in a US drone strike in Syria, it was revealed last night.

The former punk rocker from Kent, who converted to Islam and became a leading recruiter for Islamic State, died in June close to Syria's border with Iraq, US spy chiefs are understood to have told their British counterparts. It is likely that her son Jojo, 12, was also killed.

A Whitehall source told The Times: "The premise that Sally Jones and her son are dead is probably accurate."

Jones, 50, a mother of two, followed the same fate as her husband, Junaid Hussain, 21.

Hussain, a computer hacker from Birmingham who was another senior Isis member, was killed in a drone strike in the terrorist group's former stronghold of Raqqa, northern Syria, in August 2015. British intelligence assisted in helping to locate him.

Posted by orrinj at 8:10 AM

DON'T CUT THEM, REDIRECT THEM:

No tax cut for the wealthy? Easier said than done (BRIAN FALER 10/11/2017, Politico)

They are confronting a tax system where the tax burden is increasingly bunched up at the top of the income spectrum, thanks to huge earnings gains by the rich and the fact that the U.S. has one of the most progressive income tax systems in the world.

The top 0.1 percent of earners projected to pay more to the IRS than the bottom 80 percent combined. This year, official government data show, the top 20 percent will pay 95 percent of all income taxes.

The top 1 percent -- about 1 million families earning at least $379,000 -- will pay 45 percent of all individual income taxes collected this year, and almost one-third of taxes overall, including corporate, payroll, estate and excise taxes.

Meanwhile, more modest income gains among average Americans, as well as repeated efforts by Congress to cut taxes on low- and middle-income people, mean those groups are shouldering a declining share of the tax burden.

The average federal tax rate for people whose earnings put them in the 21st to 80th percentile of incomes has fallen by 30 percent since 1979 to 13.8 percent, according to the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office. Rates on low-income people have declined even further, by 57 percent, to 3.3 percent.

"The fact that they don't pay very much in taxes means that it's very hard to provide them with a large tax cut," said Looney, now a fellow at the Brookings Institution.

We need tax reform, not cuts. Instead of taxing income, profits and investments--which we want--we should be taxing consumption.

Posted by orrinj at 7:48 AM

A PEOPLE WHO THINK THEMSELVES A NATION ARE ONE:

Abbas hails 'final agreement' with Hamas to end Palestinian split (Times of Israel, October 12, 2017)

An official from Abbas's Fatah movement said the Palestinian president was now planning to travel to the Gaza Strip within a month as part of the unity bid in what would be his first visit in a decade.

Sanctions taken by Abbas against Hamas-controlled Gaza will also soon be lifted, the Fatah official said.

The deal includes 3,000 members of the West Bank-based Palestinian Authority's police force redeploying to Gaza, a member of the negotiating team told AFP on condition of anonymity.

The figure is however a fraction of the more than 20,000 police officers employed separately by Hamas.

Another party to the negotiations, speaking on condition of anonymity, said the agreement would see Palestinian Authority forces take control of the Rafah border crossing between Gaza and Egypt.

He added that all Palestinian factions would begin wider negotiations on the formation of a unity government in the coming two weeks.

One of the key issues has been punitive measures taken by Abbas against Gaza in recent months, including reducing electricity payments that left the territory's residents with only a few hours of power a day.

"All the measures taken recently will end very shortly," Zakaria al-Agha, a senior Fatah leader in the Gaza Strip, told AFP.

Posted by orrinj at 7:36 AM

DONALD WHO?:

UK Reaffirms Commitment to Iran Nuclear Deal (Asharq Al-Awsat, 10/12/17)

A statement from May's office following the call with Trump on Tuesday evening said: "The (prime minister) reaffirmed the UK's strong commitment to the deal alongside our European partners, saying it was vitally important for regional security."

May "stressed that it was important that the deal was carefully monitored and properly enforced."

Allowing the allies to trade with Iran without any competition from our businesses would be a strange sort of foreign aid.

Posted by orrinj at 7:15 AM

THE DO-NOTHINGS:

Is the American Idea Doomed? : Not yet--but it has precious few supporters on either the left or the right. (YONI APPELBAUM, NOVEMBER 2017, The Atlantic)

The American idea, [Theodore Parker, the radical preacher and abolitionist]Parker declared in an 1850 speech, comprised three elements: that all people are created equal, that all possess unalienable rights, and that all should have the opportunity to develop and enjoy those rights. Securing them required "a government of all the people, by all the people, for all the people," Parker said. [...]

As a vision, it was bold and improbable--but the magazine these men launched that November, 160 years ago, helped spur the nation to redefine itself around the pursuit of the American idea. And as the United States grew and prospered, other peoples around the globe were attracted to its success, and the idea that produced it.

Now, though, the idea they articulated is in doubt. America no longer serves as a model for the world as it once did; its influence is receding. At home, critics on the left reject the notion that the U.S. has a special role to play; on the right, nationalists push to define American identity around culture, not principles. Is the American idea obsolete?

From the first, the idea provoked skepticism. It was radical to claim that a nation as new as America could have its own idea to give the world, it was destabilizing to discard rank and station and allow people to define their own destinies, and it bordered on absurd to believe that a nation so sprawling and heterogeneous could be governed as a democratic republic. By 1857, the experiment's failure seemed imminent.

Across Europe, the 19th century had dawned as a democratic age, but darkened as it progressed. The revolutions of 1848 failed. Prussia busily cemented its dominance over the German states. In 1852, France's Second Republic gave way to its Second Empire. Spain's Progressive Biennium ended in 1856 as it began, with a coup d'Ă©tat. Democracy was in full retreat. Even where it endured, the right to vote or hold office was generally restricted to a small, propertied elite.

On the surface, things appeared different in Boston, where The Atlantic's eight founders--Emerson, Lowell, Moses Dresser Phillips, Henry Wadsworth Longfellow, John Lothrop Motley, James Elliot Cabot, Francis H. Underwood, and Oliver Wendell Holmes Sr.--dined in May 1857. Almost all adult males in Massachusetts, black and white alike, could vote, and almost all did. Almost all were literate. And they stood equal before the law. The previous Friday, the state had ratified a new constitutional amendment stripping out the last significant property qualifications for running for state Senate.

But even in Boston, democracy was embattled. The state's government was in the grip of the nativist Know-Nothings, who resented recent waves of immigrants. That same Friday, voters had ratified an amendment imposing a literacy test for voting, a mostly symbolic effort at exclusion. But slavery, the diners believed, posed an even greater threat to democracy. Most of them had been radicalized three years before by the Anthony Burns case, when federal troops marched into their commonwealth to return Burns, an escaped slave then living and working in Boston, to bondage in Virginia--inspiring protests and lethal violence on his behalf. To the west, Kansas was bloodied by fighting between pro- and antislavery elements; to the south, politicians had begun defending slavery not as a necessary evil but as a positive ideal.

The fight against slavery had become a struggle for the American idea; the two could not coexist.


The Know-Nothings, Realists and Isolationists are always with us and yet we just keep diversifying and globalizing.  It seems especially odd to put the fight for the American Idea in historical perspective but then pretend that it is in trouble when you consider the Civil War, WWI, WWII and the Cold War.  



Posted by orrinj at 7:10 AM

MUCH ADO:

Don't Freak Out About the Clean Power Plan Repeal (Jake Bullinger, Oct 11, 2017, Outside)

Amid the recent hubbub over the Clean Power Plan, it's important to remember the law never actually went into effect. When the Obama Administration proposed it in 2014, the goal was to cut greenhouse-gas emissions from existing power plants by 30 percent. But 28 states immediately sued the federal government in response, preventing the plan's implementation. (One attorney general who lead that initial charge? Oklahoma's Scott Pruitt, now administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, who on Tuesday gleefully kicked off the process to repeal the CPP.)

The other point to remember about Obama's signature climate-change regulation is that it was written in tandem with another protection that remains in effect today: the New Source Rule, which limits emissions from new or modified power plants. Despite the current administration's best efforts to achieve otherwise, that regulation is working with broader economic forces to brush coal-fired energy aside.

The New Source Rule caps emissions for natural gas plants at 1,000 pounds of carbon dioxide per megawatt-hour of electricity produced. The limit for coal plants is 1,400 pounds. "That regulation essentially set a limit that allowed modern-technology natural gas plants to be permissible," says Ashley Lawson, a senior fellow at the Center for Climate and Energy Solutions. "But new coal-fired power plants were going to need to use some very new technology to meet the regulations."

That new technology is carbon capture and storage--the process of taking carbon dioxide from emissions, liquefying it, then pumping it underground. The most efficient coal-fired plants emit about 1,700 tons of carbon dioxide per megawatt hour, meaning any new or updated plants would have to employ carbon capture to meet the benchmark. It's an expensive process no American utility-scale plant has yet deployed.

Posted by orrinj at 7:07 AM

IT'S ABOUT INTERNAL POLITICS, NOT GEO:

Netanyahu at odds with security team over Iran deal (JOSEF FEDERMAN, October 12, 2017, tIMES OF iSRAEL)

[T]here is a strong sense among his own security establishment that there are few good alternatives, that the deal has benefited Israel, and that US credibility could be squandered in the turbulent Middle East in ways that could harm Israel itself. [...]

"It seems to me that the less risky approach is to build on the existing agreement, among other reasons because it does set concrete limitations on the Iranians," said Uzi Arad, a former national security adviser to Netanyahu. "It imposes ceilings and benchmarks and verification systems that you do not want to lose. Why lose it?"

Ideology.

Posted by orrinj at 7:00 AM

ALL COMEDY IS CONSERVATIVE:

Indiana vague about reasons for withholding Pence's emails (bRIAN sLODYSKO, 10/12/17, AP)

Indiana officials are refusing to release an indeterminate number of emails from private AOL.com accounts Mike Pence used as governor, and they're not saying whether the vice president's lawyers influenced which messages should be withheld.

October 11, 2017

Posted by orrinj at 6:56 PM

ODD MAN, OUT:

FCC Chair Preemptively Rubbishes Trump's Dumb Tweet About Challenging Media Licenses (Matt Welch, Oct. 11, 2017, Reason)

The president is correct, if unintentionally so, that challenging a media company's license out of frustration over its allegedly inaccurate coverage is "Bad for country!" As he would know well, if he paid attention to his own Federal Communications Commission Chair, Ajit Pai, who in a speech last month (as covered by Variety) sounded the warning that "free speech in practice seems to be under siege in this country":

Pai added that the "common thread is the belief, shared by too many, that those with views perceived as unpopular or offensive should be silenced. One has to wonder whether those who will one day carry the torch will be dedicated to open debate or will instead seek to marginalize viewpoints they don't like."

Pai said that he also sees "worrying signs" at the FCC, pointing to Twitter messages in which "people regularly demand that the FCC yank licenses from cable news channels like Fox News, MSNBC, or CNN because they disagree with the opinions expressed on those networks."

"Setting aside the fact that the FCC doesn't license cable channels, these demands are fundamentally at odds with our legal and cultural traditions," Pai said.

Posted by orrinj at 6:49 PM


Posted by orrinj at 6:05 PM

ANYONE SEEN LOUIS ZAMPERINI?:

Russia protests to U.S. over 'shameful' theft of consulate flags (Reuters, 10/11/17) 

Russia protested to the United States on Wednesday after it said Russian flags were stolen from its consulate in San Francisco.

Posted by orrinj at 5:19 PM

YOU KNOW IT'S FAKE NEWS BECAUSE THEY PRETEND IT WAS EVER RAVELED:

"I HATE EVERYONE IN THE WHITE HOUSE!": TRUMP SEETHES AS ADVISERS FEAR THE PRESIDENT IS "UNRAVELING" (GABRIEL SHERMAN, OCTOBER 11, 2017, Vanity Fair)

At first it sounded like hyperbole, the escalation of a Twitter war. But now it's clear that Bob Corker's remarkable New York Times interview--in which the Republican senator described the White House as "adult day care" and warned Trump could start World War III--was an inflection point in the Trump presidency. It brought into the open what several people close to the president have recently told me in private: that Trump is "unstable," "losing a step," and "unraveling."

The conversation among some of the president's longtime confidantes, along with the character of some of the leaks emerging from the White House has shifted. There's a new level of concern. NBC News published a report that Trump shocked his national security team when he called for a nearly tenfold increase in the country's nuclear arsenal during a briefing this summer. One Trump adviser confirmed to me it was after this meeting disbanded that Secretary of State Rex Tillerson called Trump a "moron."

In recent days, I spoke with a half dozen prominent Republicans and Trump advisers, and they all describe a White House in crisis as advisers struggle to contain a president who seems to be increasingly unfocused and consumed by dark moods. Trump's ire is being fueled by his stalled legislative agenda and, to a surprising degree, by his decision last month to back the losing candidate Luther Strange in the Alabama Republican primary. "Alabama was a huge blow to his psyche," a person close to Trump said. "He saw the cult of personality was broken."

According to two sources familiar with the conversation, Trump vented to his longtime security chief, Keith Schiller, "I hate everyone in the White House!"


In fairness, everyone hates everyone in his White House.




Posted by orrinj at 3:25 PM

THE GIRLS DON'T SEEM TO CARE TONIGHT:

Trump Wanted Tenfold Increase in Nuclear Arsenal, Surprising Military (COURTNEY KUBE, KRISTEN WELKER, CAROL E. LEE and SAVANNAH GUTHRIE, 10/11/17, NBC)

According to the officials present, Trump's advisers, among them the Joint Chiefs of Staff and Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, were surprised. Officials briefly explained the legal and practical impediments to a nuclear buildup and how the current military posture is stronger than it was at the height of the buildup. In interviews, they told NBC News that no such expansion is planned.

Of course, if he'd just use the ones we have there'd be no need for any more. Proliferation is a function of not using them.

Posted by orrinj at 3:16 PM

WHAT PART OF TECHNOLOGY, GLOBALIZATION AND INVESTMENT MYSTIFIES THEM?:

Federal Reserve grapples with mystery of persistently low inflation (Associated Press, 10/11/17)


Posted by orrinj at 3:14 PM

GREATEST WAR EVER:

Islamic State claims triple suicide bombing on Damascus police HQ (AFP, October 11, 2017)

The Islamic State terror group claimed responsibility on Wednesday for a triple suicide attack on the main police headquarters in Syria's capital Damascus that killed at least two people. [...]

The attack was the second time in a month that suicide attackers have targeted the capital, which has often been insulated from the worst of the violence in the war-torn country.

October 10, 2017

Posted by Glenn Dryfoos at 4:30 PM

ALL THAT JAZZ #50

Today would have been Thelonious Monk's 100th birthday.  


ATJ#9 reviewed his first album as a leader, and The New Yorker website has pianist Ethan Iverson's very good overview of Monk's playing and influence.

Posted by orrinj at 2:54 PM

IT'S THE RELIGIOUS PARTY:

Steve Bannon Privately Slammed Pence VP Pick (Joseph Bernstein, 10/10/17, BuzzFeed News)

On July 15, 2016, the day the Trump campaign announced that it had selected Pence, Breitbart's former technology editor Milo Yiannopoulos wrote to Bannon and Breitbart editor Alex Marlow.

"Seems like a bad pick. Should I tweet something ambivalent about him? People are telling me Trump likely didn't want this. ...What's our party line on this?"

"This is the price we pay for cruzbots and #nevertrump movement," Bannon responded. "An unfortunate necessity...very. feel free to do whatever u want. we, as always, will remain above it all."

October 9, 2017

Posted by orrinj at 9:19 PM

WHEN YOU THINK PEACE AND PROSPERITY IS PRESSURE...:

A 'pressure cooker': Trump's frustration and fury rupture alliances, threaten agenda (Robert Costa, Philip Rucker and Ashley Parker October 9, 2017, wASHINGTON pOST)

Trump in recent days has shown flashes of fury and left his aides, including White House chief of staff John F. Kelly, scrambling to manage his outbursts. He has been frustrated in particular with Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, who was reported last week to have earlier called the president "a moron." Trump's Sunday morning Twitter tirade against Corker caught staffers by surprise, although the president had been brooding over the senator's comment a few days earlier about Trump's "chaos" endangering the nation.

One Trump confidant likened the president to a whistling teapot, saying that when he does not blow off steam he can turn into a pressure cooker and explode. "I think we are in pressure cooker territory," said this person, who requested anonymity to speak candidly.

This portrait of the president increasingly isolated in the capital city is based on interviews with 18 White House officials, outside advisers and other Trump associates.

On the other hand, there is no agenda so he's not losing anything.

Posted by orrinj at 4:17 PM

NO ONE HATES JUST MEXICANS:

White House lets Puerto Rico Jones Act waiver expire (Dave Lawler, 10/09/17, Axios)

Ten days after issuing a waiver allowing foreign ships to provide aid to Puerto Rico, the Trump administration has let it expire. 

