May 6, 2009

50 IN '10:

It's Alive!: Obituaries For The Republican Party In The Northeast Appear To Have Been Premature (John Mercurio, May 6, 2009, National Journal)

If Democrats are quietly concerned about Pennsylvania, they're openly terrified about Connecticut, where President Obama took 61 percent last fall. Perhaps no Senate Democrat is more vulnerable in 2010 than the Nutmeg State's Christopher Dodd, a 29-year incumbent who has never been re-elected with less than 59 percent. Through a series of missteps, Dodd now trails his likely GOP challenger, former Rep. Rob Simmons, by double digits, according to some recent polls. How vulnerable is Dodd? So much so that he's frequently mentioned these days in the same breath as former Sens. Rick Santorum, R-Pa., and John Sununu, R-N.H., two Northeast Republicans who were trounced in re-election bids earlier this decade.

But one of those Republicans may have reason to consider a comeback. In New Hampshire, a new Granite State Poll shows Sununu leading Rep. Paul Hodes, the likely Democratic nominee in the race to succeed retiring Sen. Judd Gregg (R). If he decided not to retire, the poll shows, Gregg could win that race in a cakewalk.

Even in Massachusetts, one of the country's most solidly blue states, Democrats are increasingly nervous about Gov. Deval Patrick (D), who recently drew a wealthy GOP challenger and has seen his approval ratings plummet since February.

Posted by Orrin Judd at May 6, 2009 8:44 PM
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