October 21, 2003


Louisiana Gubernatorial Election: Election Date: November 15, 2003

Kentucky Gubernatorial Election: Election Date: November 4, 2003

Mississippi Gubernatorial Election: Election Date: November 4, 2003

These three races, all of which could go either way, have been so hard to find news on, bless the folks at Real Clear Politics. They've got bios, polls and links to stories.

Posted by Orrin Judd at October 21, 2003 11:59 PM

Kentuckians have to decide if they want Fletcher to stay in Congress, or to empty the political cesspool in Frankfort.

Democrats have entered panic mode.

Posted by: John J. Coupal at October 22, 2003 1:14 AM

Looking at the site it appears the GOP is a bit ahead in KY, no information in Mississippi, and behind in Louisiana. As OJ has noted before the GOP win in CA plus pickups in KY and MI while holding LA would be big for the GOP

Posted by: AWW at October 22, 2003 8:46 AM

If I absolutely had to guess, I'd pick KY and MS for the Repubs, LA for the Dems.

Kentucky's population is only 7% African-American and Bush carried the state by fifteen points. The state is trending GOP, and though the election is close, I think Fletcher will edge by.

Mississippi has gone Repub in every presidential election since 1976. No, presidential politics don't necessarily translate to governor's races, but the GOP has developed a death-grip on the state's white vote. Despite the large 37% black population, my bet is on a relatively easy win by Barbour.

The GOP hasn't got quite the hold on the white vote in Lousiana that it has developed in other southern states. LA's large 33% black population and a significant slice of the white vote should give Blanco the win.

Posted by: Casey Abell at October 22, 2003 2:07 PM

Oops, forgot the required disclosure: I picked the CA recall and governor's races correctly but way underestimated Arnold's share of the vote.

Posted by: Casey Abell at October 22, 2003 2:11 PM

Casey - let's hope your track record continues and the GOP can pick up KY and MS. Losing LA isn't good but it does appear to be trending GOP and so maybe next time the GOP will get.
Regarding LA it has been said that Breaux will determine if he is running for reelection after the governor's race - any insight on whether he is going to run or not (even if he doesn't run the GOP will need a decent candidate to win the seat)

Posted by: AWW at October 22, 2003 4:54 PM