Posted by orrinj at 10:04 AM

WE ARE ALL DESIGNIST NOW:

Schrödinger's fridge: physicists find the act of observation can make heat flow backwards : Simply observing a quantum system may be enough to temporarily turn thermodynamics on its head. (Michael Lucy, 10/09/17, Cosmos)

Heat flows from hot things to cold things. That's common sense. It's also one way to state the second law of thermodynamics, which is notoriously one of the universe's strictest rules.

In the nanoscale world ruled by quantum mechanics, however, causing heat to flow backwards may be as easy as making an observation.

According to a theoretical paper published in Nature Quantum Materials, by Angel Rubio of the Universida del Pais Vasco in San Sebastian, Spain, and colleagues, this is yet another way in which common sense goes out the window in the quantum realm.

Posted by orrinj at 9:59 AM

HATING BLACK ATHLETES IS A TRADITION:

After Forty-four Years, It's Time Brent Musburger Apologized to John Carlos and Tommie Smith : When Tommie Smith and John Carlos raised their black-gloved fists at the 1968 Olympics, they were called "black skinned stormtroopers" by a young journalist named Brent Musburger. It's past time for an apology. (Dave Zirin, JUNE 4, 2012, The Nation)

In 1968 Musburger was a restless, ambitious young sports writer looking to make his name. He found his opportunity when Smith and Carlos made their stand. Musburger didn't see a demonstration. He saw a target.

"One gets a little tired of having the United States run down by athletes who are enjoying themselves at the expense of their country," he wrote. Musburger then infamously called Smith and Carlos "a pair of black-skinned stormtroopers."

The above quote has been disseminated in books and articles for years but Musburger's full column is a difficult find. With an assist from Professor Jules Boykoff and an old-school tool called microfilm, I found it, and if anything, it's even uglier than the above quotes suggest. The headline is "Bizarre Protest By Smith, Carlos Tarnishes Medals." Despite seeing what they did as "bizarre," Musburger doesn't once address why Smith and Carlos did what they did or quote them directly. He does however find time to mock them repeatedly. He describes Smith and Carlos as "juvenile", "ignoble," and--this actually is bizarre--"unimaginative." Musburger calls Tommie Smith "the militant black." In describing a scene of Carlos trying to defend their actions, Musburger writes, "Perhaps it's time 20-year-old athletes quit passing themselves off as social philosophers."

And then there are those words that still singe the eyes: "black-skinned stormtroopers." You almost don't believe it until you read it.

As for the actual stormtrooper-sympathizer, Musburger refers to Brundage as a kindly old grandfather and with great affection and addresses him as "Avery". No mention of course that many of the athletes called him "Slavery Avery."

Posted by orrinj at 6:25 AM

NO ONE HATES JUST MEXICANS:

Donald Trump: Las Vegas shooter Stephen Paddock was 'probably smart' (Harriet Agerholm, 10/09/17, Independent)

Donald Trump has praised the intelligence of mass murderer Stephen Paddock, as authorities continue their investigations into the motives and background of the Las Vegas gunman.

Posted by orrinj at 5:15 AM

PEYTON WHO?:

Vice President Mike Pence Upstages Peyton Manning With Orchestrated Anthem Walkout (Peter King October 08, 2017, MMQB)

When Peyton Manning was drafted by the Colts in 1998, Mike Pence--born in Indiana, raised in Indiana, college-educated in Indiana--was a conservative talk-show host and avowed Colts fan. When Pence was elected to Congress in 2000, he moved away from Indiana for the first time, but continued to root hard for the Colts in the Manning glory years. When Manning left and after Pence was elected governor in 2012, Pence continued to root for Manning when he played the Patriots, presumably because of the rivalry between the Colts and Patriots; Pence even tweeted his best wishes to Manning before a Denver-New England game several years ago.

So it surprised no one when Vice President Pence announced last week he would be attending the ceremony in Indianapolis on Sunday when Manning's number would be retired at halftime of the Colts-49ers game. Pence would be in Las Vegas on Saturday to honor the victims of the murderous gun rampage there, and he would be moving on to California for a vice presidential appearance Monday, but he would fly on Air Force 2 with his traveling party for the 1,600-mile trip back to central Indiana to pay tribute to Manning at his halftime ceremony.

With Pence's trip, of course, there would be a traveling press pool of about 20 and a traveling Secret Service detail of approximately 10 with Pence and about 20 more doing advance work to sweep Lucas Oil Stadium and the Indianapolis hotel where the party would stay Saturday night and Sunday morning. There would be an ambulance in front of his motorcade and there would be a trauma team on alert at a local hospital. There certainly would be other manpower needs associated with a vice presidential trip at a significant cost to U.S. taxpayers.

Meanwhile, at some point during the weekend, President Donald Trump and Pence spoke, and Trump told Pence--he admitted as such on Twitter--that if there was a demonstration with players kneeling during the national anthem Sunday, Pence was to leave the stadium.

If there was one certain thing at the 49ers-Colts game, it was that some 49ers would protest during the anthem. This is the only team since the start of the 2016 season that had one or more players either sit or kneel for every game--preseason and regular season. There was absolutely no chance that this game would go off with 45 Colts standing on their side of the field and 45 members of the Niners standing on their side of the field. For at least the previous 26 games the 49ers played, first with Colin Kaepernick sitting and then kneeling, and this year with safety Eric Reid leading players in some form of demonstration, the team did something during the anthem. Last week in Arizona, about 30 players kneeled.

So why did Pence show up? This was a fait accompli--that some Niners would kneel, that Pence would walk out, and that it would turn into the story of the day in the NFL.

The vp could have, at least, pretended to have a spine, instead of acting like Beauregard.

October 8, 2017

Posted by orrinj at 6:46 PM

FORCES OF EVIL IN A BOZO NIGHTMARE:

ISIS Fighters, Having Pledged to Fight or Die, Surrender en Masse (ROD NORDLAND, OCT. 8, 2017, NY Times)


DIBIS, Iraq -- The prisoners were taken to a waiting room in groups of four, and were told to stand facing the concrete wall, their noses almost touching it, their hands bound behind their backs.

More than a thousand prisoners determined to be Islamic State fighters passed through that room last week after they fled their crumbling Iraqi stronghold of Hawija. Instead of the martyrdom they had boasted was their only acceptable fate, they had voluntarily ended up here in the interrogation center of the Kurdish authorities in northern Iraq.

For an extremist group that has made its reputation on its ferociousness, with fighters who would always choose suicide over surrender, the fall of Hawija has been a notable turning point. The group has suffered a string of humiliating defeats in Iraq and Syria, but the number of its shock troops who turned themselves in at the center in Dibis was unusually large, more than 1,000 since last Sunday, according to Kurdish intelligence officials.

The fight for Mosul, Iraq's second-largest city, took nine months, and by comparison, relatively few Islamic State fighters surrendered. Tal Afar fell next, and more quickly, in only 11 days. Some 500 fighters surrendered there.

The Iraqi military ousted the Islamic State, also known as ISIS and ISIL, from Hawija in 15 days, saying it had taken its forces only three days of actual heavy fighting before most of the extremists grabbed their families and ran. According to Kurdish officials, they put up no fight at all, other than planting bombs and booby traps.

Seen up close, the fighters' pretense of bravado soon disappears.

Posted by orrinj at 6:14 PM

ALL COMEDY IS CONSERVATIVE:


Posted by orrinj at 5:19 PM

COASTER:

Stan Getz - East of the Sun: The West Coast Sessions - The Ted Gioia Notes (Ted Gioia, Jazz Profiles)

Getz gravitated to the West Coast in his early career At age sixteen, he traveled to Los Angeles while still with Teagarden. He returned to California as an 18-year-old bandleader in 1945, leading a trio at the Swing Club in Hollywood, but he soon left to go on the road with Benny Goodman. He returned again some time later and parlayed a gig at a Mexican ballroom into a celebrated stint with Herman.

At Pete Pontrelli's Spanish Ballroom, the unlikely staging ground for this movement, Getz participated in the development of a completely new jazz style, one that came to be known as the "Four Brothers' sound". The band's repertoire on this gig consisted primarily of stock arrangements of Mexican and Spanish tunes, supplemented by an occasional jazz chart. But arranger Gene Roland was working on a new way of voicing the sax section, which Jimmy Giuffre took and refined further for the Herman band. The result was a lightly swinging ensemble featuring three tenor and one baritone saxophones -- with Getz helping to recreate the sound from Pontrelli's in his new role as a Herman sideman. The recording of "Four Brothers," from the close of 1947, exhilarated listeners -- so much so that jazz fans were soon calling this edition of the Herman orchestra the "Four Brothers band".

By this time. Getz had developed the translucent tenor tone and softly swinging style that gave an airy lightness to the Four Brothers' sound and would distinguish his mature work. Getz's debt to Lester Young in this regard has often been cited, and Getz was the first to admit he admired the older tenor saxophonist. Yet Getz brought a more overtly modernist sensibility to his playing that sharply distinguished it from Young's. Although Getz was never an ardent bebopper, he had listened carefully to Charlie Parker and brought a deep understanding of modern jazz into his own, cooler style.

This influence is especially marked on these West Coast sessions, where Getz draws uncharacteristic inspiration from bop-inflected tunes, such as Gillespie's A Night in Tunisia and Woody 'n' You, and offers a tour de force solo on S-h-i-n-e. These progressive leanings were evident throughout Getz's career, as seen by his constant use of young sidemen with new musical ideas. One recalls with admiration how, more than a decade after these sides, Getz was careening over Phrygian scales and navigating through some of Chick Corea's most complex material on another Verve release, the seminal Sweet Rain. On that record he showed a daring unmatched by any other Young disciple from the postwar years. Or listen to another Verve outing, the justly celebrated Focus, which finds Getz engaging in a marvelously intricate dialogue with a string section. The claim that Getz merely commercialized a variant of the Young sound falls to the ground after even the most casual listening to these recordings.

But what Getz did learn from Young was his essentially melodic approach to improvisation. Throughout most of the history of jazz, the prevailing approach to the tenor sax has stressed the harmonic possibilities of the instrument. Substitute changes, intricate cadences, unusual modes that imply equally exotic harmonies -- a range of techniques has been used in the paradoxical attempt to extract a chordal texture from this inherently monophonic instrument. Getz, like Young, never got caught up in this quixotic pursuit. Instead both adopted an unabashedly linear approach, unapologetic in its lyricism There was an almost brutal honesty in this style. No shiny ornaments were hung out to distract attention from its melodic core.

Posted by orrinj at 4:38 PM

POTOMAC PLEASURE PALACE:

Seeing Trump Through a Glass, Darkly (Peter Wehner, OCT. 7, 2017, NY Times)

When I served in the George W. Bush White House, I believed before the war began that it was justified -- that Saddam Hussein possessed weapons of mass destruction, that he was a particularly malevolent and destabilizing figure, and that it was a military conflict that would liberate an enslaved people.

These presuppositions caused me to ignore, much longer than I should have, the problems inherent in our occupation strategy. I didn't question early enough the errors we made or how the situation was unraveling.

I recall a lunch in early 2006 with a journalist, George Packer, who had just returned from Iraq. A colleague and I, already worried about the course of the war, wanted to hear his firsthand account. What he described was so troubling that my head nearly dropped into my food. In ways I had not fully understood at the time, I had been filtering out information that ran counter to the narrative I believed. (To President Bush's great credit, in 2007 -- in the face of powerful political headwinds -- he embraced the so-called surge strategy that turned the war around.)

I relay all this because confirmation bias is far more difficult to overcome than most of us like to admit. We are ever in search of data that confirms what we want to believe. "Illusion is the first of all pleasures," Voltaire said.

We're particularly tempted by delusions if they constitute bricks in the walls we have chosen to build and to live behind. We're also learning that there is a physiological appeal to confirmation bias (processing information that supports our belief system triggers a dopamine rush) and that our brains are hard-wired to embrace or reject information that confirms or challenges our pre-existing attitudes. Our beliefs are also often tied up with our ideas about who we are individually and our group identity. The result is that changing our beliefs in light of new evidence can cause us to be rejected by our political community. No one likes being accused of disloyalty.

But being on the periphery of my party has given me a renewed appreciation for what Lord Tweedsmuir said. "While I believed in party government and in party loyalty," he wrote, "I never attained to the happy partisan zeal of many of my friends, being painfully aware of my own and my party's defects, and uneasily conscious of the merits of my opponent." I've found through hard experience that the view can be clearer from the periphery than from the center of power.

The especially disturbing thing about partisan zeal is when it leads people to oppose policies they believe in or to support those they do not believe in simply because of the party identification of the president.  There is a big difference between Realists, who opposed the removal of Saddam Hussein and were perfectly willing to have him oppress and exterminate the majority Shi'a and the Kurds of Iraq, and those who profess devotion to human rights generally, but opposed the war because W.  In that sense, what extreme partisanship does is lead people to be dishonest with themselves and sell out their own beliefs for merely political reasons.

While Mr. Wehner has received accolades for self-criticism in this column, the parallel he draws between himself and Trumpies is not really serious.  It's not as if he is generally a Nativist but is now supporting immigration because Donald opposes it.  







Posted by orrinj at 4:20 PM

PEYTON WHO?:

Vice President Mike Pence uses Colts for political purposes (Gregg Doyel, Oct. 8, 2017Indy Star)

North Korea and its nukes can wait. The White House has declared war on the NFL. And on the First Amendment.

Two weeks after President Trump decreed that NFL players who kneel during the national anthem should be fired, Vice President Mike Pence walked out of Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday after about 20 members of the San Francisco 49ers knelt during the anthem. The 49ers were in town to play the Indianapolis Colts.

Pence was in town to upstage Peyton Manning.

What, you think he didn't know the 49ers would kneel on Sunday? Pence knew. The 49ers are the one franchise, the only franchise, that have had at least one player kneel before every game since Colin Kaepernick was the first to do it in the 2016 preseason. Kaepernick played for the 49ers, of course. Last week, following Trump's unpatriotic assertion that he would fire someone for exercising their First Amendment rights, more than half the San Francisco roster knelt.

Pence knew.

Hell, the media members that follow Pence were told before the game not to bother leaving their vans and enter Lucas Oil Stadium, according to a tweet from NBC News Vaughn Hillyard. They wouldn't be there long, because Pence wouldn't be there long.

Presumably, the rest of the fans agree with the players.
Posted by orrinj at 12:23 PM

NO ONE HATES JUST MEXICANS:

Trump allegedly made anti-Semitic, racist comments during work on 'The Apprentice' (JTA, 10/08/17)

Anti-Jewish sentiment and other racism was a big part of the persona of Donald Trump when he starred on "The Apprentice," one of the producers said.

Bill Pruitt told the National Public Radio podcast "Embedded" by Kelly McEvers on Thursday that after the first couple of shows of the reality series that Trump, who is now president of the United States, started saying inappropriate things during discussions about who to fire.

Posted by orrinj at 9:08 AM

THE RIGHT IS THE
Are those my words coming out of Steve Bannon's mouth? (Thomas Frank,  6 October 2017, The Guardian)

There's was a moment in Steve Bannon's recent 60 Minutes interview when the former presidential advisor was asked what he's done to drain "the swamp," the Trumpists' favorite metaphor for everything they hate about Washington DC. Here was Bannon's reply: "The swamp is 50 years in the making. Let's talk about the swamp. The swamp is a business model. It's a successful business model. It's a donor, consultant, K Street lobbyist, politician ... 7 of the 9 wealthiest counties in America ring Washington, DC."

With a shock of recognition I knew immediately what Bannon meant, because what he was talking about was the subject matter of my 2008 book, The Wrecking Crew - the interconnected eco-system of corruption that makes Washington, DC so rich.

The first chapter of my book had been a description of those wealthy counties that ring Washington, DC: the fine cars, the billowing homes, the expense-account restaurants. The rest of the book was my attempt to explain the system that made possible the earthly paradise of Washington and - just like Steve Bannon - I did it by referring to a business model: the political donors and the K Street lobbyists, who act in combination with politicians of the Tom DeLay variety.

My critique of Washington was distinctly from the left, and it astonished me to hear something very close to my argument coming from the mouth of one of the nation's most prominent conservatives.

Rightwinger, not a conservative.  Both Left and Right have to pretend there's something deeply rotten about the Republic conservatives are defending.

Posted by orrinj at 8:18 AM

WHO'D'A DREAMT THAT EPISODE COULD GET ANY BETTER? (spoiler alert):

'Long Shot' on Netflix Tells How 'Curb Your Enthusiasm' and a Dodgers Game Saved a Man's Life (Kayla Cobb, Oct 2, 2017, Decider)

The most shocking moment in this film is its connection to Curb Your Enthusiasm, but some attention needs to be paid to Defense Attorney Todd Melnik's dedication to Catalan's case. Desperate to find any evidence that places his client at the Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves game, Melnik combs through hours of crowd footage in an attempt to pinpoint Catalan. The very idea is exhausting and Melnik has little luck in this endeavor until Catalan remembers something was being recorded that day.

