September 17, 2008

FEELIN' THE LOVE:

GOP bounce changes landscape (JOSH KRAUSHAAR, 9/17/08, Politico)

“Gov. Palin offers us yet another way to point out the differences between the two candidates in this race,” said Love’s communications director, Todd Stacy. “Jay Love stands 100 percent behind John McCain and Sarah Palin, and Bobby Bright does not. Teams matter in politics, and the McCain-Palin team is a good one to be on.”

McCain’s pick of the Alaska governor has energized the GOP grass roots, which was less than enthused about him beforehand and is still reeling from the devastating 2006 midterm elections. And according to the pollsters, the drilling issue has proved to be a winning issue across the country as gas prices have continued to rise.

Public opinion polls have shown Republicans significantly cutting the Democrats’ edge on the generic congressional ballot, with one Gallup poll reporting a GOP lead for the first time since 2004.

That poll shows likely voters preferring the Republican candidate over the Democratic candidate by a 5-point margin, 50 percent to 45 percent. Democrats insist the result is an outlier, but it’s consistent with other polls showing Democrats with a narrowing lead on the generic ballot. In August, before the conventions, Democrats held a 51 percent to 42 percent lead in the same poll — a 14-point swing.

Republican pollster Neil Newhouse said he has seen the fortunes of most of his candidates improve over the past month.

“We’ve unquestionably seen a GOP bounce that extends beyond the generic ballot to specific GOP candidates and, importantly, to partisan affiliation,” said Newhouse. “Whether it will be sustained or not is the $64,000 question, but it has helped GOP candidates on the ground.”

Posted by Orrin Judd at September 17, 2008 9:05 AM
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