July 26, 2009

THERE IS NO IRAQ:

Now It’s a Census That Could Rip Iraq Apart (ROD NORDLAND, 7/26/09, NY Times)

When Iraqis were drafting their Constitution in 2005, the parties could not agree on who would control Kirkuk, the prized oil capital of the north. They couldn’t even agree on who lived in Kirkuk, which is claimed by the region’s Kurds, but also by its Turkmen minority and Sunni Arabs. For that matter, they couldn’t even agree on where Kirkuk was — in Tamim, Erbil, or Sulaimaniya Province.

So the Iraqis punted, inserting Article 140, a clause that called for a national census, followed by a referendum on the status of Kirkuk, all to be held by the end of 2007. What followed were a succession of delays, against a backdrop of sectarian violence and warnings that Kirkuk could blow apart the Shiite-Kurdish alliance that has governed Iraq since the Americans invaded. [...]

The problem with settling that is the Kirkuk referendum. There can’t be a referendum until Iraqis figure out who is eligible to vote in Kirkuk, which they can’t do until there’s a census. And any attempt to hold a census in this country may well end up, all by itself, provoking a civil war.

Even now, Sunnis don’t agree that they’re a minority of the nation, and that the Shiites are the majority, though it’s patently obvious.


Where's Mookie when you need him? It took not just the initial national election results but reprisals by the Sadrists and others to scare the Sunni into acting responsibly in Central Iraq.

Posted by Orrin Judd at July 26, 2009 7:03 AM
blog comments powered by Disqus
« THE REFORMATION ROLLS ON: | Main | TO BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY AS BUDGET HAWKS...: »