That's where Larry David's crotchety creation comes in. The very day that Catalan was at a Dodgers game with his daughter and Martha Puebla was murdered, HBO was filming "The Car Pool Lane" for Curb Your Enthusiasm.

This revelation is packed with a million more what ifs. What if Larry David hadn't insisted on filming during a real Dodgers game? What if his character didn't have bad seats in the episode? What if the show hadn't decided to use real people as extras instead of actors? What if a PA hadn't let Catalan and his daughter walk in front of their camera and back to their seats? He had allegedly stopped several other people before Catalan, why did he let this man go through? Thankfully, none of these "what ifs" matter as anything more than a stress-inducing thought exercise. When Catalan appears in full focus in the Curb Your Enthusiasm footage, it feels like letting out a breath you didn't know you were holding.

Not coincidentally, the two best episodes of Mister Ed and The Munsters were at the ballpark too.




Posted by orrinj at 8:16 AM

IT WOULD BE MORE USEFUL TO HAVE THE IMMIGRANTS REPORT NATIVES:

This Is What It Looks Like When the President Asks People to Snitch on Their Neighbors (Daniel Rivero and Brendan O'Connor, 10/03/17, Splinter)

In April, the Trump Administration launched what it called the Victims of Immigration Crime Engagement (VOICE) hotline, with a stated mission to "provide proactive, timely, adequate, and professional services to victims of crimes committed by removable aliens." But internal logs of calls to VOICE obtained by Splinter show that hundreds of Americans seized on the hotline to lodge secret accusations against acquaintances, neighbors, or even their own family members, often to advance petty personal grievances.

The logs--hundreds of which were available for download on the Immigrations and Customs Enforcement web site despite containing extremely sensitive personal information--call to mind the efforts of closed societies like East Germany or Cuba to cultivate vast networks of informants and an atmosphere of fear and suspicion.

The reports rarely involve the sort of dangerous criminality that Donald Trump campaigned against. Despite the VOICE office's statement that the service "is not a hotline to report crime," callers are using it to alert Immigrations and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officers to minor infractions, or merely to the presence of people they suspect of being undocumented immigrants.

Posted by orrinj at 8:14 AM

THE CONSTITUTION, ON THE OTHER HAND, IS CONDITIONAL:

A modest proposal about guns and tech following the Las Vegas massacre (CHRIS O'BRIEN, OCTOBER 3, 2017, Venture Beat)

Left unspoken is how the government might be confident enough to so quickly make such a public assessment. The answer: The U.S. government has constructed a massive surveillance state under the rationale of that we are willing to forfeit our privacy in the name of fighting terrorism.

The first time this really hit me was after the Boston Marathon bombing in April 2013. Incredibly, within three days law enforcement were able to narrow in on two Chechen brothers who, it turns out, the feds had been tracking for some time, having intercepted and analyzed contents of phone calls, emails, and travel records. It was just a few months later that the first Snowden revelations were made that truly allowed us to see the scope of how the U.S. government was spying on foreign targets, but capturing enormous amounts of data from U.S. citizens in the process.

While there was some controversy around this, really, nothing changed. For the most part, Americans seem totally fine with having this huge repository of our data in the hands of the government, because we're willing to do anything in the name of stopping terrorism.

Now, contrast that to the Vegas shooter.

The guy apparently legally acquired what officials were estimating to be 10 suitcases of firearms. [...]

One would think that somebody amassing a personal arsenal like that would have sent up some red flags. But nope. Because when it comes to gun purchases, we have intentionally tied the hands of law enforcement by effectively forbidding them to share and retain information about such things.

While federal law requires licensed gun dealers to maintain sales records, it also requires the FBI to destroy approved background check records, hampering law enforcement efforts. States can -- and should -- take important steps to fill the gaps in federal law.

This is staggering to consider. On one hand, we have federal agencies running deep analysis across all forms of digital communications to divine the tiniest morsel of information that might warrant adding someone to the list of people to monitor. On the other hand, we are actively preventing law enforcement from getting notice about some dude who might be amassing a cache of weapons to wreak havoc.

It seems like creating a national database of gun purchases and gun owners is a minimally prudent thing to do. Because just maybe you might want a law enforcement agent go at least knock on his door and see what's what if someone is legally buying 10 suitcases full of weapons.

We don't do this because the gun lobby is absolutist. 

Posted by orrinj at 8:10 AM

IT'S NOT TERROR WHEN WE DO IT:

Vermont Designates John Brown Day To Honor Pre-Civil War Abolitionist (Lisa Rathke, 10/08/17, Associated Press)

As some communities consider removing Confederate monuments, Vermont is formally honoring abolitionist John Brown, whose 1859 raid was an important step in the events that led to the Civil War.

The state legislature approved a resolution this spring sought by a Woodstock Union High School teacher designating John Brown Day in Vermont on Oct. 16, 2017. That's the anniversary of the raid Brown led on a federal arsenal in Harpers Ferry, in what is now West Virginia, hoping to start an armed slave rebellion.

That the slaves might be free.

October 7, 2017

Posted by orrinj at 1:04 PM

WHEN IN DOUBT, BLAME THE JEWS!:

Congressman: Holocaust Survivor Is a Nazi Collaborator Who Organized Charlottesville Rallies (Jeremy Stahl, 10/07/17, Slate)

Rep. Paul Gosar is pushing a couple of conspiracy theories popularized by 9/11 Truther Alex Jones about the August white supremacist rallies in Charlottesville. Specifically, the U.S. Congressman from Arizona is suggesting that the rallies were pushed as false flag operations by Democratic fundraiser George Soros. Gosar also said that he believed that Soros--who as a 14-year-old Jew in Nazi-occupied Hungary pretended to be Christian in order to not be sent to a concentration camp--was a Nazi collaborator.

Posted by orrinj at 12:56 PM

TROUBLE WITH THE CUR:

The Man Who Would Be Kempton : The undiminished quality of George Will's stuff. (ANDREW FERGUSON, 10/16/17, Weekly Standard)

George Will is part of the furniture of Washington life and as close to a national celebrity as punditry will allow. He has been famous for so long--he's figured in episodes of Seinfeld and The Simpsons ("The George Will?" says an awed friend of Lisa's) and has been the subject of a sketch on Saturday Night Live and made a character in Doonesbury, back when both were sort of funny--it's sometimes easy to forget he's here. But you don't forget for long.

For instance: His column this May asserting that President Trump suffered from a mental "disability" was one of the most republished columns of his career, propelled by the combined accelerant of Twitter, Facebook, and vast clouds of anti-Trump animus. His columns are routinely among the top five "most read" stories on the Washington Post website the day they appear. When, last year, he offhandedly told a meeting of the Federalist Society that he had dropped his Republican party registration, political outlets from the Post to Politico wrote it up as news. Under contract to Fox News, he engaged in a televised argument with Bill O'Reilly, then the network's premier star, that became, as the kids don't say but should, a YouTube sensation.

It also got him fired. Will called O'Reilly a liar and O'Reilly saw his liar and raised him a hack, and the spectacle of two of his stars squabbling so unnerved Roger Ailes, the overlord of Fox News, that he phoned Will and instructed him to declare a truce. Recall President Muffley's famous reproach in Dr. Strangelove. "Gentleman, you can't fight in here! This is the War Room!"

"I think he didn't think I was a good team player," Will says, "and he was right. I'm not a good team player." Will left Fox and joined the other team, MSNBC, where he can unfurl his anti-Trump colors to cheers instead of dirty looks.

"The usual trope about Fox is that it's been bad for journalism but good for conservatism, and that's exactly wrong," he says. "They've got some really first-class journalists over there. But it's been calamitous for conservatism. When Sean Hannity is the face of conservatism you're in deep trouble."

Posted by orrinj at 12:30 PM

TRANSCENDING PAROCHIALISM:

Conservatives Need a Remedial Course in Sovereignty (John Fonte, 10/3/2017, American Greatness)

If Henninger sees a certain transcendent quality in Trump's vision of sovereignty, he is right to do so. After all, Donald Trump is not the first American president to portray our sovereignty (our independent self-government) in transcendent terms. On June 30, 1826, a week before he died, John Adams chose the words "Independence Forever" to be read to his fellow citizens celebrating the 50th anniversary of the Declaration of Independence on July 4, 1826.  

President Trump told the U.N. delegates that the United States would not impose its way of life on others, but to "let it shine as an example for everyone to watch." He advocated "strong sovereign nations" as political entities in which "people take ownership of their future," "control their own destiny," exercise "responsibility," and "allow individuals to flourish."

Trump's muscular language reveals a decidedly republican concept of sovereignty. The emphasis is on citizens taking "ownership" of their own nations. This theme is directly connected to the idea of active and responsible citizenship, an idea that did not originate with Bannon or other Trumpists, but--as Hillsdale College government professor Thomas G. West explains in his brilliant new book, The Political Theory of the American Founding--was an idea central to the natural rights philosophy of our Founding Fathers.

Further, citizens expect leaders of sovereign nations to be accountable. Trump's speech notes that the "two core sovereign duties" of nations are "to respect the interests of their own people and the rights of every other sovereign nation." These sovereign duties represent the "vision" of the United Nations and are the "foundation for cooperation and success." Clearly, those nations explicitly condemned in the president's U.N. address--North Korea, Iran, Cuba, and Venezuela--violate one or more of those core sovereign duties.

The American vision of sovereignty is, of course, far more transcendent than the Right's, which would apply it only at home.  It is precisely because we define sovereignty as self-government that we do not recognize states that do not provide it to have any other rights. So where nationalists want us to be isolationist we are perforce cosmopolitan, forcing the End of History on everyone.




MORE:
THE CAUSE OF MANKIND : The American Revolution changed the world, and it isn't finished yet. (SEAN COLLINS, SEPTEMBER 2017, GET SPIKED)

In Israel's eyes, it is hard to overstate the momentous, world-historical import of the American Revolution. It 'commenced the demolition' of a world of 'kings, aristocracy, serfdom, slavery, and mercantilist colonial empires'. More than simply the overthrow of an external colonial power, the revolution's 'political and institutional innovations grounded a wholly new kind of republic embodying a diametrically opposed social vision built on shared liberty and equal civil rights'. The American Revolution ushered the world towards modernity - becoming, in Israel's words, 'the crucible of democratic modernity' - by 'offering a new kind of polity starkly contrasting with the ancien regime monarchical-aristocratic political and social system dominating Europe, Latin America, Africa and Asia' as well as 'the vast, exploitative colonial empires that... overshadowed the globe'.

Which is wrong, as to cause, but right, as to effect.

Posted by orrinj at 6:39 AM

RACISM IS A TOUGH SELL IN AMERICA:

Poll Shows Trump Dipping to 32 Percent Approval (Benjamin Hart, 10/07/17, New York)

An Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research poll released on Friday found that President Trump has a 32 percent approval rating, with 67 percent of respondents disapproving of the job he's doing as president. And it reported that only 67 percent of Republicans approve of his performance, down significantly from 80 percent in the same poll in March.

It's no mean feat to drive your numbers that low with the economy this strong.

Posted by orrinj at 6:26 AM

ALL AGAINST THE SALAFI:

Hamas arrests senior Islamic State leaders in Gaza -- report (Times of Israel, October 7, 2017)

Hamas forces in the Gaza Strip have arrested four senior Islamic State members, including the group's leader in the coastal enclave, media reports said Saturday.

Posted by orrinj at 6:24 AM

GREATEST WAR EVER:

Russia strikes kill 120 IS fighters, over 60 'foreign mercenaries' in Syria (AFP, October 7, 2017)

Some 120 Islamic State fighters and 60 foreign mercenaries were killed in a series of Russian air strikes in Syria over the past 24 hours, the defense ministry in Moscow said on Saturday.

As the UR's critics constantly pointed out, Vlad wanted no part of fighting Salafi when he got lured into Syria.

Posted by orrinj at 6:07 AM

WHEN IT RAINS, IT POURS:

The Trump-Russia dossier: why its findings grow more significant by the day (Julian Borger, Saturday 7 October 2017, The Guardian)

It was reported this week that the document's author, former British intelligence official, Christopher Steele, has been interviewed by investigators working for the special counsel on Russian interference in the 2016 election.

The Senate and House intelligence committees are, meanwhile, asking to see Steele to make up their own mind about his findings. The ranking Democrat on the House committee, Adam Schiff, said that the dossier was "a very important and useful guide to help us figure out what we need to look into".

The fact that Steele's reports are being taken seriously after lengthy scrutiny by federal and congressional investigators has far-reaching implications.

Originally commissioned by a private firm as opposition research by Donald Trump's Republican and then Democratic opponents, they cite a range of unnamed sources, in Russia and the US, who describe the Kremlin's cultivation over many years of the man who now occupies the Oval Office - and the systematic collusion of Trump's associates with Moscow to help get him there.

The question of collusion is at the heart of the various investigations into links between Trump and Moscow. Even a senior Republican, Richard Burr, the chairman of the Senate intelligence committee, admitted this week it was an open question.



The Steele Report, Revisited (John Sipher, Sep. 11th, 2017, Slate)


One clue as to the credibility of the sources in these reports is that Steele shared them with the FBI. The fact that the FBI reportedly sought to work with him and to pay him to develop additional information on the sources suggest that at least some of them were worth taking seriously. At the very least, the FBI will be able to validate the credibility of the sources, and therefore better judge the information. As one recently retired senior intelligence officer with deep experience in espionage investigations quipped, "I assign more credence to the Steele report knowing that the FBI paid him for his research. From my experience, there is nobody more miserly than the FBI. If they were willing to pay Mr. Steele, they must have seen something of real value."

As outsiders without the investigative tools available to the FBI, we can only look at the information and determine if it makes sense given subsequent events. Steele did not have the benefit of knowing Trump would win the election or how events might play out. In this regard, does any of the information we have learned since June 2016 assign greater or less credibility to the information? Were the people mentioned in the report real? Were their affiliations correct? Did any of the activities reported happen as predicted?

The most obvious occurrence that could not have been known to Orbis in June 2016, but shines bright in retrospect is the fact that Russia undertook a coordinated and massive effort to disrupt the 2016 election to help Donald Trump, as the U.S. intelligence community itself later concluded. Well before any public knowledge of these events, the Orbis report identified multiple elements of the Russian operation including a cyber campaign, leaked documents related to Hillary Clinton, and meetings with Paul Manafort and other Trump affiliates to reportedly discuss the receipt of stolen documents. Steele could not have known that the Russians stole information on Hillary Clinton, or that they were considering means to weaponize them in the U.S. election, all of which turned out to be stunningly accurate.

The U.S. government only published its conclusions in January 2017, with an assessment of some elements in October 2016. It was also apparently news to investigators when the New York Times in July published Donald Trump Jr.'s emails arranging for the receipt of information held by the Russians about Hillary Clinton in a meeting that included Manafort. How could Steele and Orbis know in June 2016 that the Russians were working actively to elect Donald Trump and damage Hillary Clinton unless at least some of its information was correct? How could Steele and Orbis have known about the Russian overtures to the Trump Team involving derogatory information on Clinton?

We have also subsequently learned of Trump's long-standing interest in, and experience with Russia and Russians. A February New York Times article reported that phone records and intercepted calls show that members of Trump's campaign and other Trump associates had repeated contacts with senior Russian officials in the year before the election. The Times article was also corroborated by CNN and Reuters independent reports. And even Russian officials have acknowledged some of these and other repeated contacts. Although Trump has denied the connections, numerous credible reports suggest that both he and Manafort have long-standing relationships with Russians, and pro-Putin groups. Last month, CNN reported on "intercepted communications that US intelligence agencies collected among suspected Russian operatives discussing their efforts to work with Manafort ... to coordinate information that could damage Hillary Clinton's election prospects" including "conversations with Manafort, encouraging help from the Russians."

We learned that when Carter Page traveled to Moscow in July 2016, he met with close Putin ally and chairman of the Russian state oil company, Igor Sechin. A later Steele report also claimed that he met with parliamentary secretary Igor Divyekin while in Moscow. Investigative journalist Michael Isikoff reported in September 2016 that U.S. intelligence sources confirmed that Page met with both Sechin and Divyekin during his July trip to Russia. What's more, the Justice Department obtained a wiretap in summer 2016 on Page after satisfying for a court that there was sufficient evidence to show Page was operating as a Russian agent.

While the Orbis team had no way to know it, subsequent reports citing U.S. officials claimed that Washington-based diplomat Mikhail Kalugin was an undercover intelligence officer and was pulled out of the Embassy and sent home in summer 2016.

The Orbis documents refer repeatedly to Manafort's "off-the-books" payments from ousted Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych's pro-Russian party, and Russian concerns that it may be a vulnerability that could jeopardize the effort. According to the Orbis report, the Russians were concerned about "further scandals involving Manafort's commercial and political role in Russia/Ukraine." And, indeed, there have been further scandals since the Orbis reports were written. Those include Manafort being compelled in June to register retroactively as a foreign agent of a pro-Russian political parties in Ukraine, and special counsel Robert Mueller's and the New York attorney general's office reported investigation of Manafort for possible money laundering and tax evasion linked to Ukrainian ventures.

We do not have any reporting that implicates Michael Cohen in meetings with Russians as outlined in the dossier. However, recent revelations indicate his long-standing relationships with key Russian and Ukrainian interlocutors, and highlight his apparent role in a previously hidden effort to build a Trump tower in Moscow. During the campaign, those efforts included email exchanges with Trump associate Felix Sater explicitly referring to getting Putin's circle involved and helping Trump get elected.

Further, the Trump administration's effort lift sanctions on Russia immediately following the inauguration seems to mirror Orbis reporting related to Cohen's alleged promises to Russia, as reported in the Orbis documents. A June Yahoo News article by Isikoff described the administration's efforts to engage the State Department about lifting sanctions "almost as soon as they took office." Their efforts were halted by State Department officials and members of Congress. Following the inauguration, Cohen was allegedly involved, again with Felix Sater, in back-channel negotiations seeking a means to lift sanctions via a semi-developed Russian-Ukrainian plan--which also included the hand delivery of derogatory information on Ukrainian leaders. This also would fit with Orbis reporting related to Cohen.

The quid pro quo as alleged in the dossier was for the Trump team to "sideline" the Ukrainian issue in the campaign. We learned subsequently that the Trump platform committee changed only a single plank in the 60-page Republican platform prior to the Republican convention. Of the hundreds of Republican positions and proposals, they altered only the single sentence that called for maintaining or increasing sanctions against Russia, increasing aid for Ukraine and "providing lethal defensive weapons" to the Ukrainian military. The Trump team reportedly changed the wording to the more benign, "appropriate assistance."

Consider, in addition, the Orbis report saying that Russia was utilizing hackers to influence voters and referring to payments to "hackers who had worked in Europe under Kremlin direction against the Clinton campaign." A January Stanford study found that "fabricated stories favoring Donald Trump were shared a total of 30 million times, nearly quadruple the number of pro-Hillary Clinton shares leading up to the election." Also, in November, researchers at Oxford University published a report based on analysis of 19.4 million Twitter posts from early November prior to the election. The report found that an "automated army of pro-Trump chatbots overwhelmed Clinton bots five to one in the days leading up to the presidential election." In March 2017, former FBI agent Clint Watts told Congress about websites involved in the Russian disinformation campaign "some of which mysteriously operate from Eastern Europe and are curiously led by pro-Russian editors of unknown financing."

The Orbis report also refers specifically to the aim of the Russian influence campaign "to swing supporters of Bernie Sanders away from Hillary Clinton and across to Trump," based on information given to Steele in early August 2016. It was not until March 2017, however, that former director of the National Security Agency, retired Gen. Keith Alexander, in Senate testimony said of the Russian influence campaign, "what they were trying to do is to drive a wedge within the Democratic Party between the Clinton group and the Sanders group." A March news report also detailed that Sanders supporter's social media sites were infiltrated by fake news, originating from "dubious websites and posters linked back to Eastern Europe," that tried to shift them against Clinton during the general election.

John Mattes, a former Senate investigator who helped run the online campaign for Sanders, said he was struck by Steele's report. Mattes said, Steele "was writing in real time about things I was seeing happening in August, but I couldn't articulate until September." It is important to emphasize here that Steele's source for the change in plan was "an ethnic Russian associate of Republican US presidential candidate Donald Trump [who] discussed the reaction inside his camp."

A slew of other revelations has directly tied many of the key players in the Trump campaign--most notably Manafort, Page, Cohen, and Michael Flynn--who are specifically mentioned in the Orbis reports to Russian officials also mentioned in the reports. To take one example, the first report says that Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov was responsible for Russia's compromising materials on Hillary Clinton, and now we have reports that Michael Cohen had contacted Peskov directly in January 2016 seeking help with a Trump business deal in Moscow. This was after Cohen received the email from Trump business associate Felix Sater saying "Our boy can become president of the USA and we can engineer it. I will get all of Putin's team to buy in on this."

To take another example, the third Orbis report says that Manafort was managing the connection with the Kremlin, and we now know that he was present at the June 9, 2016 meeting with Trump, Jr., Russian lawyer Natalia Veselnitskaya, and Rinat Akhmetshin, who has reportedly boasted of his ties to and experience in Soviet intelligence and counterintelligence. According to an Aug. 21 New York Times story, "Akhmetshin told journalists that he was a longtime acquaintance of Paul J. Manafort."

The Orbis reports chronicle, and subsequent events demonstrate, that the Russian effort evolved over time, adapting to changing circumstances. When their attack seemed to be having an effect, they doubled down, and when it looked like negative media attention was benefiting Clinton, they changed tactics. The Orbis reports detail internal Kremlin frictions between the participants as the summer wore on. If the dossier is to be believed, the Russian effort may well have started as an anti-Clinton operation, and only became combined with the separate effort to cultivate the Trump team when it appeared Trump might win the nomination. The Russian effort was aggressive over the summer months, but seemed to back off and go into cover-up mode following the Access Hollywood revelations and the Obama administration's acknowledgement of Russian interference in the fall. Perhaps they realized they might have gone too far and were possibly benefitting Clinton.

However, when Trump won, they changed again and engaged with Ambassador Kislyak in Washington to get in touch with others in the Trump transition team. As this process unfolded, control of operation on the Russian side passed from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, to the FSB, and later to the presidential administration. 








October 6, 2017

Posted by orrinj at 7:44 PM

TIMBERRRRRR....:

EPA watchdog expands audit of administrator's travel: memo (Valerie Volcovici, 10/07/17, Reuters) 

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's watchdog is expanding a review of administrator Scott Pruitt's frequent travels to his home state Oklahoma to include more recent trips taken on military and charter flights, according to a memo seen on Friday.

The Office of Inspector General had been investigating the "frequency, cost and extent" of Pruitt's travels to Oklahoma through July 31, and will now expand the "active audit" to include all travel, including the use of private and military flights he has taken up to Sept. 30.

Posted by orrinj at 7:41 PM

HIGHWAY TO HEIL!:

Poll: Just 24 percent say US under Trump headed in right direction (JULIE PACE and EMILY SWANSON, October 7, 2017, AP) 

Just 24 percent of Americans believe the country is heading in the right direction after a tumultuous stretch for US President Donald Trump that included the threat of war with North Korea, stormy complaints about hurricane relief and Trump's equivocating about white supremacists. That's a 10-point drop since June, according to a poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research.

The decline in optimism about the nation's trajectory is particularly pronounced among Republicans. In June, 60 percent of Republicans said the country was headed in the right direction; now it's just 44 percent.



Posted by orrinj at 7:39 PM

SHOULD HAVE LET HILLARY HANDLE SECURITY...:

John Kelly's personal cellphone was compromised, White House believes : White House tech support discovered the suspected breach after Kelly turned his phone in to tech support staff this summer. (JOSH DAWSEY, EMILY STEPHENSON and ANDREA PETERSON 10/05/2017, Politico)

White House officials believe that chief of staff John Kelly's personal cellphone was compromised, potentially as long ago as December, according to three U.S. government officials.

The discovery raises concerns that hackers or foreign governments may have had access to data on Kelly's phone while he was secretary of Homeland Security and after he joined the West Wing.

Posted by orrinj at 2:50 PM

DONALD'S (MACHIGUENGA) TRIBALISM:

MONTESQUIEU'S "SWEET COMMERCE" AND COBDEN'S "GOD'S DIPLOMACY" (Matt Ridley, 06 October, 2017, The Times)

The "ultimatum game" is a fiendish invention of economists to test people's selfishness. One player is asked to share a windfall of cash with another player, but the entire windfall is cancelled if the second player rejects the offer. How much should you share? When people from the Machiguenga tribe in Peru were asked to play this game, they behaved selfishly, wanting to share little of the windfall. Not far away, the Achuar in Ecuador were much more generous, offering almost half the money to the other player -- which is roughly how people in the developed world react.

What explains the difference? The Machiguenga are largely isolated from the world of markets and commerce. The Achuar are used to buying and selling to and from strangers at markets. The same pattern emerges throughout 15 small-state societies all over the world, in a fascinating study done by the Harvard anthropologist Joe Henrich and his colleagues. The more integrated into the commercial world people are, the more generous they are. As one of the authors, the economist Herb Gintis, summarises the results: "Societies that use markets extensively develop a culture of co-operation, fairness and respect for the individual."

This would not have surprised Montesquieu, who spoke of "sweet commerce", or Voltaire, who marvelled at the friendly collaboration of "the Jew, the Mahometan and the Christian" on the floor of the London stock exchange, or Adam Smith, David Ricardo and Richard Cobden, the radical champions of free trade in the early years of the industrial revolution.

Cobden said: "Free trade is God's diplomacy and there is no other certain way of uniting people in the bonds of peace." He was right. Recent studies have confirmed that commerce is the main cause of peace. "Within the developing world, economic development leads to interstate peace, whereas democracy does not," concludes Faruk Ekmekci of Ipek University in Turkey. The evidence is overwhelming that markets do not just make people richer, they make people nicer too, less likely to fight and more likely to help each other.

Posted by orrinj at 2:32 PM

THE LEFT IS THE RIGHT:

Liberal groups got IRS scrutiny, too, inspector general suggests (Mike DeBonis October 4, 2017, Washington Post)

A federal watchdog has identified scores of cases in which the Internal Revenue Service may have targeted liberal-leaning groups for extra scrutiny based on their names or political leanings, a finding that could undermine claims that conservatives were unfairly targeted under President Barack Obama.

The Treasury Inspector General for Tax Administration (TIGTA) reviewed cases between 2004 and 2013, which includes the period TIGTA previously examined in a 2013 report that faulted the IRS for using inappropriate political criteria to select groups for heightened scrutiny. [...]

The new report examines a broader range of criteria used by the IRS. It does not characterize the politics of the groups that were selected for scrutiny, a TIGTA spokeswoman emphasized Wednesday. But many of the 17 criteria the report examined had obvious political overtones -- including affiliation with the now-defunct Association of Community Organizations for Reform Now (ACORN), as well as names referencing "Progressive," "Green Energy," "Medical Marijuana," and "Occupy."

Together, the watchdog identified 146 cases in which the IRS examined groups for suspicion of engaging in disallowed political activity using those criteria. Eighty-three of those were definitively chosen for scrutiny because of the selection criteria, the inspector general found; the report could not definitively determine how the other cases were chosen. [...]

For instance, IRS personnel were told starting in 2010 to watch out for groups that had affiliations with ACORN, a national network of community-based organizations that had collapsed amid allegations of wrongdoing by conservative activists. Ultimately, at least 13 applications for tax exemptions were flagged for scrutiny based on possible ACORN ties, and most of those groups waited over a year for their cases to be resolved, the report said -- mirroring many of the allegations leveled regarding conservative groups.

The point, of course, is that they are nakedly political and do not qualify for tax breaks under the law.

Posted by orrinj at 2:23 PM

GREATEST WAR EVER:

Moscow faces 130 fake bomb calls, evacuates 100,000 people : Threats made to all four airports of the Russian capital, part of wave of calls since September that has authorities stumped (AP, October 6, 2017)

Among those targeted by the bomb calls were all four Moscow airports, five railway stations, 15 shopping malls, several hotels, more than 20 schools and many other venues, the state Tass news agency said. No explosives have been found in any of the sites targeted by the anonymous calls.

It was the latest and the most massive flurry of fake bomb threats since a wave of bomb hoaxes began in early September. The fake bomb threats have affected dozens of Russian cities and incurred massive economic damages.

Posted by orrinj at 2:21 PM

RERUNNING THE NUKE TEMPLATE:

Exclusive: Iran open to talks over its ballistic missile program - sources (Parisa Hafezi, Jonathan Saul, John Walcott, 10/06/17, Reuters)

A senior Iranian official, who also asked not to be named, said pragmatist President Hassan Rouhani, Zarif and Revolutionary Guards commanders have had several meetings with Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who has the last say on all Iranian policy, to secure his backing for missile talks.

"The leader was not optimistic during the meetings because he does not trust Americans. Others argued that the heightening tension over the missile program could be resolved through talks," said the official, involved in backroom negotiations.

Any talks would not aim to end or suspend Iran's missile program but to "negotiate some dimensions of it, like limiting production of some missiles with specific ranges," he said.

"Diplomacy worked well in ending the nuclear stand-off... The dispute over the missile program also can be resolved through talks," the official said.

A third Iranian official said Tehran would be willing to discuss long-range missiles.

As with the nuclear deal, they can trade something that doesn't exist for genuine trade/economic help.

Posted by orrinj at 2:17 PM

UNDER THE HOOD OF TRUMPISM (profanity alert):

Here's How Breitbart And Milo Smuggled Nazi and White Nationalist Ideas Into The Mainstream : A cache of documents obtained by BuzzFeed News reveals the truth about Steve Bannon's alt-right "killing machine." (Joseph Bernstein, 10/05/17, BuzzFeed News)


In August, after a white nationalist rally in Charlottesville ended in murder, Steve Bannon insisted that "there's no room in American society" for neo-Nazis, neo-Confederates, and the KKK.

But an explosive cache of documents obtained by BuzzFeed News proves that there was plenty of room for those voices on his website.

During the 2016 presidential campaign, under Bannon's leadership, Breitbart courted the alt-right -- the insurgent, racist right-wing movement that helped sweep Donald Trump to power. The former White House chief strategist famously remarked that he wanted Breitbart to be "the platform for the alt-right."

The Breitbart employee closest to the alt-right was Milo Yiannopoulos, the site's former tech editor known best for his outrageous public provocations, such as last year's Dangerous Faggot speaking tour and September's canceled Free Speech Week in Berkeley. For more than a year, Yiannopoulos led the site in a coy dance around the movement's nastier edges, writing stories that minimized the role of neo-Nazis and white nationalists while giving its politer voices "a fair hearing." In March, Breitbart editor Alex Marlow insisted "we're not a hate site." Breitbart's media relations staff repeatedly threatened to sue outlets that described Yiannopoulos as racist. And after the violent white supremacist protest in Charlottesville, Virginia, in August, Breitbart published an article explaining that when Bannon said the site welcomed the alt-right, he was merely referring to "computer gamers and blue-collar voters who hated the GOP brand."

These new emails and documents, however, clearly show that Breitbart does more than tolerate the most hate-filled, racist voices of the alt-right. It thrives on them, fueling and being fueled by some of the most toxic beliefs on the political spectrum -- and clearing the way for them to enter the American mainstream.

It's a relationship illustrated most starkly by a previously unreleased April 2016 video in which Yiannopoulos sings "America the Beautiful" in a Dallas karaoke bar as admirers, including the white nationalist Richard Spencer, raise their arms in Nazi salutes.

These documents chart the Breitbart alt-right universe. They reveal how the website -- and, in particular, Yiannopoulos -- links the Mercer family, the billionaires who fund Breitbart, to underpaid trolls who fill it with provocative content, and to extremists striving to create a white ethnostate.

They capture what Bannon calls his "killing machine" in action, as it dredges up the resentments of people around the world, sifts through these grievances for ideas and content, and propels them from the unsavory parts of the internet up to TrumpWorld, collecting advertisers' checks all along the way.

And the cache of emails -- some of the most newsworthy of which BuzzFeed News is now making public -- expose the extent to which this machine depended on Yiannopoulos, who channeled voices both inside and outside the establishment into a clear narrative about the threat liberal discourse posed to America. The emails tell the story of Steve Bannon's grand plan for Yiannopoulos, whom the Breitbart executive chairman transformed from a charismatic young editor into a conservative media star capable of magnetizing a new generation of reactionary anger. Often, the documents reveal, this anger came from a legion of secret sympathizers in Silicon Valley, Hollywood, academia, suburbia, and everywhere in between. [...]


For nearly a decade, Devin Saucier has been establishing himself as one of the bright young things in American white nationalism. In 2008, while at Vanderbilt University, Saucier founded a chapter of the defunct white nationalist student group Youth for Western Civilization, which counts among its alumni the white nationalist leader Matthew Heimbach. Richard Spencer called him a friend. He is associated with the Wolves of Vinland, a Virginia neo-pagan group that one reporter described as a "white power wolf cult," one member of which pleaded guilty to setting fire to a historic black church. For the past several years, according to an observer of far-right movements, Saucier has worked as an assistant to Jared Taylor, possibly the most prominent white nationalist in America. According to emails obtained by BuzzFeed News, he edits and writes for Taylor's magazine, American Renaissance, under a pseudonym.

In an October 2016 email, Milo Yiannopoulos described the 28-year-old Saucier as "my best friend."

Yiannopoulos may have been exaggerating: He was asking his acquaintance the novelist Bret Easton Ellis for a signed copy of American Psycho as a gift for Saucier. But there's no question the men were close. After a March 2016 dinner together in Georgetown, they kept up a steady correspondence, thrilling over Brexit, approvingly sharing headlines about a Finnish far-right group called "Soldiers of Odin," and making plans to attend Wagner's Ring Cycle at the Kennedy Center.

Saucier -- who did not respond to numerous requests for comment -- clearly illustrates the direct connection between open white nationalists and their fellow travelers at Breitbart. By spring 2016, Yiannopoulos had begun to use him as a sounding board, intellectual guide, and editor. On May 1, Yiannopoulos emailed Saucier asking for readings related to class-based affirmative action; Saucier responded with a half dozen links on the subject, which American Renaissance often covers. On May 3, Saucier sent Yiannopoulos an email titled "Article idea": "How trolls could win the general for Trump." Yiannopoulos forwarded the email to Bokhari and wrote, "Drop what you're doing and draft this for me." An article under Yiannopoulos's byline appeared the next day. Also in early May, Saucier advised Yiannopoulos and put him in touch with a source for a story about the alt-right's obsession with Taylor Swift.

Saucier also seems to have had enough clout with Yiannopoulos to get him to kill a story. On May 9, the Breitbart tech editor sent Saucier a full draft of the class-based affirmative action story. "This really isn't good," Saucier wrote back, along with a complex explanation of how "true class-based affirmative action" would cause "black enrollment at all decent colleges" to be "decimated." The next day, Yiannopoulos wrote back, "I feel suitably admonished," with another draft. In response, after speculating that Yiannopoulos was trying to "soft pedal" racial differences in intelligence, Saucier wrote, "I would honestly spike this piece." The story never ran.

At other times, though, Yiannopoulos's writing delighted the young white nationalist. On June 20, Yiannopoulos sent Saucier a link to his story "Milo On Why Britain Should Leave The EU -- To Stop Muslim Immigration." "Nice work," Saucier responded. "I especially like the references to European identity and the Western greats." On June 25, Yiannopoulos sent Saucier a copy of an analysis, "Brexit: Why The Globalists Lost."

"Subtle truth bomb," Saucier responded via email to the sentence "Britain, like Israel and other high-IQ, high-skilled economies, will thrive on its own." (IQ differences among races are a fixation of American Renaissance.)

"I'm easing everyone in gently," Yiannopoulos responded.

"Probably beats my 'bite the pillow, I'm going in dry' strategy," Saucier wrote back.

On occasion Yiannopoulos didn't ease his masters at Breitbart in gently enough. Frequently, Alex Marlow's job editing him came down to rejecting anti-Semitic and racist ideas and jokes. In April 2016, Yiannopoulos tried to secure approval for the neo-Nazi hacker "Weev" Auernheimer, the system administrator for the Daily Stormer, to appear on his podcast.

"Great provocative guest," Yiannopoulos wrote. "He's one of the funniest, smartest and most interesting people I know. ... Very on brand for me."

"Please don't forward chains like that showing the sausage being made."
"Gotta think about it," Marlow wrote back. "He's a legit racist. ... This is a major strategic decision for this company and as of now I'm leaning against it." (Weev never appeared on the podcast.)

Editing a September 2016 Yiannopoulos speech, Marlow approved a joke about "shekels" but added that "you can't even flirt with OKing gas chamber tweets," asking for such a line to be removed. Marlow held a story about Twitter banning a prominent -- frequently anti-Semitic and anti-black -- alt-right account, "Ricky Vaughn." And in August 2016, Bokhari sent Marlow a draft of a story titled "The Alt Right Isn't White Supremacist, It's Western Supremacist," which Marlow held, explaining, "I don't want to even flirt with okay-ing Nazi memes."

"We have found his limit," Yiannopoulos wrote back.

Indeed, a major part of Yiannopoulos's role within Breitbart was aggressively testing limits around racial and anti-Semitic discourse. As far as this went, his opaque organization-with-an-organization structure and crowdsourced ideation and writing processes served Breitbart's purposes perfectly: They offered upper management a veil of plausible deniability -- as long as no one saw the emails BuzzFeed News obtained. In August 2016, a Yiannopoulos staffer sent a "Milo" story by Bokhari directly to Bannon and Marlow for approval.

"Please don't forward chains like that showing the sausage being made," Yiannopoulos wrote back. "Everyone knows; but they don't have to be reminded every time."

By Yiannopoulos's own admission, maintaining a sufficiently believable distance from overt racists and white nationalists was crucial to the machine he had helped Bannon build. As his profile rose, he attracted hordes of blazingly racist social media followers -- the kind of people who harassed the black Ghostbusters actress Leslie Jones so severely on Twitter that the platform banned Yiannopoulos for encouraging them.

"Protip on handling the endless tide of 1488 scum," Curtis Yarvin, the neoreactionary thinker, wrote to Yiannopoulos in November 2015. ("1488" is a ubiquitous white supremacist slogan; "88" stands for "Heil Hitler.") "Deal with them the way some perfectly tailored high-communist NYT reporter handles a herd of greasy anarchist hippies. Patronizing contempt. Your heart is in the right place, young lady, now get a shower and shave those pits. The liberal doesn't purge the communist because he hates communism, he purges the communist because the communist is a public embarrassment to him. ... It's not that he sees enemies to the left, just that he sees losers to the left, and losers rub off."

"Thanks re 1488," Yiannopoulos responded. "I have been struggling with this. I need to stay, if not clean, then clean enough."

He had help staying clean. It came in the form of a media relations apparatus that issued immediate and vehement threats of legal action against outlets that described Yiannopoulos as a racist or a white nationalist.

"Milo is NOT a white nationalist, nor a member of the alt right," Jenny Kefauver, a senior account executive at CapitalHQ, Breitbart's press shop, wrote to the Seattle CBS affiliate after a story following the shooting of an anti-Trump protester at a Yiannopoulos speech. "Milo has always denounced them and you offer no proof that he is associated with them. Please issue a correction before we explore additional options to correct this error immediately."

Over 2016 and early 2017, CapitalHQ, and often Yiannopoulos personally, issued such demands against the Los Angeles Times, The Forward, Business Insider, Glamour, Fusion, USA Today, the Chicago Tribune, the Washington Post, and CNN. The resulting retractions or corrections -- or refusals -- even spawned a new category of Breitbart story.

Of course, it's unlikely that any of these journalists or editors could have known about Yiannopoulos's relationship with Saucier, about his attempts to defend gas chamber jokes in Breitbart, or about how he tried to put Weev on his podcast.

Nor could they have known about the night of April 2, 2016, which Yiannopoulos spent at the One Nostalgia Tavern in Dallas, belting out a karaoke rendition of "America the Beautiful" in front of a crowd of "sieg heil"-ing admirers, including Richard Spencer.

Saucier can be seen in the video filming the performance. The same night, he and Spencer did a duet of Duran Duran's "A View to a Kill" in front of a beaming Yiannopoulos.

And there was no way the journalists threatened with lawsuits for calling Yiannopoulos a racist could have known about his passwords.

In an April 6 email, Allum Bokhari mentioned having had access to an account of Yiannopoulos's with "a password that began with the word Kristall." Kristallnacht, an infamous 1938 riot against German Jews carried out by the SA -- the paramilitary organization that helped Hitler rise to power -- is sometimes considered the beginning of the Holocaust. In a June 2016 email to an assistant, Yiannopoulos shared the password to his email, which began "LongKnives1290." The Night of the Long Knives was the Nazi purge of the leadership of the SA. The purge famously included Ernst Röhm, the SA's gay leader. 1290 is the year King Edward I expelled the Jews from England.



October 5, 2017

Posted by orrinj at 8:27 PM

STINKIN' COMMIES...:

Far side of the moon revealed, half a century ago : The images are patchy and blurry, but the first photos of the moon's far side were still a revelation. Tim Wallace, 10/05/17, cOSMOS)

For as long as humans have been able to appreciate the night sky, we have looked up at a more-or-less unchanging moonface. That's because the Moon is locked in what is known as synchronous rotation: it orbits the Earth once every 27.322 days, and revolves on its axis at almost the exact same speed. It wasn't always this way, but the gravitational effect of the Earth's tidal forces has slowed the rotation over time. The effect is called 'tidal locking' or 'captured rotation'.

All that changed when Luna 3 flew around the Moon's far side. With its fly-by timed to ensure the hidden hemisphere was facing the Sun, it passed within 64,000 kilometres of the surface and snapped 29 images with a photo-television camera over 40 minutes. Of those images, 15 (or 17, accounts vary) were successfully transmitted back to Earth. [...]

Through the quality of the Luna 3 images was poor, they provided the means to create the very first atlas of the Moon's far side. Published by USSR Academy of Sciences the following year, the atlas catalogued 500 distinguishable geographic features. Others followed.

Posted by orrinj at 8:22 PM

IS ANY OF IT NOT CORROBORATED?:

Exclusive: Mueller's team met with Russia dossier author (Evan Perez, Shimon Prokupecz and Pamela Brown, 10/05/17, CNN)

Information from Christopher Steele, a former MI-6 officer, could help investigators determine whether contacts between people associated with the Trump campaign and suspected Russian operatives broke any laws.

CNN has learned that the FBI and the US intelligence community last year took the Steele dossier more seriously than the agencies have publicly acknowledged. [...]

The intelligence agencies, particularly the CIA, and the FBI took Steele's research seriously enough that they kept it out of a publicly-released January report on Russian meddling in the election in order to not divulge which parts of the dossier they had corroborated and how.

Posted by orrinj at 8:20 PM

THE MORON WANTS TO SEE YOU:

Report: Kelly, Tillerson, Mattis met at White House after "moron" report (Axios, 10/05/17)

Trump fumed for two hours Wednesday morning after the report emerged, per NBC, and was even angrier when Tillerson didn't deny having called Trump a moron during a press conference later in the day.

Posted by orrinj at 9:59 AM

IT'S A DEFLATIONARY EPOCH:

NO INFLATION? TECHNOLOGY MAY HAVE LEFT IT BACK IN THE 20TH CENTURY (ZACHARY KARABELL, 9/30/17, Wired)

[T]he cost of most of life's necessities, from food to clothing to shelter, has stabilized or dropped over the past two decades care of the deflationary effects of technology. It isn't just that you can get a large flat-screen TV for next to nada. You can get a car that uses less fuel and is far safer for less money (inflation adjusted) than a gas guzzler of yesteryear. Thank, in part, composite materials, which also require less energy to produce than 20th century steel. You can get a smorgasbord of caloric abundance for a fraction of the cost of a much less varied diet in 1950; you can access new medicines to extend lives by years; and you can access for free on the Internet incalculable reams of data, costing you nothing but your time.

For some aspects of our lives, there is no apples-to-apples comparison with the past. With Moore's Law and the compression of data and power, today's smartphones are the equivalent of yesterday's supercomputer that cost 1,000 times as much, guzzled electricity and demanded expensive cooling systems. Electrifying a grid that needed to fuel that and billions of incandescent bulbs was costly compared with the dollop of energy needed to power LEDs. That washing machine, with its smart chips monitoring the size of your load? That smart thermostat in your home dynamically adjusting heat and air-conditioning? They also reduce costs, and overall electric demand, even in their limited numbers so far.

And this doesn't even begin to adjust for the possible efficiencies and benefits of the app economy that can connect buyers of goods and services with sellers with fewer frictional costs of middlemen scheduling and booking and coordinating. The TaskRabbit and Uber economy has pitfalls to be sure, but it surely does not drive prices up.

These are a tiny fraction of the examples of how our economy differs from the 20th century industrial economy. Similar changes are under way in the developing world, as labor gives way to robotics and basic goods become affordable and accessible to the planet's billions. 

Nor does it adjust for Thatcher and Reagan ending wage inflation and resuming the expansion of free trade twenty years before that.
Posted by orrinj at 5:54 AM

THE TIGHTENING NOOSE:

Inside the Founding Fathers' Debate Over What Constituted an Impeachable Offense : If not for three sparring Virginia delegates, Congress's power to remove a president would be even more limited than it already is (Erick Trickey, 10/02/17, SMITHSONIAN.COM )

The Constitutional Convention in Philadelphia was winding down, the draft of the United States' supreme law almost finished, and George Mason, the author of Virginia's Declaration of Rights, was becoming alarmed. Over the course of the convention, the 61-year-old had come to fear the powerful new government his colleagues were creating. Mason thought the president could become a tyrant as oppressive as George III.

So on September 8, 1787, he rose to ask his fellow delegates a question of historic importance. Why, Mason asked, were treason and bribery the only grounds in the draft Constitution for impeaching the president? Treason, he warned, wouldn't include "attempts to subvert the Constitution."
 

After a sharp back-and-forth with fellow Virginian James Madison, Mason came up with another category of impeachable offenses: "other high crimes and misdemeanors." Americans have debated the meaning of this decidedly open-ended phrase ever since. But its inclusion, as well as the guidance the Founders left regarding its interpretation, offers more protection against a dangerous executive power than many realize.

Of all the Founders who debated impeachment, three Virginians--Mason, Madison and delegate Edmund Randolph--did the most to set down a vision of when Congress should remove a president from office. Though the men had very different positions on the Constitution, their debates in Philadelphia and at Virginia's ratifying convention in Richmond produced crucial definitions of an impeachable offense. And their ultimate agreement--that a president should be impeached for abuses of power that subvert the Constitution, the integrity of government, or the rule of law--remains essential to the debates we're having today, 230 years later. [...]

"Shall any man be above justice?" Mason asked. "Shall that man be above it who can commit the most extensive injustice?" A presidential candidate might bribe the electors to gain the presidency, Mason suggested. "Shall the man who has practiced corruption, and by that means procured his appointment in the first instance, be suffered to escape punishment by repeating his guilt?"

Madison argued that the Constitution needed a provision "for defending the community against the incapacity, negligence, or perfidy of the Chief Magistrate." Waiting to vote him out of office in a general election wasn't good enough. "He might pervert his administration into a scheme of peculation"-- embezzlement--"or oppression," Madison warned. "He might betray his trust to foreign powers."

October 4, 2017

Posted by orrinj at 7:23 PM

CAN'T BUY BOB:

Ivanka and Donald Trump Jr. Were Close to Being Charged With Felony Fraud   (Jesse Eisinger and Justin Elliott, ProPublica, and Andrea Bernstein and Ilya Marritz, WNYC Oct. 4, 2017)

In one email, according to four people who have seen it, the Trumps discussed how to coordinate false information they had given to prospective buyers. In another, according to a person who read the emails, they worried that a reporter might be onto them. In yet another, Donald Jr. spoke reassuringly to a broker who was concerned about the false statements, saying that nobody would ever find out, because only people on the email chain or in the Trump Organization knew about the deception, according to a person who saw the email.

There was "no doubt" that the Trump children "approved, knew of, agreed to, and intentionally inflated the numbers to make more sales," one person who saw the emails told us. "They knew it was wrong."

In 2010, when the Major Economic Crimes Bureau of the D.A.'s office opened an investigation of the siblings, the Trump Organization had hired several top New York criminal defense lawyers to represent Donald Jr. and Ivanka. These attorneys had met with prosecutors in the bureau several times. They conceded that their clients had made exaggerated claims, but argued that the overstatements didn't amount to criminal misconduct. Still, the case dragged on. In a meeting with the defense team, Donald Trump, Sr., expressed frustration that the investigation had not been closed. Soon after, his longtime personal lawyer, Marc Kasowitz entered the case.

Kasowitz, who by then had been the elder Donald Trump's attorney for a decade, is primarily a civil litigator with little experience in criminal matters. But in 2012, Kasowitz donated $25,000 to the reelection campaign of Manhattan District Attorney Cyrus Vance Jr., making Kasowitz one of Vance's largest donors. Kasowitz decided to bypass the lower level prosecutors and went directly to Vance to ask that the investigation be dropped.

On May 16, 2012, Kasowitz visited Vance's office at One Hogan Place in downtown Manhattan -- a faded edifice made famous by the television show, "Law & Order." Dan Alonso, the chief assistant district attorney, and Adam Kaufmann, the chief of the investigative division, were also at the meeting, but no one from the Major Economic Crimes Bureau attended. Kasowitz did not introduce any new arguments or facts during his session. He simply repeated the arguments that the other defense lawyers had been making for months.

Ultimately, Vance overruled his own prosecutors. Three months after the meeting, he told them to drop the case. Kasowitz subsequently boasted to colleagues about representing the Trump children, according to two people. He said that the case was "really dangerous," one person said, and that it was "amazing I got them off." 

Posted by orrinj at 7:21 PM

THE RIGHT IS THE LEFT:

Trump, Sanders Supporters Join Together to Protest Clinton Book Tour Event (Cameron Cawthorne, October 4, 2017, Free Beacon)

Supporters of Sen. Bernie Sanders (I., Vt.) and President Donald Trump participated in a bipartisan protest of two-time failed presidential candidate Hillary Clinton outside of her book tour event in Fort Lauderdale, Fla. on Tuesday.

Posted by orrinj at 7:00 PM

THELMA, LOUISE AND REX:

Today Tillerson Tried To Kill The "Rexit" Rumors Once And For All (John Hudson, October 4, 2017, BuzzFeed News)

One US official expressed confidence in Tillerson's status due to a so-called "suicide pact" forged between Defense Secretary James Mattis, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, and Tillerson, whereby all three cabinet secretaries vow to leave in the event that the president makes moves against one of them.

It does not get any more awesome than being confident of the secretary's status because he and his peers have clandestinely plotted how to deal with Donald's derangement.

Posted by orrinj at 1:25 PM

DONALD WHO?:

U.S. Republican lawmakers examining barriers to Puerto Rico recovery: source (Reuters, 10/04/17) 

U.S. Republicans in Congress are looking into additional ways of lifting barriers to Puerto Rico's recovery after Hurricane Maria devastated the U.S. territory last month, said a House of Representatives Republican aide on Wednesday.

Posted by orrinj at 1:21 PM

KICK OFF YOUR HIGH HEEL SNEAKERS:

A tale of two Puerto Ricos: What Trump saw -- and what he didn't (Arelis R. Hernández and Jenna Johnson October 4, 2017, The Washington Post)

It wasn't until after Air Force One took off Tuesday that the government updated its official death toll from 16 to 34, allowing reality to once again settle on an island that maneuvered itself into the most flattering light possible for the president's visit. [...]

As he handed out some smaller flashlights, he declared: "Flashlights -- you don't need 'em anymore. You don't need 'em anymore." [...]

The church is also distributing water purification kits, and a member explained the process to the president.

"Wait," Trump said, "you put it in dirty water?"

"And then you can drink it after 10 to 12 hours," she explained.

"Would you do it? Would you drink it?" he asked.

"Sure," she said.

"Really?" Trump said, a disgusted look coming across his face.

"Really," she said.

"Is this your company or something?" Trump asked the woman, seeming suspicious of the aggressive pitch.

"No," she said, "I'm part of the church."

Amen, Rex.

Posted by orrinj at 11:26 AM

NO ONE HATES JUST MEXICANS:

Less than a third of Americans approve of Trump's handling of the Puerto Rico crisis (Jeva Lange, 10/04/17, The Week)

Americans widely disapprove of the way President Trump is handling the ongoing crisis in Puerto Rico, a new Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research poll has found. Only 32 percent of Americans approve of Trump's handling of the hurricane aftermath, while 49 percent disapprove. Comparatively, Americans think the administration has responded far better to hurricanes that hit the mainland, with only 27 percent disapproving of how Trump handled recovery in Texas and Florida.

In November folks could still pretend not to know what he is. Not anymore.

Posted by orrinj at 10:03 AM

GREATEST WAR EVER:

Top Hezbollah commander killed fighting IS in Syria (AP, October 4, 2017)

Lebanon's terror group Hezbollah says one of its top commanders has been killed while fighting Islamic State militants in Syria.

The 44-year-old Ali Al-Hadi Al-Ashiq is the latest fatality for the Shiite group that has fought alongside Syrian government forces in the civil war next door since 2012.

Posted by orrinj at 9:52 AM

HAVE SOME PRIDE, DUDE:

NBC: Tillerson called Trump a "moron," almost resigned (Shane Savitsky, 10/04/17, Axios)

Secretary of State Rex Tillerson almost resigned over the summer around the time of President Trump's controversial speech at the Boy Scouts' Jamboree, according to an NBC News report. Tillerson also reportedly called Trump a "f***ing moron" following a national security meeting at the Pentagon in July, as NBC News' Stephanie Ruhle told Hugh Hewitt.

He's neck and neck with Beauregard for staffer with least self-respect.

Posted by orrinj at 7:04 AM

THEIR NEED FOR THEM BEING A CERTAINTY:

Mueller Tasks an Adviser With Getting Ahead of Pre-Emptive Pardons (Greg Farrell, 10/03/17, Bloomberg)

U.S. Special Counsel Robert Mueller has a distinctly modern problem. The president, judging by his tweets, could try to pardon people in his circle even before prosecutors charge anyone with a crime.

Mueller's all-star team of prosecutors, with expertise in money laundering and foreign bribery, has an answer to that. He's Michael Dreeben, a bookish career government lawyer with more than 100 Supreme Court appearances under his belt.

Acting as Mueller's top legal counsel, Dreeben has been researching past pardons and determining what, if any, limits exist, according to a person familiar with the matter.

October 3, 2017

Posted by orrinj at 7:51 PM

ABOVE AVERAGE IS OVER:

RoboGolfPro Offers An Instant Golf Swing Fix (Scott Kramer , 10/03/17, Forbes)

I don't know what it's like to be in Tiger Woods' shoes. But now I know what it's like to be in his golf shoes. And Jason Day's. That's because this past weekend at Omni La Costa Resort & Spa in Carlsbad, Calif., I tried RoboGolfPro. It's a robotic golf-training system that stores pre-recorded PGA Tour pro swings in it. Any amateur can grab onto the grip of a club that's connected at the other end to a robot, and then be guided through a pro's swing -- right down to every detail and at least at first in slow motion. So I was able to hang on and see exactly what it feels like for Woods and Day to swing a club. For what it's worth, Woods' swing -- his old one from 1997, before his back problems -- felt more inside-out than I thought it would be. And his wrists power through the impact zone much more forcefully than I ever imagined. Yet when I watched myself going through it in real-time on the monitor in front of me, it was unmistakably Tiger's swing. And Day's felt like his backswing is exaggerated low and outside, while his follow-through is much more extended than my own. It was truly one of the cooler experiences in my 27 years as a golf writer.

So what purpose does RoboGolfPro serve, besides the novelty of it? It's also an amazing teaching tool, if you're lucky to come across any of the 30 around the world right now.

Posted by orrinj at 7:43 PM

ABOVE AVERAGE IS OVER:

Oracle updates enterprise security service with machine learning (BLAIR HANLEY FRANK, OCTOBER 3, 2017, Venture Beat)

Oracle added machine learning to its cloud management product to help better secure businesses against threats. The renamed Management and Security Cloud will take in data from on-premises and cloud infrastructure, then analyze them to help determine what might be a threat to a company's data.

When the system determines that something fishy is going on, it can then automatically take steps to remediate the problem without human intervention. 

Posted by orrinj at 7:38 PM

KNOWING YOUR ALLIES:

Iran offers condolences to US over Las Vegas massacre (Middle East Online, 10/03/17)

Iran on Tuesday expressed its sympathy towards the United States following the shooting deaths of at least 59 people and wounding of more than 500 at a Las Vegas concert.

"Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesman Bahram Qassemi has offered sympathy to the bereaved families of those killed in the recent deadly shooting in Las Vegas," said a statement published on the ministry's website.

"Qassemi expressed regret over the 'heinous' crime in which hundreds of civilians were killed and wounded.

"He also sympathised with the US nation and the relatives of the victims," the statement said. [...]

After a double attack in June claimed by the Islamic state group that killed 17 people in Tehran, Trump said: "We underscore that states that sponsor terrorism risk falling victim to the evil they promote."

Posted by orrinj at 7:25 PM

THERE'S ONLY ONE STORY:

Mary Poppins Is a Retelling of the Bible (Jason Rhode, October 3, 2017, Paste)

Simple: The 1964 movie Mary Poppins is a retelling of the Bible. It's a tale of the cosmic struggle between God and the Devil. Call it the Book of Job reimagined, or Damn Yankees, or any of those old stories where Good and Evil cleverly duel for a single man's soul. [...]

At the beginning of the film, Mr. Banks' allegiances clearly tilt in favor of the bank. He adores his place in life (as a prominent financier) and he covets future position. Because he loves those trinkets, his boss Mr. Dawes Sr. has power over him. After all, George Banks has a position of some authority in the money industry, and he's on the verge of being made partner. Mr. Dawes Sr. and the rest of the bank board have every reason to push George towards conformity. In turn, George Banks has every reason to comply, at the forfeit of his family and his soul.

Then this eccentric au pair from the clouds arrives. She descends without warning, as the bats do at the beginning of Fear and Loathing in Las Vegas. This changes everything.

We know who Mary (Julie Andrews) is. As Madonna put it, just like a dream, she is not what she seems. She comes from the sky; she literally sits on a cloud. She's perfect, prim, unknowable. She has love for her new charges, the Banks children, but her doctrine is strictly enforced. She has all these rules for practically perfect people.

If that's true, if the movie Mary Poppins is Biblical, and Mary is God, then it's pretty clear who Bert (Dick Van Dyke) represents. Pleased to meet you, hope you guess my name--but what's troubling is the nature of his game.

Posted by orrinj at 7:22 PM

IT'S JUST MARKETING:

Exclusive: Jared Kushner's personal email re-routed to Trump Organization computers amid public scrutiny (Brad Heath, 10/03/17, USA TODAY)

President Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner and daughter Ivanka Trump re-routed their personal email accounts to computers run by the Trump Organization as public scrutiny intensified over their use of private emails to conduct White House business, internet registration records show.

The move, made just days after Kushner's use of a personal email account first became public, came shortly after special counsel Robert Mueller asked the White House to turn over records related to his investigation of Russia's interference in the 2016 election and possible collusion with Trump associates. It also more closely intertwines President Trump's administration with his constellation of private businesses.

Posted by orrinj at 7:12 PM

THANKS, DONALD!:

Major indexes hit record highs second day; autos, airlines jump (Caroline Valetkevitch, 10/03/17, Reuters) 

The three major U.S. stock indexes and the Russell 2000 posted record high closes for the second straight day on Tuesday, helped by gains in airlines and as carmakers rose after strong September vehicle sales.

It obviously won't be easy, but if Donald can manage to maintain this level of futility for his entire presidency it will be a success, even if he's impeached.  He inherited such strong fundamentals the only imperative was not to screw it up and by not doing anything at all he's managing that much.

Posted by orrinj at 7:07 PM

OLD-FASHIONED IS A SELLING POINT:

Oatmeal Is Still the World's Best Performance Breakfast (Wes Judd, Sep 28, 2017, oUTSIDE)

Sure, it's old fashioned. But it's also nutritional rocket fuel, and athletes are making it taste great. Here's how.

In a world of green juice and chia seed pudding, this age-old dish is the original, and perhaps most powerful, superfood, especially for athletes competing at the highest levels.

"I've asked a lot of elite endurance athletes about their breakfast foods, particularly before races, and oatmeal comes up again and again and again," says Matt Fitzgerald, endurance coach, nutritionist, and author of The Endurance Diet.

You're most likely to see oatmeal served with a ton of fixin's, but even a bowl of plain oats holds its own as a nutritional panacea. Oatmeal is a whole grain (unless you buy oat bran--just part of the seed--as opposed to rolled oats) filled with key vitamins and minerals, a low-glycemic carb that provides lasting energy for your workout and helps fuel recovery without causing a sugar crash, and high in fiber to aid your digestive and metabolic systems.

But a bowl of oats is also a big blank canvas, ready to be combined with a truckload of other high-quality, nutritious ingredients that make it even better training food. "That's one of oatmeal's great virtues. You can take it in so many directions," says Fitzgerald.

Posted by orrinj at 7:05 PM

THE TRAIN IS A TAD GRATUITOUS:

The Called Shot (Rich Cohen October 3, 2017, pARIS rEVIEW)

[I]n July 1932, as the Cubs were cruising, their shortstop was shot in a hotel room by a jilted lover. It's enough to say that the ballplayer was Billy Jurges and the perp was a showgirl who'd later perform under the stage name Violet "What I Did For Love" Valli. Jurges was shot in room 509 of Hotel Carlos, a few blocks from the ballpark. He'd be back on the field before the end of the season. In the meantime, the Cubs needed a solid substitute infielder if they were going to make a pennant run.

Management signed Mark Koenig, who'd been released by the Detroit Tigers at the end of 1931. He started the summer with the San Francisco Mission Reds of the Pacific Coast League before the Cubs called him up. Koenig--he grew up in California, son of a bricklayer--was with the Yankees from 1925 to 1930. He'd played shortstop for the 1927 Yankees, which many consider the greatest team ever. There's a fraternity in that, in being a member of something perfect. Depending on what you read, Ruth loved Koenig, or did not like him at all, which is not the point. If you're on the team, you'll always be on the team--that's the point.

In Chicago, Koenig, a switch-hitter who could play any position in the infield, was trying to prove he still belonged in the majors. He was only twenty-seven, with several solid seasons behind him. He appeared in just thirty-three games with the Cubs that summer but hit .353 and made memorable plays in the clutch. Yet, when it came time to apportion the World Series share--teams that made it to the championship got a bonus, which was split among the players; considering the low salaries of the time, it was a significant boon--the Cubs voted to give Koenig only a partial share.

Ruth heard about it and was incensed. Those greedy bastards, they wouldn't even be here if not for Koenig. Ruth carried that anger into the World Series, stood at the edge of the Chicago dugout and, waving his bat, denounced the Cubs by name. The Cubs heckled the Babe right back. He was a rich target in 1932, a thirty-seven-year-old fat man with just a few seasons left.

In game 3, the moment ripened to a crisis. The Yankees were up two games to none in the series. Charlie Root was pitching for Chicago. A right-hander from Middletown, Ohio, Root was a classic sort of Cub, never great but good enough to go forever. He was with the team from 1926 to 1941. Ruth spoke to him as if he were a kid, but he was thirty-three in that World Series. They called him Chinsky for his willingness to throw inside and hurt people.

The wind blew out, the train rattled past. The score was knotted at four when Ruth came up in the fifth.

Posted by orrinj at 7:01 PM

THE CULTURE WARS ARE A ROUT:

'Poldark' Celebrates Hard Work, Fidelity, Common Law, And Community (Casey Chalk, SEPTEMBER 29, 2017, tHE fEDERALIST)

Over the course of the first two seasons, Poldark rebuilds his life and his inheritance. He reopens mines on his deceased father's property, and weds a young, attractive country girl named Demelza--whom he originally employed as his "scullery maid." For the sake of those unfamiliar with the first two seasons, I'll refrain from divulging too many of the plot's twists and turns. My goal here is instead to highlight how Poldark serves as an unexpected, inspiring source of conservative ideals.

The series thus far has evinced a sincere appreciation for English culture's traditional rites and customs, suggesting to viewers the importance of preserving such traditions from one generation to another. A number of children have been born over the course of the show's two seasons, and the producers take the time to present the Anglican baptismal rite for these newborns. Moreover, the baptisms are so explicitly portrayed in various episodes that they come across as normal--if also very important--events in the life of a family and community.

Another cultural custom often presented positively on the show is that of common law. Poldark is a man of deep convictions, but also one prone to combat the cultural and institutional powers of 18th century Cornwall for the sake of the common man. This at times leads Poldark into the courtroom, defending marginalized members of the community, or even at times himself. Poldark often appeals to the traditions of British common law as his defense. This is probably most saliently visible in one episode where a British merchant ship crashes off the coast of Poldark's own land.

Poldark urges the tenants on his land down to the beaches to collect the various goods that wash up on shore, motivated both by a desire to help those under his protection and to enact revenge against the owner of the ship, George Warleggan, the protagonist's arch-nemesis. Warleggan in turn exhorts British soldiers stationed in the town to march down to the beach, collect his goods, and punish the peasants. Violence ensues. Poldark is ultimately brought to trial on the charge of inciting a riot. When asked to explain his role in his tenant's collection of shipwrecked goods, Poldark appeals to ancestral Cornish common law, long honored in the county, that allows landlords along the coast to collect any goods that wash up on their shore.

Posted by orrinj at 6:58 PM

ALWAYS BET ON THE DEEP STATE:

Justice Department appeals lawyer on Mueller Russia probe (Karen Freifeld, 10/03/17, Reuters) 

Scott Meisler, an appellate attorney with the Justice Department's criminal division, is one of 16 lawyers who have signed on to the probe and one of only two who have not been previously identified. [...]

Meisler is one of several appeals lawyers on Mueller's legal team. The most senior is Deputy Solicitor General Michael Dreeben, who has argued more than 100 cases before the Supreme Court and is widely considered the Justice Department's top criminal law expert.

Elizabeth Prelogar, an assistant solicitor general, is another appeals lawyer on the team.

Posted by orrinj at 6:52 PM

WHAT DO RACISTS CARE ABOUT REASON?:

Trump administration backpedals on citizenship for 'Dreamers' (Yeganeh Torbati, Richard Cowan, 10/03/17, Reuters) 

A U.S. official told Congress on Tuesday it would be "rational" to legislate a path for citizenship for illegal immigrants who came to the United States as children, but within hours the administration backtracked, saying his comments did not state the views of President Donald Trump.

Racial hate is emotional, not rational.

Posted by orrinj at 2:58 PM

KNOWING YOUR ALLIES:

Mattis: Staying in Iran nuclear deal is US national security interest (ERIC CORTELLESSA, October 3, 2017, Times of Israel)

US Defense Secretary James Mattis told US senators on Tuesday the United States should remain a party in the Iran nuclear deal.

Asked at a Senate Armed Serviced Committee hearing by Sen. Angus King, an Independent from Maine who caucuses with the Democrats, whether he believed it was in America's national security interests to stay in the deal, Mattis said: "Yes, senator, I do."

Posted by orrinj at 2:56 PM

MAKING THE PRESS GREAT AGAIN:

The press, branded the 'enemy' by Trump, increasingly trusted by the public: Reuters/Ipsos poll (Chris Kahn, 10/03/17, Reuters) 

Americans are increasingly confident in the news media and less so in President Donald Trump's administration after a tumultuous year in U.S. politics that tested the public's trust in both institutions, according to a Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll released on Tuesday.

The poll of more than 14,300 people found that the percentage of adults who said they had a "great deal" or "some" confidence in the press rose to 48 percent in September from 39 percent last November.

Posted by orrinj at 1:11 PM

STRANGER THINGS:

Evidence Mounts that White House Anticipates Damaging Results from Russia Investigation (Ryan Goodman, October 3, 2017, LawFare)

1. Trump and Kushner rejected White House Counsel's advice on protocols to avoid coordinating stories on Russia investigation; White House Counsel contemplated resigning 

White House Counsel Don McGahn had to be talked out of resigning by other White House officials, the Wall Street Journal's Peter Nicholas, Michael C. Bender and Rebecca Ballhaus reported on Friday. White House officials were concerned that McGahn would resign because the President Trump and Jared Kushner would not follow protocols, as he had advised, to avoid meetings that "could be construed by investigators as an effort to coordinate their stories, three people familiar [with] the matter said."

It would likely take a significant infraction for the administration's senior lawyer to veer toward resignation. It is also revealing that Trump and Kushner would defy the White House Counsel's advice to take steps to ensure against coordination or even the appearance of coordination of their stories involving the Russia investigation. On the one hand, perhaps the two thought they had nothing to hide. On the other hand, if they had nothing to hide then why risk legal exposure for potentially coordinating stories and why risk the relationship with McGahn? [...]

4. Kushner may have advised Trump to appease Republican Senators in case the Russia investigation goes south

Kushner reportedly advised his father-in-law to back Luther Strange in the Alabama Republican primary, HuffPost's Vicky Ward reported. One of the reasons may have been shore up support from the Republican leaders in the Senate. "He's going to need them if things go south in the Russia investigation," a Bannon ally told Ward.

Posted by orrinj at 1:00 PM

ABOVE AVERAGE IS OVER:

"Eton for all": will robot teachers mean everyone gets an elite education? (LIZZIE PALMER, 10/02/17, New Statesman)

According to Sir Anthony Seldon, former headmaster of public school Wellington College and current vice-chancellor of Buckingham University, teachers might have reason to be concerned after all. Last month he said he believed "extraordinarily inspirational" robots would begin taking on the work of teachers over the next ten years.

"It will open up the possibility of an Eton or Wellington-style education for all," he said. "Everyone can have the very best teacher and it's completely personalised; the software you're working with will be with you throughout your education journey."

He said he expected teaching unions to be "alarmed" by the prospect, but that the impact would be "beyond anything that we've seen in the industrial revolution or since with any other new technology".

Posted by orrinj at 12:53 PM

NO ONE HAS IT HARDER THAN THEIR FATHER DID:

What a Wonderful World (David R. Henderson, 10/02/17, Library of Economics and Liberty)
 
 
"In the time that it takes you to read the first chapter, over 2,000 people will have escaped poverty." So says a blurb on the back cover of Johan Norberg's book Progress: Ten Reasons to Look Forward to the Future (London: Oneworld, 2016). The book lives up to the hype. In ten chapters, on topics including food, life expectancy, violence, poverty, the environment, literacy, and freedom, Norberg, a senior fellow with the Cato Institute in Washington, D.C. and the European Centre for International Political Economy in Brussels, documents persuasively how pretty much all of the world has gotten better over the last two centuries and even over the last few decades.

Norberg tells a powerful tale by mixing anecdotes and statistics, never boring the reader--at least never boring this reader--and telling important facts that most of us have never heard. Although I knew that there had been substantial progress on almost every issue that Norberg discusses, what surprised me was the size (large) and speed (fast) of the progress. And, as a footnote reader, I can attest that he backs up virtually all of his claims with published research and data. Famous Harvard University psychology professor Steven Pinker, author of his own pathbreaking book, The Better Angels of Our Nature, calls Progress "exhilarating." I agree.

Consider food. Norberg points out that per capita calorie consumption in France and England was a low 1,700 to 2,200 calories per day in the middle of the 18th century. By 1850, this had increased to 2,500 to 2,800. By 1950, it was 3,000. Sweden, where Norberg lives, "was declared free from chronic hunger in the early twentieth century."

When we aren't worried about being able to create ever more wealth with ever less labor, we fret that we have too much to eat.  It's a deeply silly time in human history.

October 2, 2017

Posted by orrinj at 7:07 PM

AMERICA FIRST!:

The Dubious Defense of the Jones Act (IKE BRANNON, 9/28/17, Cato)

For starters, the Jones Act probably costs us jobs. The high shipping costs engendered by the Jones Act encourage businesses to ship more things via rail or truck. Where that's not possible (as with Puerto Rico), it incentivizes businesses to import goods, rather than buy from a domestic customer and pay the prohibitively expensive toll the Jones Act imposes. In either case, fewer jobs result.

The Act makes it cheaper for U.S. livestock farmers to buy grain from overseas than from American sources, and forces states such as Maryland and Virginia to import their road salt rather than buy it from Ohio. The East Coast of the U.S. cannot afford to get lumber from the Pacific Northwest. And shipping oil from Texas to New England costs about three times as much as shipping it to Europe.

Posted by orrinj at 7:02 PM

MEET-UP:

Trump's company had more contact with Russia during campaign, according to documents turned over to investigators (Tom Hamburger, Rosalind S. Helderman and Adam Entous October 2, 2017, Washington Post)

Associates of President Trump and his company have turned over documents to federal investigators that reveal two previously unreported contacts from Russia during the 2016 campaign, according to people familiar with the matter.

In one case, Trump's personal attorney and a business associate exchanged emails weeks before the Republican National Convention about the lawyer possibly traveling to an economic conference in Russia that would be attended by top Russian financial and government leaders, including President Vladi­mir Putin, according to people familiar with the correspondence.

Posted by orrinj at 6:49 PM

...AND THE WORD WAS GOD...:

In AI god will emerge by 2042 and write its own bible. Will you worship it? (JOHN BRANDON, OCTOBER 2, 2017, Venture Beat)

In the next 25 years, AI will evolve to the point where it will know more on an intellectual level than any human. In the next 50 or 100 years, an AI might know more than the entire population of the planet put together. At that point, there are serious questions to ask about whether this AI -- which could design and program additional AI programs all on its own, read data from an almost infinite number of data sources, and control almost every connected device on the planet -- will somehow rise in status to become more like a god, something that can write its own bible and draw humans to worship it.

Posted by orrinj at 4:34 PM

ABOVE AVERAGE IS OVER:

Bloomberg Law trains machine to highlight legal points (STEPHEN RYNKIEWICZ, 10/02/17, ABA Journal)

Bloomberg Law is the latest legal research provider to use artificial intelligence and machine learning to help lawyers analyze and cite legal opinions more effectively.

Last week Bloomberg Law unveiled Points of Law, a service that allows users to quickly identify and analyze language in a judicial opinion. By adding a layer of automated indexing to its deep online library of court opinions, Points of Law users can review a decision's legal points and find precedents that strengthen their own legal arguments, on paper or in open court.

Posted by orrinj at 4:27 PM

WE ARE ALL DESIGNIST NOW:

Freon find deals blow to ET search (Andrew Masterson, 10/02/17, Cosmos)

In a blow to the search for extraterrestrial life, astronomers have been forced to discard a chemical compound previously thought to be a reliable indicator of biological activity.

In a paper published in Nature Astronomy, the researchers report the detection of a compound comprising methyl chloride and chloromethane (dubbed freon-40) around an infant star system called IRAS 16293-2422, and in the vicinity of the much-studied comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko.

The detections were made using data from the ESO's ALMA telescope in Chile and the ROSINA instrument onboard the observatory's Rosetta probe, which is currently orbiting the comet.

In both cases, the origins of the freon-40 must predate the origins of life, thereby ruling it out as an indicator of biology.


Posted by orrinj at 4:24 PM

DRAINING THE SWAMP THEY STOCKED:

U.S. Interior Dept. watchdog launches investigation into Zinke's travel (Reuters, 10/02/17) 

The Interior Department's watchdog agency has launched an investigation into Secretary Ryan Zinke's travels after reports emerged last week that he had used a private plane owned by an oil executive, the inspector general's office said on Monday.

Posted by orrinj at 3:57 PM

THE RIGHTEOUS CAUSE WAS SOVEREIGNTY, NOT TRANSNATIONALISM:

The Madness of Saint Woodrow: Or, What If the United States Had Stayed out of the Great War? (WALTER A. MCDOUGALL, 10/02/17, Library of Law and Liberty)

Historians today conventionally speak of a "short 20th century" extending from 1914 to 1991--bracketing, in other words, the unspeakably violent and ideological era that saw two world wars and the Cold War. Historians invariably trace the origins of those horrors to the human, economic, social, and cultural destruction of the Great War, which shattered the liberal myths of progress as well as the balance of power that had prevailed for a century before 1914.

The carnage of the Great War hurled its disoriented survivors into a moral vacuum that totalitarian movements such as communism and fascism exploited. Mix in the effects of an economic cataclysm, the Great Depression that began in late 1929 and enervated the democracies even as it energized the dictatorships, and the coming of a Second World War in 1939 was just a matter of time. That crescendo of violence gave birth to a bipolar world dominated by rival empires, each with its own universal ideology and armed with nuclear weapons.

The trends of the 20th century can be made to appear inevitable and humanity subject to cruel fate. But what if we err to think it can all be traced back to 1914? What if the subsequent calamities really trace back to 1917 and the foolish American decision to join the Great War? [...]
 
[Niall Ferguson's] own contribution was a 52-page speculation entitled, "The Kaiser's European Union: What if Great Britain Had Stood Aside in August 1914?" It cogently argued that if Britain had not gone to war or else limited itself to a naval war of defense--options seriously considered by the cabinet of Prime Minister Herbert Asquith in 1914--the result would have been a German victory, but one that the still-mighty British Empire could have lived with. A German-dominated Mitteleuropa under the Kaiser's constitutional monarchy would not, Ferguson speculated, have differed so much from the European Union of today. And the Soviet Union and Nazi Germany would not have existed at all.

Let that serve as a model for our own (much briefer) inquiry into Woodrow Wilson's decision to lead the United States into the First World War. For President Wilson not only considered, but really made, "alternative choices" for two-and-a-half years before changing his mind and with it  the whole course of American, European, and world history in the "short 20th century." [...]

Over those weeks of early 1917, Wilson famously agonized until, by the end of March, he made up his mind to wage war. For all the historical debate over the issue, "one incontrovertible fact remains: the United States entered World War I because Woodrow Wilson decided to take the country in."[7] Moreover, he made that personal, unforced choice to preach a crusade for liberal internationalism under the worst possible circumstances.

By the spring, Wilson knew or should have known that prominent Senators led by Henry Cabot Lodge (R-Mass.) were hostile to his League of Nations idea. He knew the Allied powers led by Britain and France were hostile to most of the liberal principles he would espouse in his Fourteen Points. He knew that most of the points, not least national self-determination, were inapplicable  in much of Europe where ethnic groups were hopelessly mixed, much less in the colonial world, where nationalism was still in its infancy and the imperial rulers were now Wilson's allies. He knew that the vast majority of Germans, however war-weary, remained loyal to their emperor. He knew that to maximize his leverage at the peace conference the United States must wage a total ground war, not a limited naval war. He also knew in advance that war would undermine his domestic agenda, violate civil liberties, and unleash Americans' most bigoted instincts.

Nevertheless, Wilson chose to flip Washington's biggest "Thou shalt not"--meddle in Europe's broils--into "Thou must," and to demand that all Americans fall into line.[8] Most damning of all, Wilson knew well, unlike overconfident Europeans in 1914, exactly how hellish this war had become.[9]

Here are the four options the President had in mid-1917: 1) He could have kept the United States neutral, accepting the risk of a German victory. 2) He could have justified total war, but on the realistic grounds of preserving the European balance of power and thus U.S. security.  3) He could have gone to war over neutral rights, as in 1812, and waged a naval campaign rather than shipping an army to France. Or 4) he could preach a crusade, a holy "war to end all war," enthrall Americans with that fantasy, and hope to persuade or cajole Europeans to convert as well.

Ferguson and others have speculated that the first option might have been best. The Kaiser was not Hitler after all, and after their sacrifices in a total war the Germans themselves would likely have demanded democratic reforms. Moreover, a German victory in the Great War might well have meant no fascism, no World War II, no Holocaust, and no Cold War.

Henry Kissinger and others have speculated that the second option (which was Theodore Roosevelt's preference) might have been best, with Americans helping to restore a balance of power on terms the Allies, the Germans, and the U.S. Senate could grudgingly have accepted.

Scholars such as myself have speculated that the third choice might have been best since a naval war would have been vastly cheaper in money, blood, and damage to civic values, would have given both sides a powerful new incentive to end the carnage, and would left Europe's Great Powers to hammer out a compromise peace. 10] As we know, Wilson chose the fourth option--presumably because he had persuaded himself that God was calling America to  redeem the  horrible war by turning it into a "war for righteousness." Liberal Protestant clergy, previously divided over the war, turned zealous. Celebrity pastor Lyman Abbott thought it "more than a coincidence" that the Senate went to war on Good Friday. He called Germany heathen, America righteous, and the war the climactic chapter in God's plan for redemption.

It's not that a crusade was wrong, just that he chose the wrong crusade.  Self-determination is the American value that was at stake.

Posted by orrinj at 3:52 PM

GETTING RIGHT WITH VLAD:

Did Manafort Use Trump to Curry Favor With a Putin Ally? : Emails turned over to investigators detail the former campaign chair's efforts to please an oligarch tied to the Kremlin. (JULIA IOFFE AND FRANKLIN FOER, 10/02/17, The Atlantic)

On the evening of April 11, 2016, two weeks after Donald Trump hired the political consultant  Paul Manafort to lead his campaign's efforts to wrangle Republican delegates, Manafort emailed his old lieutenant Konstantin Kilimnik, who had worked for him for a decade in the Ukrainian capital, Kiev.

"I assume you have shown our friends my media coverage, right?" Manafort wrote.

"Absolutely," Kilimnik responded a few hours later from Kiev. "Every article."

"How do we use to get whole," Manafort asks. "Has OVD operation seen?"

According to a source close to Manafort, the initials "OVD" refer to Oleg Vladimirovich Deripaska, a Russian oligarch and one of Russia's richest men. The source also confirmed that one of the individuals repeatedly mentioned in the email exchange as an intermediary to Deripaska is an aide to the oligarch.

Posted by orrinj at 3:38 PM

JUST ANOTHER MAGA-ZINE STORY:

Stephen Paddock, Las Vegas Suspect, Was a Gambler, a Cipher, a 'Lone Wolf' (JOSE A. DELREAL and JONAH ENGEL BROMWICH, OCT. 2, 2017, NY Times)

His brother, Eric Paddock, who lives in Orlando, said he and his family were "shocked, horrified" by the news, saying he was "not an avid gun guy." The brother told CBS News that he knew Mr. Paddock had handguns, but that as far as he knew, Mr. Paddock did not own "machine guns."

"Where the hell did he get automatic weapons? He has no military background or anything like that," the brother said. "When you find out about him, like I said, he's a guy who lived in a house in Mesquite and drove down and gambled in Las Vegas."

Posted by orrinj at 3:36 PM

THE WOGS START IN 1633:

Another time in history that the US created travel bans -- against Italians (Maddalena Marinari, 10/02/17, PRI)

There was a time in US history when the government thought that a country was "not sending its best." A time when the government thought that immigrants' home countries could do more to help them screen who gets to come to the US.

It was Italy in the 1920s.

The way the Sudanese and US governments negotiated to keep Sudan off of the Trump administration's third travel ban is not a new diplomatic maneuver. A century ago, Italy too tried to negotiate its way out of restrictive immigration policies.

Like today, Americans at the end of the 19th century had fierce debates about which immigrants to admit to the US. In the midst of the largest global migration in history, many Americans remained divided over the need for immigrant labor to propel the country's meteoric economic rise and the desire to protect the US from immigrants from "inferior" countries -- at that time, China, Italy or Russia.

As one newspaper noted in the 1890s: "The floodgates are open. The bars are down. The sally-ports are unguarded. The dam is washed away. The sewer is unchoked. Europe is vomiting! In other words, the scum of immigration is viscerating [sic] upon our shores."

This story was made possible by you. Thank you for supporting the Global Nation Reporting Fund. Click to learn more.

Under pressure from a small but very organized lobby, the US government responded by passing increasingly sweeping immigration laws that spelled out which immigrants were admissible and which were excluded. They created barriers for those considered to be a threat -- physically, culturally or politically.

Despite the draconian legislation then, like now, the US could not hope to monitor who entered the country without the collaboration of other countries. It had influence but could not enforce its immigration laws by itself. So, the government established mechanisms of "remote control," and demanded that other countries cooperate in a visa-vetting regime.

It's not unlike what the Trump administration is demanding today.

October 1, 2017

Posted by orrinj at 6:47 PM

A PEOPLE WHO THINK THEMSELVES A NATION ARE ONE:

Catalans Signal They May Declare Independence Within a Week (Esteban Duarte and Maria Tadeo, 10/01/17, bLOOMBERG)

Catalan separatist leaders signaled they may be moving toward a unilateral declaration of independence as early as this week after hundreds of activists were injured on Sunday as they sought to stop Spanish police from shutting down an illegal referendum.

Catalan President Carles Puigdemont appealed to the European Union for support as he pledged to inform the regional parliament of the result of the vote in the coming days. The assembly will then act in line with the referendum law, Puigdemont said -- and that could lead to a unilateral declaration of independence within 48 hours of the notification.

"The citizens of Catalonia have won the right to have an independent state," Puigdemont said in a televised statement, flanked by members of his regional administration.

Two million Catalans backed independence out of 2.3 million votes cast in total, government spokesman Jordi Turull said at a press conference in the early hours of Monday. Just over 5 million people were eligible to vote. Before the government crackdown began, separatist leaders said they would be comfortable declaring independence with about 1.8 million votes.

And a regime that sends armed forces to prevent the vote acknowledges it.





Posted by orrinj at 6:18 PM

RUM, SODOMY AND SHOWER CURTAIN RINGS:

The Royal Netherlands Navy is 3D scanning all their ships (Dani Deahl, Oct 1, 2017, Verge)

Marinebedrijf Koninklijke Marine, is the organization responsible for maintaining the vessels of the Royal Netherlands Navy, and recently partnered with Artec 3D to 3D scan the country's entire naval fleet, according to Naval Technology.

The project is a massive undertaking, but once complete, it will dramatically speed up ship maintenance and replacement part fabrication. As some parts don't have manufacturing blueprints or 3D CAD files available, these scans will not only serve as a reference library, but will also allow the navy to print components for ships like submarines or minehunters on demand.

Posted by orrinj at 6:02 PM

THE BUCK ALWAYS STOPS ELSEWHERE WITH HIM:

Trump's Puerto Rico response tests the limits of his fondness for grudges : The president has been criticized for personally attacking the mayor of San Juan amid a growing humanitarian crisis, but it's in line with how he's always responded to critics. (ANNIE KARNI,  10/01/2017, Politico)

The message followed a series of tweets on Saturday lashing out at Carmen YulĂ­n Cruz, the mayor of San Juan, accusing her of "such poor leadership ability" in not getting people on the ground to help.

It was a direct response to her emotional news conference Friday night, in which she begged the president for more help. "We are dying here," Cruz said, slamming down two thick binders of documentation that San Juan had provided to the Federal Emergency Management Agency to obtain help.

In another world, Cruz's frustration with the layers of bureaucracy standing between her wiped-out city and food and water delivery might have been in line with Trump's own interest in cutting regulations and red tape.

The props she used were similar to charts Trump has wielded at news conferences to demonstrate how obtuse the country's permitting and regulatory process can be. But Cruz's plea was interpreted by Trump as a personal insult.

"I am asking the president of the United States to make sure somebody is in charge, that is up to the task of saving lives," she said. "If anybody out there is listening to us, we are dying, and you are killing us with the inefficiency."

On Twitter, Trump noted that Cruz had been "very complimentary" to him in the past. "They want everything to be done for them," he complained, "when it should be a community effort."

To longtime Trump watchers, Trump's personal reaction to Cruz was par for the course. Last weekend, he revoked an invitation for NBA star Stephen Curry to visit the White House with his team after Curry slighted him by saying he did not want the team to make the trip.

From the perch of the presidency, he has gone after morning show hosts such as Mika Brzezinski; lawmakers from his own party, such as Arizona Republican Sen. John McCain; and members of his own Cabinet -- most notably, Attorney General Jeff Sessions. He has even taken on the NFL.

Trump's criticism of Cruz was in line with how he has reacted for years to individuals who have criticized him personally.

Posted by orrinj at 5:51 PM

THE BAKER STANDARD:

Why doesn't Donald Trump care about Puerto Ricans? Because they can't vote for him  (Skylar Baker-Jordan, 10/01/17, The Independent)

When Trump did mention Puerto Rico publicly, it was to praise the federal response to the disaster - in direct contradiction to the reports of those on the ground - or to pick a fight with Cruz, who has been extremely critical of the President's response to the hurricane. Trump shot back by claiming Puerto Ricans "want everything done for them" and pointed to the commonwealth's debt crisis as an excuse, without offering any evidence as to why that is a factor - because there is none.

The federal government, on Trump's orders, went into Texas and Florida following recent hurricanes and devastating flooding, bringing the full force of the US government with them on their rescue and recovery missions. Trump himself visited Texas twice following the storm. And while yes, Puerto Rico is an island in the middle of the Caribbean Sea (as Trump pointed out as though this were brand new information), it's not exactly the South Pole. We know that the federal government can mobilise quickly and efficiently following a disaster, so none of this is an excuse for why they haven't in Puerto Rico.

Texas and Florida are both states Trump won in the election, while Puerto Rico can't vote in presidential elections. If one thing has become painfully clear over the past eight months, from his inaugural speech to his comments following Charlottesville, Trump intends to be President only for those who voted for him.

The vast majority of those people are white. Texas and Florida both have heavy Latino populations; Puerto Rico is predominantly Latino and Black and almost entirely Spanish-speaking. Given Trump's views on race, and Latinos in particular, it's easy to see why the President didn't give a damn a moment before he politically had to: he simply doesn't care.

But he needs to. As of Saturday night, about half the island lacked portable water and experts were warning it could be six months before the electric grid was up and running. The Army Corps of Engineers said Puerto Rico looked a lot like Iraq following America's 2003 invasion.

Watching all of this unfold has been horrifying for the millions of Puerto Ricans on the mainland, many of whom can't contact family back home and have no way of knowing if they are safe. It has been pure hell for the millions of Puerto Ricans on the island who are struggling to survive. And it has been shameful to the rest of us who look at our fellow citizens suffering and a President indifferent, at best, to their plight.

Posted by orrinj at 11:18 AM


Posted by orrinj at 8:46 AM

NO ONE HATES JUST MEXICANS:


Posted by orrinj at 8:41 AM

ALWAYS BET ON THE DEEP STATE:

Trump Turns the Presidency Into a Modern Monarchy : The president hogs the headlines, but the real power resides with trusted advisers, congressional leaders, and well-placed bureaucrats (Josh Kraushaar, 10/01/17, National Journal)'

America under President Trump isn't becoming an autocracy, as some recently feared. Our country's democratic institutions have demonstrated their resilience, the media have rediscovered the importance of checking those in power, and the bureaucracy has demonstrated that simple inertia can overwhelm even the most committed demagogues.

I've struggled how to precisely describe this moment in American history, in which the leader of the free world is an erratic, demagogic celebrity who dominates every nook and cranny of public life like no president before him--yet is so weak institutionally that he can't pass any legislation with his party fully in charge. In February, I anticipated that the Trump administration was "more likely to look like a tragi-comedy, not a horror story." Still, that doesn't fully capture the uniqueness of this moment in American politics.

The Trump administration resembles an American version of a monarchy, in which the head of state consumes outsize attention but has ceded significant power to trusted advisers, his party's leadership in Congress, and well-placed bureaucrats across the government. The triumvirate of Defense Secretary James Mattis, National Security Adviser H.R. McMaster, and Secretary of State Rex Tillerson has remarkable autonomy to steer the nation's foreign policy. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell is shouldering all the blame for the president's inability to rally support for health care reform. Trump may have humiliated Attorney General Jeff Sessions, but the Department of Justice is actively revamping policy on drug sentencing, cracking down on sanctuary cities, and fighting censorious administrators on college campuses.

Clearly, Trump has actual powers--as opposed to the symbolic roles of a Queen Elizabeth--but it's remarkable to see how much the traditional powers of the presidency have been shrunk. Mattis, his Defense secretary, didn't carry out Trump's tweeted order to ban transgender people from the military. Many foreign governments have learned to ignore the presidential tweets and listen to his advisers to get a better sense of administration policy. Even the despotic North Korean government reportedly was reaching out to conservative think tanks to understand whether to believe Trump's threatening bluster.

Posted by orrinj at 8:33 AM

THEY LOVE LA:

Startup Cities No one says you need to start up in your home town. From coast to coast, here are the 10 U.S. cities nurturing the most fast-growing private companies of 2017. (Kaitlyn Wang, 10/01/17, Inc.com)

6. Los Angeles There's more to L.A. than Hollywood. Seventy of this year's Inc. 5000 companies call California's biggest city home. The front of the pack? Ice cream darling Halo Top Creamery (No. 5).

Posted by orrinj at 8:15 AM

WELCOME TO EURO-DISNEY:

Paris experiments with 'car-free day' across city (Marie WOLFROM, October 1, 2017, AFP)

Sunday marks the third time the French capital has experimented with a car ban, but it is by far the most ambitious with the zone set aside for pedestrians or cyclists covering the entire historic heart of the city -- 105 square kilometres (40 square miles).

"This initiative requires an enormous amount of preparation," city mayor Anne Hidalgo told Le Parisien newspaper on Sunday. "Particularly because this year the zone has been enlarged to the whole of Paris."

Hidalgo, a Socialist, was elected in 2014 promising to tackle pollution in the capital and she has focused on building new bus and cycle lanes and reclaiming roads -- leading critics to see her agenda as too radical and anti-car.

Radically pro-tourist.

Posted by orrinj at 8:10 AM

WE ELECTED THE WRONG 70-SOMETHING:

How a heartbroken doomsday prepper who lost everything is now saving hurricane victims (Rebecca Everett, 9/28/17, NJ.com)

MEDFORD TWP. -- You probably wouldn't expect to find a doomsday prepper's compound at the end of a nice cul-de-sac off of Tuckerton Road, otherwise lined with large houses with pools.
But that's where Joseph Badame, 74, has spent most of his life, building and outfitting his home and outbuildings for the day when, he believes, an economic collapse will make it all necessary for survival.

If you're picturing a reclusive wildman wearing camouflage, think again.

Badame is an educated, intelligent, mild-mannered architect who is involved in his church, among other things. Until the death of his beloved wife, Phyliss, in 2013, the passion for prepping was something they shared.

The shelter he built and his accumulation of supplies -- enough so that 100 people could live there -- was Badame's life's work. The couple built the place, with its subterranean living area and lead-lined bomb shelter, along with outbuildings. For forty years, they filled them with everything they'd need, from coal furnaces and kerosene refrigerators to barrels of food and other supplies.

But he's losing it all now, after the bank foreclosed on his property.

"I'm losing this house," he said, looking at the building from his driveway Monday. It's a blow to a man who is still heartbroken from losing his wife. "This will never be a survival dwelling for Phyliss or I."

But, he admits, his passion for creating the perfect shelter has diminished since his wife's death, and there are few family members and friends left to worry about saving.

"I described myself as a spirit in search of a purpose," he said.

Remarkably, he found what he was looking for before the estate sale this past weekend, when he met Victoria Martinez-Barber, 30. She and her husband, Anthony Barber, were hired to provide food at the estate sale through Tony & Tori's Grill, the food truck they run.

Martinez-Barber told Badame that all the money from the food truck was going to help her family in Puerto Rico. They were alive, but homeless and hungry in Arecibo thanks to Hurricane Maria.

He donated $100. Then he showed her his food store room.

Posted by orrinj at 8:03 AM

LAUGHINGSTOCK:

It's not easy to be the least-informed reality tv star.
Posted by orrinj at 7:53 AM

SUBLIME:

The Mind of John McPhee (Sam Anderson, Sep. 28th, 2017, NY Times Magazine)

When you call John McPhee on the phone, he is instantly John McPhee. McPhee is now 86 years old, and each of those years seems to be filed away inside of him, loaded with information, ready to access. I was calling to arrange a visit to Princeton, N.J., where McPhee lives and teaches writing. He was going to give me driving directions. He asked where I was coming from. I told him the name of my town, about 100 miles away.

"I've been there," McPhee said, with the mild surprise of someone who has just found a $5 bill in a coat pocket. He proceeded to tell me a story of the time he had a picnic at the top of our local mountain, with a small party that included the wife of Alger Hiss, the former United States official who, at the height of McCarthyism, was disgraced by allegations of spying for the Russians. 


A Miami-based security company co-founded by G. Gordon Liddy, the convicted Watergate burglar who became a television and movie villain, has sought protection from its creditors under the Federal Bankruptcy Code.



Posted by orrinj at 7:49 AM

ABOVE AVERAGE IS OVER:

Mayo Clinic Offers First-Aid Advice via Amazon's Alexa (Joe Carlson, 10/01/17, Star Tribune)

Alexa, forget my grocery list and morning traffic reports. Tell me about CPR.

Alexa, Amazon's voice-activated digital assistant for the home, has learned a new skill -- dispensing medical information about first aid from one of the best-known names in medicine, Minnesota's Mayo Clinic.

The information is accessible by speaking to the Amazon device, which users might appreciate if they're busy doing something with their hands, like putting aloe on a burn or examining someone who has stopped breathing.

Posted by orrinj at 7:48 AM

JOBS FIFTEEN YEAR-OLDS WON'T DO:

Robotic Hamburger Flipper Lands First Job (Gene Marks, 10/01/17, The Washington Post)

According to a report recently in TechCrunch, a fast-casual restaurant chain headquartered in Southern California called Caliburger is installing robotic hamburger-flipping chefs in its Pasadena location and then plans to roll them out to its other 49 outlets around the world over the next few years. Caliburger's Pasadena location is conveniently located in the same town as Miso Robotics, a start-up that's developed its hamburger flipping, "robotic kitchen assistant" called -- not unsurprisingly -- Flippy.

Flippy is a robot, or more specifically a very specialized industrial six-axis robotic arm that is bolted to the kitchen floor in front of a grill or fryer and has a "spinning spatula" that cooks the food.

The unit receives data from thermal and 3D sensors as well as cameras and takes its orders through a digital ticketing system.

It is capable of grabbing and unwrapping food, keeping track of cooking time and temperature and then plating the food so that a human chef can add garnishes.

Posted by orrinj at 7:21 AM

CITIES WERE A MISTAKE (self-reference alert):

Jared Kushner's Entitlement Is New Jersey Born and Bred (LUCINDA ROSENFELD, SEPT. 29, 2017, NY Times)

Anyone who has ever driven on the New Jersey Turnpike knows that, at a certain point in the road, the entire Manhattan skyline appears to rise from the surrounding marshland like a close-yet-so-far Land of Oz, both tempting and terrorizing with its mysterious jutting cutouts. To traverse this roadway, as Mr. Kushner surely did as a young man, was undoubtedly to exist in a constant state of aspiration and alienation. No matter one's personal glories, for those who call New Jersey home, and especially those who reside in Northern New Jersey, it's difficult to forget that one is still not from "the city," as the landmass across the river is known. Overcompensation tends to follow. Blind arrogance is an occasional byproduct.

Eagle Rock park affords an especially good view of the NYC skyline and I spent the same years thinking how ugly it was, especially the heinous Twin Towers.  The problem with Mr. Kushner's upbringing was not location but parenting.

Posted by orrinj at 7:15 AM

OBJECTIFIER-IN-CHIEF:

Speaking Ill of Hugh Hefner (Ross Douthat SEPT. 30, 2017, NY Times)

Hugh Hefner, gone to his reward at the age of 91, was a pornographer and chauvinist who got rich on masturbation, consumerism and the exploitation of women, aged into a leering grotesque in a captain's hat, and died a pack rat in a decaying manse where porn blared during his pathetic orgies.

Hef was the grinning pimp of the sexual revolution, with quaaludes for the ladies and Viagra for himself -- a father of smut addictions and eating disorders, abortions and divorce and syphilis, a pretentious huckster who published Updike stories no one read while doing flesh procurement for celebrities, a revolutionary whose revolution chiefly benefited men much like himself.

The arc of his life vindicated his moral critics, conservative and feminist: What began with talk of jazz and Picasso and other signifiers of good taste ended in a sleazy decrepitude that would have been pitiable if it wasn't still so exploitative.

Early Hef had a pipe and suit and a highbrow reference for every occasion; he even claimed to have a philosophy, that final refuge of the scoundrel. But late Hef was a lecherous, low-brow Peter Pan, playing at perpetual boyhood -- ice cream for breakfast, pajamas all day -- while bodyguards shooed male celebrities away from his paid harem and the skull grinned beneath his papery skin.